Thunder vs. Warriors Predictions, Picks & Odds: NBA on Prime, 1/2

Tipping off our weekend is a monster 10-game NBA slate, which includes an awesome Prime Video doubleheader. The second of those games is a highly anticipated Western Conference clash that features Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Stephen Curry. With that in mind, we’re here to add to it with our best Thunder vs. Warriors predictions for tonight.

Better yet, you’ll be able to enjoy more than just Thunder vs. Warriors picks with something else that we’ve also shared - a guaranteed Novig Sportsbook promo code bonus!

Thunder vs. Warriors Predictions for NBA on Prime, 1/2

Both of these Western Conference foes played back on Wednesday night - New Year’s Eve - and both rang in 2026 with victories. It’s only fitting, as many see this matchup as one of the end of a dynasty in Golden State and the start of a new one in OKC. Rather than getting into that debate, we'll focus on Thunder vs. Warriors predictions for tonight.

Although OKC is going to be the expected winner by the books and many fans, they’re certainly the more banged-up team. They were just without Jaylin Williams and Isaiah Hartenstein, among others, in the win over the Portland Trail Blazers. Meanwhile, Golden State survived the Charlotte Hornets missing “only” Seth Curry and LJ Cryer.

This also isn’t the first time that we’re making Thunder vs. Warriors picks this season; it’s already the third time! OKC not only won both of the previous two games, but also covered the spread in each one. Interestingly enough, they were 0-3 against the spread versus Golden State during their championship run last year.

With all that in mind, let’s see what makes the cut for our Thunder vs. Warriors predictions for tonight.

Thunder vs. Warriors Best Bet: OKC Team Total Over 119.5 (-111 at Novig)

We first need to point out some key, subtle details from above. Most fans are good at recognizing the Seth vs. Stephen Curry names, so again, it is SETH that is currently injured, not Steph. That’s good news for those looking to back Golden State with their Thunder vs. Warriors picks.

What is perhaps more subtle is the OKC injury. It is Jaylin Williams who is currently dealing with a heel issue, NOT Jalen Williams. That is the first thing we want to point out, given where we’re headed with our Thunder vs. Warriors predictions. In other words, the one that affects the scoring far more is why we have faith in OKC putting up points. 

Firstly, they’ve already done so against Golden State this season. In each of the aforementioned wins over Stephen Curry and company, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and his boys put up 124 and 126 points. Similarly, they’ve scored 129, 140, and 124 points in each of their last three games. 

So, what about the Golden State side of our Thunder vs. Warriors picks? Well, they just allowed 125 points to the Hornets, one of the worst teams in the NBA. With SGA & company on the road, we’re getting a bit of added value with the line provided, so we’ve got OKC’s team total over 119.5 points (-111 at Novig) as the best bet from our Thunder vs. Warriors predictions. 
 

How To Watch Thunder vs. Warriors Tonight

With this match being streamed exclusively, make sure that you check out how to watch Thunder vs. Warriors tonight:

• Where: Chase Center in San Francisco, CA
• When: 10 PM ET on 1/2
• Where to stream: Prime Video EXCLUSIVELY
   

Thunder vs. Warriors Odds, Spreads, Total & Betting Lines

Unsurprisingly, even on the road, we’ve got the defending champs favored in the latest Thunder vs. Warriors odds for tonight at Novig Sportsbook:

• Point Spread: Oklahoma City Thunder -9.5 (+102) vs. Golden State Warriors +9.5 (+102)
• Money Line: Oklahoma City Thunder (-337) vs. Golden State Warriors (+322)
• Game Total (Over/Under): Over 229.5 (-102) vs. Under 229.5 (-106)
   

Thunder vs. Warriors Injury Report & Latest News

We noted the key Thunder vs. Warriors injuries already, but again, in OKC, it’s all about Jaylin Williams and Isaiah Hartenstein. Even still, those aren’t two guys who greatly affect their overall scoring. As for the Thunder vs. Warriors injuries in Golden State, we know that Seth Curry will be out for a little while longer. 

On the other hand, LJ Cryer’s similar low back issue doesn’t appear as serious. Even still, you’ll always want to have the Fantasy Alarm NBA injury report bookmarked for more than just Thunder vs. Warriors injury news.
 

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