Diving into Underdog Fantasy picks for November 11, 2025, as an NBA analyst focused on projections and matchups. This platform's higher/lower format shines with player props, and tonight's slate offers value on overs for Joel Embiid and Ajay Mitchell. Underdog rewards bold projections, so let's explore why these overs stand out.

Underdog NBA Picks: Tuesday, 11/11; NBA DFS Projections

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Joel Embiid NBA Underdog Fantasy Pick: Higher than 20.5 Points

Embiid is an elite Underdog pick tonight, as he’s averaging 19.7 PPG on 46.0% shooting while playing just 23.3 minutes per game. Though he’s only cleared this line twice this season,  it’s notable that his minutes over the last three games have begun to climb. With a slower start behind him, Embiid's foul-drawing and post dominance project even higher against a Celtics team allowing opposing centers to dominate them this season. He’s in an ideal matchup to hit the over this evening.

 

 

 

Ajay Mitchell NBA Underdog Fantasy Pick: Higher than 15.5 Points

Mitchell emerges as a breakout Underdog value, projecting over 15.5 points with inflated usage due to Thunder injuries. On the season, he is averaging 17.2 PPG, 4.0 rebounds, and 4.1 assists early in 2025-26, clearing this line in most games. OKC is decimated: Lu Dort, Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Kenrich Williams, Nikola Topic, and Thomas Sorber all out, thrusting Mitchell into a primary role.

 

 

 

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