Looking for the best Underdog Fantasy MLB picks today? Our experts at Fantasy Alarm break down Saturday's top pitcher projections for the MLB slate, targeting the highest-value Higher/Lower pick'em entries across earned runs and outs recorded. Whether you're building a single entry or stacking multiple legs, we've done the homework so you don't have to. Check out Fantasy Alarm's Underdog MLB picks page for daily projections, lineup advice, and sharp analysis all season long.

🎯 Play These Picks on Underdog Fantasy Today

Ready to put these picks to work? Head to Underdog Fantasy and use promo code ALARM to claim your new user bonus. Pick Higher or Lower on today's top MLB player projections, stack your entries, and compete for real cash prizes. Click here to sign up for Underdog Fantasy with promo code ALARM and get your bonus before today's first pitch.

 

Jacob Lopez Underdog MLB Pick'em — Higher 2.5 Earned Runs

Oakland Athletics

Two starts into the 2026 season, Jacob Lopez has allowed at least three earned runs in every outing, and nothing in his underlying performance suggests that number is coming down today.

Lopez carries a 6.48 ERA and a 2.75 WHIP through his first two starts, both of which easily cleared Higher 2.5. The root cause is a command problem that has been present all season. He issued five walks in each of his first two starts, creating constant traffic on the bases that inevitably results in runs. In his season debut against the Atlanta Braves he gave up three earned runs over four innings. Then against Houston on April 5 he again allowed three earned runs, this time in 4 1/3 innings with five more walks.  A pitcher who cannot find the zone at a reasonable rate will give up runs at a consistent clip regardless of the quality of contact against him, and Lopez's 2.75 WHIP reflects a pitcher who is continuously putting himself in damage-control situations.

Higher 2.5 Earned Runs for a pitcher who has cleared that mark in both of his 2026 appearances while posting a 6.48 ERA and the control numbers of someone still working back to full health is one of the cleanest Higher selections on Saturday's Underdog card.

Lance McCullers Underdog MLB Pick'em — Higher 15.5 Outs

Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners

McCullers showed in his 2026 debut what a healthy, sharp version of him looks like, and today's matchup against a Seattle lineup that has been one of the weakest against right-handed pitching in baseball sets up an ideal scenario for him to work deep into the game.

McCullers went seven full innings against the Red Sox in his season opener, recording 21 outs while striking out nine and allowing a single earned run. Seattle's lineup vs. right-handed pitching in 2026 represents a significant step down in competition from that Boston appearance and most other lineups he would face. The Mariners are hitting just .200 against RHP this season with a .307 OBP, a .357 slugging percentage, and a .664 OPS. Their 27.6 percent strikeout rate against right-handers is among the highest in the league and aligns precisely with McCullers' pitch mix: a heavy curveball usage that generates swing-and-miss at a strong rate and induces weak contact when batters do make contact. A lineup posting a .254 BABIP and .200 average is one that is producing weak contact and few hard-hit balls, which translates to quick, efficient innings for a pitcher with McCullers' profile.

Higher for a pitcher who opened the season with 21 outs and faces one of the most RHP-challenged lineups in the early 2026 season is a well-supported selection.

Build Your Underdog Pick'em Entry Today

Stack both of today's MLB picks into a single Underdog Fantasy Pick'em entry and let Saturday's pitching matchups work in your favor. Our analysts track every injury report, command trend, and matchup angle so you can play with confidence every day of the season. Sign up for Underdog Fantasy with promo code ALARM and claim your new user bonus before today's first pitch.