Quick Summary of Today's Top Underdog Picks:

  • Jonathan Aranda (TB): Higher than 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI (Crushed RHP in 2025 and facing a RHP who struggled with LHH last season)
  • Chad Patrick (MIL): Higher than 14.5 Pitching Outs (86 pitches in last spring start, taking on the White Sox in his home park)
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The Underdog Fantasy board for Saturday is ripe with opportunity as we look at a few notable matchups on today’s slate. We are taking a look at two players who find themselves in juicy matchups, and on the best side of their splits when looking back at the 2025 season. Be sure to check out all of the information we have available at FantasyAlarm to stay ahead of the field and win some cash!

 

 

 

Jonathan Aranda Underdog MLB Pick - Higher than 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI

Michael McGreevy toes the rubber for the Cardinals today, and left-handed hitters abused him last season, to the tune of a .543 SLG, .388 wOBA, and .911 OPS. McGreevy didn’t miss bats last season, served up a lot of contact, and Aranda punished right-handed pitching in 2025. Last season, Aranda hit .329 against righties, not to mention a .930 OPS, and .397 wOBA. Aranda went yard on Opening Day, and I’d expect another productive day for Aranda and the Tampa Bay offense on Saturday.

Analysis: Aranda’s numbers against RHP last season are impressive, and McGreevy’s numbers against left-handed hitters from the 2025 season are equally as unimpressive. I love this spot for Aranda.

 

 

 

Chad Patrick Underdog MLB Pick - Higher than 14.5 Pitching Outs

It wasn’t the best of springs for Patrick, as he was knocked around a bit, but he threw 83 and 87 pitches in his final two outings, meaning he can handle a full 90+ pitch workload today. While the White Sox offense can be powerful, they are prone to cold spells, and Patrick posted a 2.94 ERA, 3.24 FIP, and 20.6 K-BB% when pitching at home last season. If he can keep the ball in the park and limit any free passes, with 90-95 pitches on the ledger, he should be able to complete five innings today.

Analysis: Patrick was stretched to 80+ pitches in not one, but two spring starts, and he finds himself on the best side of his home/road splits from 2025, paving the way for a strong start to his 2026 campaign.

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