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MLB Underdog Fantasy Picks Today: Saturday, May 11

Freddy Peralta, SP Milwaukee Brewers

  • 6.5 strikeouts – Higher

Guess who’s back from his suspension and ready to throw with a big chip on his shoulder? Peralta has gone higher than 6.5 strikeouts in five of his seven starts this season, one of which was against this same Cardinals team. Not only is this St. Louis team struggling to win games and score runs, they are also striking out at a near 25-percent clip against righthanded pitching this season. With Peralta striking out more than a batter per inning (11.64 K/9), we probably only need him to go five innings to reach his mark and he’s done that in all but one start this season. Giddy up!

Tyler Anderson, SP Los Angeles Angels

  • 1.5 walks – Higher (0.9x)

OK, fine, so it’s a little short on the multiplier here, but that’s simply because Anderson has averaged over two walks per game this season. In fact, he’s only gone lower than the 1.5 in one game this season and that was against Tampa Bay who has just a 7.2-percent walk-rate against southpaws this season. Overall against lefties, the Royals don’t walk at a much higher rate, but even just 8.3-percent walk rate over the past week and knowing that guys like Salvador Perez and Nelson Velasquez are walking at a minimum of 13-percent of the time, we’ve got a winner here.



Andrew Heaney, SP Texas Rangers 

  • 16.5 outs -- Lower 

While Heaney has gone higher than 16.5 outs in each of his last three starts, I still worry about him pitching at Coors Field today and going deep into the game. Jon Gray did it on Friday, but the Rockies have been playing comfortably at home over the last few days and have averaged just over five runs per game over their last three. Heaney has only made three career starts at Coors Field, so he may need some adjustment time to the altitude when he’s out there and I could see the Rockies pushing his pitch count up early tonight.

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