Thursday's two-game NBA slate tips off with Magic vs. Suns at 9 p.m. ET and wraps with Heat vs. Warriors at 10 p.m., and our NBA best bets include a side, a team total, and a full card of player props.

Rest is the story tonight. Orlando and Golden State were off Wednesday, while Phoenix and Miami are both on the second night of a back-to-back, and both tired teams also rank among the league's worst at defending the three. We're targeting those spots in our NBA picks today. New to Rebet Sportsbook? You can grab $100 in bonus bets when you sign up and put it to work on tonight's NBA predictions.

NBA Picks, Predictions & Best Bets Today, 11/5

Our NBA best bets for Thursday are the Magic +1.5 in Phoenix and the Warriors team total Over 121.5 against Miami. On the prop side, we're featuring Stephen Curry Over 4.5 three-pointers and Anthony Black Over 14.5 points, with more player props listed below. Shop around before you bet.

 

 

 

Magic vs. Suns Prediction: Thursday, 11/5

Pick: Magic +1.5

The rest advantage is clear. Orlando had Wednesday off, while Phoenix played on Wednesday and now hosts the Magic on the second night of a back-to-back. That's a meaningful edge in a game priced as nearly a coin flip.

Phoenix's defense has been the worst in the NBA, allowing 121.5 points per 100 possessions, according to ESPN's Hollinger team stats. Opponents are also shooting 40.3% from three against the Suns, 29th in the league, which plays right into Orlando's strengths. Tristan da Silva is shooting 44.2% from deep, and Anthony Black is at 47.4%.

The Magic are shorthanded without Paolo Banchero and Jalen Suggs, and Black missed Monday, so check his status. But with a rest edge against a tired team that can't defend the perimeter, we'll take the points. Magic +1.5 is our first of Thursday's NBA best bets.

Heat vs. Warriors Prediction: Thursday, 11/5

Pick: Warriors Team Total Over 121.5

Golden State's offense is rolling. The Warriors have won five straight; they're averaging 117.5 points per game, and Stephen Curry is averaging 30.0 points while hitting 4.5 threes per game.

Miami is the ideal opponent for a shooting team. The Heat allow opponents to shoot 40.5% from three, the worst mark in the NBA, and give up a league-high 17.1 made threes per game. Miami also plays at the third-fastest pace in the league at 98.4 possessions per game, which adds possessions for a Warriors team that's already scoring well, and the Heat are on the second night of a back-to-back after playing the Clippers on Wednesday.

Golden State is a 7.5-point favorite with a 235.5 total, which implies roughly 121.5 points for the Warriors. Against a tired Miami team that can't defend the three, we expect the Warriors to clear it. Warriors team total Over 121.5 rounds out our game picks among today's NBA best bets.

 

 

 

Best NBA Prop Bets & Other Picks Today, 11/5

Stephen Curry Over 4.5 Three-Pointers

Curry has made 6, 8, and 5 threes over his last three games on 43 attempts, and he's averaging 4.5 makes on 10.5 attempts with a 42.9% clip from deep.

Miami gives up a league-high 17.1 made threes per game and is on the second night of a back-to-back, so Curry should get plenty of clean looks.

Anthony Black Over 14.5 Points

Black is averaging 16.5 points on 52.5% shooting and 47.4% from three, clearing this line in three of four games, including 23 against Boston on Sunday.

He missed Monday's game, so confirm he's active. If he plays, Phoenix's worst-in-the-league defense and back-to-back fatigue set him up well.

More player props we like on Thursday's slate:

  • Tristan da Silva Over 12.5 Points: Da Silva is averaging 14.1 points on 44.2% from three and has cleared this line in four of seven games, and Phoenix allows opponents to shoot 40.3% from deep.
  • Klay Thompson Over 13.5 Points: Thompson has scored 25, 19, and 30 points in his last three games with 19 made threes, and he returns to Chase Center in a game with a 235.5 total.

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Then check back with Fantasy Alarm every day for new NBA best bets, picks, and predictions all season long.