Taj Bradley Underdog MLB Picks Today, 9/17: Baseball Projections + More

Thursday's top two Underdog plays go in opposite directions, with the Twins' strikeout leader chasing 200 for the season projecting over and a Brewers lefty coming off a disastrous relief outing projecting under, for Underdog Fantasy. Before you lock in your Higher or Lower calls, cross-check the numbers with our MLB Player Prop Tool and track how our staff is doing on the board with the MLB Expert Picks Tracker.

Taj Bradley MLB Underdog Fantasy Pick: Higher than 6.5 Strikeouts

Bradley sits just 10 strikeouts shy of 200 for the season, backing an 11-6 record and 3.81 ERA with a sharp .217 opponents' batting average. His last outing produced six scoreless innings against Cleveland on just one hit, and he owns a 1-0 record with a 2.95 ERA in three career appearances against Los Angeles. Los Angeles carries a 25.8 percent strikeout rate against right-handed pitching for the season that has climbed to an elite 29.8 percent over the last two weeks, one of the best matchup numbers on the board. That combination of a proven track record and a genuinely elite, trending-hotter matchup gives him a clear path to clearing this number.

Kyle Harrison MLB Underdog Fantasy Pick: Lower than 5.5 Strikeouts

Harrison's last outing was a disaster, charged with four earned runs on four hits without recording a single out in relief against Cincinnati, coming on the heels of a two-month absence for forearm tightness. He is being moved back into a starting role tonight after the Brewers shuffled their rotation following their NL Central clinch, adding real uncertainty about his workload and sharpness. Pittsburgh's strikeout rate against left-handed pitching has cooled to just 16.7 percent over the last two weeks, down from a 25.3 percent season mark. That combination of a worrying last appearance and a cooling opponent makes the under the smarter side of this number.

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