The NBA picks and player props for Wednesday, February 11th are here to help you crush the sportsbooks. Today’s slate is packed with value, offering elite NBA best bets and high-upside opportunities driven by the latest injury news and rotation changes. Beat the fast-paced basketball market using our Data Edge Picks and verified Expert Picks to navigate daily rotation changes. Find soft lines on player stats instantly with the Prop Finder and Odds Finder. Stay ahead of the books by tracking situational spots and streaks with our comprehensive Betting Trends.

 

New Orleans Pelicans vs Miami Heat Prediction: Wednesday 2/11 - Trey Murphy Over 22.5 Points

Trey Murphy is playing some of the best basketball of his career. He has hit the Over in 3 of his last 4 games, posting totals of 21, 26, 44, and 27 points. The only "miss" in that stretch was a 21-point outing where he only played 28 minutes due to a blowout where he was well on pace to crush the number. Tonight's game against the Miami Heat projects to be a fast-paced affair, which suits Murphy's transition game perfectly. With his confidence sky-high and the volume consistent, Murphy is in a prime spot to continue his scoring tear.

New Orleans Pelicans vs Miami Heat Prediction: Wednesday 2/11 - Bam Adebayo Over 1.5 Three-Pointers

Bam Adebayo’s evolution into a perimeter threat continues to pay dividends. He has cleared this line in 7 of his last 10 games, showing no hesitation to let it fly from deep. Over that stretch, he is averaging a healthy 6.2 three-point attempts per game. Tonight, he faces a New Orleans Pelicans team that consistently allows opponents to generate open looks from beyond the arc. The Pelicans' defensive scheme tends to collapse on drives, leaving popping bigs like Bam open at the top of the key.

 

NBA Picks, Predictions & Best Bets Today, 2/11

Ty Jerome Over 15.5 Points

We hopped back in on the Jerome line recently when it was set at 13.5 and it cashed easily. He has now scored at least 19 points in four of his last five games since returning to the lineup. Tonight's line is 16.5, and while he is still limited to roughly 20 minutes, his usage rates are nothing short of insane as he’s averaging nearly 35% this season. In his last five games, those usage numbers have been 36.7%, 32.7%, 33.5%, 34.5%, and 34.9%. He is hunting his shot on every possession, and against the Nuggets tonight, we expect that volume to continue.

Day'Ron Sharpe Over 14.5 Points

We are firing this play with the confirmation that Nic Claxton is officially doubtful and expected to sit. In the two games Claxton has missed this season where Sharpe stepped into the starting role, he has been a force, averaging 31 minutes and posting 14 and 17 points. The volume is there when the path is cleared. He faces an Indiana Pacers squad that has ruled out the majority of their starting lineup and currently ranks as one of the league's worst defenses in the paint. This is a "feed the big man" spot against a depleted roster.

 

NBA Picks Against the Spread Today, 2/11

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