Looking for the best NBA player props today? We've got two Underdog plays for Wednesday's slate, and new users can back them with extra value by signing up with Underdog promo code ALARM. Today's NBA pick'em picks feature a former MVP in a fast-paced matchup and a veteran point guard back from a lost season, and both grade out well in Fantasy Alarm's NBA DFS Projections.
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Our best Underdog picks for Wednesday, October 28, 2026, at a glance:
- Joel Embiid Higher 22.5 Points: 76ers at Pacers, 7 p.m. ET. Embiid has scored 24 and 28 points in his last two games and is averaging 21.7 points this season.
- Fred VanVleet Higher 6.5 Assists: Rockets at Bucks, 8 p.m. ET. VanVleet had 11 assists on opening night, and Alperen Sengun is out, leaving more of the playmaking to him.
Underdog NBA Picks: Wednesday, 10/28; NBA DFS Projections
Wednesday's slate is loaded with injury news, from Anthony Edwards' knee surgery to Jalen Duren's hamstring, and every update moves the lines for NBA player props. Fantasy Alarm's NBA DFS Projections give you a number for every player on the slate, so you can see which Underdog lines still hold value once the final reports come out.
An All Pro membership unlocks complete access to our NBA DFS Projections and the rest of Fantasy Alarm's premium NBA tools for the full season. If you're building Underdog NBA picks every night, All Pro gives you the same data we use for ours.
Joel Embiid NBA Underdog Pick: Higher 22.5 Points
Embiid's season started slowly, with 13 points on 4-of-15 shooting in the opener at Madison Square Garden, but he's been rolling since. He scored 24 points against Cleveland on Thursday, then posted 28 points, 11 rebounds and 10 assists in Saturday's 127-116 win over Milwaukee. He's averaging 21.7 points, 9.7 rebounds and 5.7 assists in 34.7 minutes.
The free throws are what make this pick work. Embiid is getting to the line 9.0 times per game and making 7.3, including a 12-of-14 night against the Bucks, which gives him a scoring floor that doesn't depend on a hot shooting night. He also averaged 26.9 points across 38 games last season, so his recent form is right in line with his baseline.
Indiana is the right opponent. The Pacers have averaged 116.5 points per game, and this matchup carries a total around 236.5, among the highest on Wednesday's board. A fast pace means more possessions and more chances for Embiid to work in the post and draw fouls.
Philadelphia is now a 5.5-point road favorite after opening at -1.5, so the market expects the Sixers to control this game. Embiid at Higher 22.5 points leads off our card of NBA props for Wednesday.
Fred VanVleet NBA Underdog Pick: Higher 6.5 Assists
VanVleet is back after missing all of last season with a torn ACL, and Houston is 4-0 with its veteran point guard running the offense again. He opened with 11 assists against Dallas, then added five in each of his next two games while committing just two turnovers total across all three.
He's averaging 7.0 assists in 30.0 minutes, and his track record supports more. VanVleet has averaged 6.9 assists across his 133 games in Houston, and he ranked seventh in the NBA with 8.1 assists per game in 2023-24. The bigger story Wednesday is who isn't playing. Alperen Sengun is out, and Houston's star center has been averaging 7.0 assists per game as one of the league's best passing bigs. Those playmaking duties shift to VanVleet, the same role he filled in the opener, when he dished 11 assists against Dallas.
Houston is an 8.5-point favorite in Milwaukee with a 227.5 total, so a blowout is the main risk to his minutes. But the Bucks have shown they can keep games competitive, and VanVleet is the steadying presence the Rockets lean on late. VanVleet at Higher 6.5 assists rounds out our Underdog NBA picks.
Unlock Your $75 Bonus & More With Underdog Promo Code ALARM
New to Underdog? Sign up with Underdog promo code ALARM to unlock your $75 bonus and more, then put it to work on Wednesday's Underdog NBA picks.
How to Claim the Underdog Offer
- Download the Underdog app on iOS or Android, or visit the Underdog website.
- Create your account and enter promo code ALARM during registration.
- Choose your welcome offer and make your first deposit.
- Build your first entry with Embiid and VanVleet, or your own plays from Wednesday's slate.
What are the Best Underdog NBA Picks Today?
For Wednesday, October 28, 2026, our top Underdog plays are Joel Embiid Higher 22.5 points against the Pacers and Fred VanVleet Higher 6.5 assists against the Bucks.
Is Joel Embiid a Good Higher Points Play Against the Pacers?
Yes. Embiid has scored 24 and 28 points in his last two games, and he's making 7.3 free throws per game this season. The 76ers-Pacers total sits around 236.5, one of the highest on the board.
What is the Underdog Promo Code?
The Underdog promo code is ALARM. Enter it when you register to unlock Underdog's welcome offer.
Then check back with Fantasy Alarm every day for new Underdog NBA picks and our NBA DFS Projections all season long.