NBA Best Bets Today, 2/4: Picks, Predictions & Player Props - Wednesday
The NBA slate for Wednesday, February 4, is loaded with pivotal matchups and roster-shaking news. With the trade deadline looming and injuries piling up for contenders like the Celtics and Grizzlies, immense value has opened up in the player prop market. We are targeting a Celtics guard set for maximum usage and a Grizzlies playmaker filling the void for Ja Morant.
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Memphis Grizzlies vs Sacramento Kings Prediction: Wednesday 2/4 - Ty Jerome Over 14.5 Points
The Memphis Grizzlies head to the Golden 1 Center to face the Sacramento Kings, and while the team is struggling on a six-game road losing streak, Ty Jerome has emerged as a reliable offensive engine.
With Ja Morant sidelined, Jerome has been handed the keys to the offense. He has capitalized on the opportunity, scoring 19 and 20 points in his last two games while shooting efficiently from the field. Tonight, he faces a Sacramento Kings defense that ranks near the bottom of the league in defensive rating and struggles to contain perimeter scorers.
The Kings are also dealing with their own lineup issues, with Domantas Sabonis listed as questionable (back). Whether Sabonis plays or not, Sacramento's pace and defensive lapses create a perfect environment for Jerome to thrive. The 14.5 line is simply too low for a player who has taken 10+ shots in back-to-back games and is the primary creator for his squad.
Boston Celtics vs Houston Rockets Predictions: Wednesday 2/4 - Payton Pritchard Over 21.5 Points
This is the premier value play of the entire slate. The Boston Celtics are decimated by injuries heading into tonight's clash with the Houston Rockets. Jaylen Brown (hamstring) is doubtful, leaving a massive scoring vacuum that Payton Pritchard is destined to fill.
Pritchard has a proven track record of exploding when the Celtics' stars sit. In recent weeks, he has dropped 32 points against Brooklyn and 29 points against Sacramento in similar high-usage spots. Averaging 16.8 points over his last 10 games even with a mixed role, Pritchard becomes the de facto number one option tonight.
Pritchard will have the green light to shoot 20+ times tonight, and in a game where Boston needs every bucket, 22 points is a very attainable floor.
NBA Picks, Predictions & Best Bets Today, 2/4
Beyond our headline props, here are four more rapid-fire bets to lock in for Wednesday's action:
OG Anunoby Over 16.5 Points
The Knicks host the Denver Nuggets tonight, and OG Anunoby enters the game in stellar form. He is averaging 18.8 points per game over his last 10 contests and has scored 23+ points in four of his last five. Denver's defense can be vulnerable on the wings, and with the Knicks' offense clicking, Anunoby's volume remains safe.
Jaden McDaniels Over 1.5 Three-Pointers Made
Minnesota travels to Toronto to face the Raptors, a team that ranks 19th in three-pointers allowed to small forwards. Jaden McDaniels is shooting the lights out, connecting on 62.5% of his threes over his last 10 games. He has hit at least two triples in seven of those 10 outings, making this plus-money prop a steal.
Sacramento Kings -1.5
Despite their defensive woes, the Kings are at home against a Grizzlies team that has forgotten how to win on the road (0-6 in their last six away games). With Memphis missing Morant and dealing with depth issues, Sacramento's offense should have enough firepower to cover this short spread at the Golden 1 Center.
Cleveland Cavaliers -3.5
The Cavaliers head to Los Angeles to face the Clippers in what could be a lopsided affair. With the Clippers roster potentially in flux with James Harden traded and Ivica Zubac ruled out, Cleveland looks like a strong play tonight that should be able to control the game. The Cavs have been excellent at covering small spreads against shorthanded teams this season.
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