Gavin Williams Underdog MLB Picks Today, 10/5: Baseball Projections + More

Monday's top two Underdog plays come from the ALDS Game 2s, with the AL's strikeout leader and the AL Cy Young favorite both taking the ball with their teams trailing 1-0, for Underdog Fantasy. Before you lock in your Higher or Lower calls, cross-check the numbers with our MLB Player Prop Tool and track how our staff is doing on the board with the MLB Expert Picks Tracker.

Gavin Williams MLB Underdog Fantasy Pick: Higher than 7.5 Strikeouts

Williams led the American League with 248 strikeouts, a 33.2 percent strikeout rate, and a major-league-high 11 double-digit strikeout games this season. In four starts against Chicago, he struck out 28 batters in 20.1 innings, so this lineup has not slowed him down. The White Sox carry a 24.1 percent strikeout rate against right-handed pitching for the season that has climbed to 25.3 percent over the last two weeks. He is coming off ten days of rest and a short outing against Kansas City, but he threw a simulated game last week and has a 2.84 ERA across 18 home starts.

Cam Schlittler MLB Underdog Fantasy Pick: Higher than 6.5 Strikeouts

Schlittler struck out 10 over 6.1 scoreless innings against Boston in the Wild Card Series, leaning on a career-high 32 curveballs. He carries a 31.4 percent strikeout rate, a 1.95 ERA, and a 1.16 road ERA, and he has struck out 21 Rays across three starts this season. Tampa Bay's strikeout rate against right-handed pitching is only 18.0 percent for the season, but it has climbed to 23.2 percent over the last two weeks. With the Yankees down 1-0, he has every reason to attack the zone from the first pitch.

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