Diving into Underdog Fantasy picks for November 16, 2025, as an NBA analyst focused on projections and matchups. This platform's higher/lower format shines with player props, and tonight's slate offers value on overs for Jalen Johnson and Jusuf Nurkic Underdog rewards bold projections, so let's explore why these overs stand out.

Underdog NBA Picks: Sunday, 11/16; NBA DFS Projections

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Jalen Johnson NBA Underdog Fantasy Pick: Higher than 21.5 Points

As Atlanta's locked-in starting forward on the depth chart, Jalen Johnson is thriving without Trae Young (out until Nov. 30), averaging 21.5 points with elite efficiency (57.9% FG, 65.0% TS, 23.8 PER). He's cleared 21.5 in three of five recent games, with usage spiking as the Hawks' primary initiator. Phoenix's defensive vulnerabilities are amplified by injuries: Grayson Allen (out until Nov. 18) and Jalen Green (out) thin the rotation. The Suns rank mid-pack against forwards, and Johnson's athleticism should shine in transition.

 

 

Jusuf Nurkic NBA Underdog Fantasy Pick: Higher than 10.5 Rebounds

Jusuf Nurkic anchors Utah's center position on the 2025-26 depth chart, averaging 9.2 rebounds with a 21.4% total rebound rate and 33.0% defensive rate (PER 11.4). He's hit over 10.5 in four of his last five (10, 11, 10, 4, 17), dominating when minutes exceed 23.Chicago's frontcourt, led by Vucevic, allows centers ample boards, and with no major Bulls injuries, the matchup still favors Nurkic's physicality. Jazz injuries to Kyle Anderson (questionable, back), Taylor Hendricks (out), and Walker Kessler (out for season, shoulder) could extend his role on the glass.

 

 

 

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