Diving into Underdog Fantasy picks for November 15, 2025, as an NBA analyst focused on projections and matchups. This platform's higher/lower format shines with player props, and tonight's slate offers value on overs for Jamal Shead and Andrew Nembhard. Underdog rewards bold projections, so let's explore why these overs stand out.

Underdog NBA Picks: Saturday, 11/15; NBA DFS Projections

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Jamal Shead NBA Underdog Fantasy Pick: Higher than 4.5 Assists

Shead is coming off the bench for Toronto but leads the entire league in potential assists per minute. He is averaging 10.8 potential assists in only 18.0 minutes per game and has cleared 4.5 assists in 4 of his last 5 (7, 5, 5, 8). Indiana is completely shredded in the backcourt without Haliburton and ranks bottom 10 in assists allowed to opposing guards over the last week. Shead runs the second unit and gets a ton of kick ahead looks off Scottie Barnes drives.

 

 

Andrew Nembhard NBA Underdog Fantasy Pick: Higher than 18.5 Points

Same reasoning as above. Haliburton gone for the year, wings still out, 27-30% usage, 21-25-22 point run in recent games, 18+ shots on the road, and Toronto gives up a ton to point guards. This is one of the easiest highers on the board tonight.

 

 

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