Jacob deGrom Underdog MLB Picks Today, 5/22: Baseball Projections + More

Looking to construct a profitable card to kickstart your weekend? We are uncovering the best value on the board by comparing our advanced MLB DFS Projections against recent performance trends and lineup metrics to exploit market inefficiencies. Today’s card focuses on pitchers facing opponents with notable short-term and season-long variance. Model movements can be tracked daily on the Fantasy Alarm Bet Tracker to view our complete list of expert picks.

Jacob deGrom MLB Underdog Fantasy Pick: Higher than 7.5 Strikeouts

Jacob deGrom is an exceptional anchor for your entries today. The righty has been flashing dominant stuff all season, posting a 31.0-percent strikeout rate and a blistering 10.8 K/9. Today, he gets a fantastic matchup against the Los Angeles Angels. The Angels represent the absolute top strikeout target in the majors against righties on the full season, striking out at a high 26.4-percent clip, and they have maintained a high 26.6-percent rate over the last 14 days. deGrom's excellent matchup profile gives him a clear path to the Higher.

Payton Tolle MLB Underdog Fantasy Pick: Higher than 5.5 Strikeouts

Payton Tolle is another high-value play on today’s board for your Underdog MLB Picks. Tolle is missing bats at a 26.1-percent clip and has cleared this mark in 2 of 5 starts this season. Today, he faces a Minnesota Twins lineup that has been uncharacteristically swing-happy over the last two weeks, seeing their strikeout rate against left-handers rise to 23.8 percent. Our MLB DFS Projections show a high floor for Tolle today, and taking the Higher on a 5.5 line looks like the sharp move for your card.

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