Looking for the best Underdog Fantasy MLB picks today? Our Underdog MLB Pick'em predictions for Thursday, September 10th, spotlight two MLB player props worth targeting on today’s action-packed MLB slate. The lines for Trea Turner’s hits+runs+RBI and Jared Jones’ strikeouts both come with clear situational edges backed by current form, matchup data, and recent trends. If you are building your Underdog Pick'em entry for today’s MLB slate, here is the full case for where we land on both and why the MLB DFS projections are set up the way they are.

What are the Best Underdog MLB Pick'em Picks Today?

Today’s two best Underdog Fantasy MLB Pick'em plays are Trea Turner over 1.5 hits+runs+RBI and Jared Jones over 5.5 strikeouts. Both props are supported by matchup data, current streaks, and favorable line construction heading into an action-packed day of baseball. Read below for the complete analysis on each.

 

 

 

Trea Turner OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI

Turner is hitting an even .300 with a .650 SLG during his five-game hit streak, and since the All-Star break, he has a respectable .743 OPS and a strong .212 ISO versus RHP. Turner and the Phillies get a good matchup today against Cristian Javier, who has a 5.24 ERA, 2.01 HR/9, and 1.39 WHIP over his last 22.1 IP. The Houston right-hander has served up a .519 SLG and 2.39 HR/9 to right-handed hitters this year, and away from his home park, he has a 6.65 ERA and .313 BAA in 2026.

Jared Jones OVER 5.5 Strikeouts

Since allowing 8 ER to the Mets back on August 9, Jones has pitched to a 2.75 ERA, 3.04 FIP, and 32.1% strikeout rate over his last four starts. Across those four starts, he has a healthy 16.3% swinging strike rate, and his changeup is an elite make-you-miss pitch against left-handed hitters (42.9% whiff rate). For the year, he has a 28.2% strikeout rate on the road, and his opponent today, the Chicago White Sox, have the eighth-highest strikeout rate (23.6%) against RHP over the last 30 days!

Chicago could trot out as many as seven left-handed hitters against Jones today, but Jones’ strikeout rate on the year against lefties (29.1%) is higher than his mark against righties (25.5%). He has to keep the walks in check, but if he can get through 5 IP, there’s a great chance he pushes beyond this line.

 

 

 

Claim Your Underdog Fantasy Promo Code Bonus

If you have not yet signed up for Underdog Fantasy, there is no better time than tonight. New users who register using promo code ALARM will receive a free pick plus $50 instantly, giving you real money to work with on this slate and every MLB game going forward. Visit fantasyalarm.com/offers to lock in your bonus before the evening games get underway.