Underdog Fantasy MLB Picks Today, 7/30: DFS Projections + Judge Promo
Tuesday’s MLB picks over on Underdog Fantasy feature a pair of starting pitchers with Tampa Bay Rays lefty Jeffrey Springs making his season debut against the Miami Marlins and Seattle Mariners righty Luis Castillo taking on the Boston Red Sox in an entry with a 3.96x multiplier.
MLB Underdog Fantasy Picks & Promo Today: Tuesday, July 30th
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Jeffrey Springs Underdog MLB Pick: More Than 5.5 Strikeouts
Springs is making his season debut after recovering from Tommy John surgery and will have the pleasure of facing off against a Miami Marlins team that is in fire sale mode as we approach the MLB trade deadline. Springs averaged over a strikeout per inning during his minor league rehab assignment and, prior to his injury, he had 24 strikeouts in 16 innings over three starts in 2023.
Pitch count should not be a problem in his season debut as Springs got up to 82 pitches in his final rehab outing, which means he should be in the game long enough to finish with more than the 5.5 strikeout projection we are looking to target here today.
Luis Castillo Underdog MLB Pick: More Than 3.5 Earned Runs
Listen, there is no argument that Castillo has been one of the better pitchers in baseball over the last decade and he has been really good for a lot of this season as well given his 3.38 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 126 strikeouts over 130.1 innings. But we have also pointed out his struggles on the road this season, where he has a 4.11 ERA and has allowed eight homers over 57 innings pitched.
The Red Sox are a top five offensive team against right-handed pitching, and they are a very good home hitting team given the friendly confines of Fenway Park. Lefties are doing the damage against Castillo this season, owning an .804 OPS with a .467 slugging percentage and Boston is loading their lineup with five of their first six hitters coming from the left side of the plate.
Total Multiplier - 3.96x
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