Chris Sale ParlayPlay MLB Picks Today, 10/6: Baseball Projections + More

Tuesday's top two ParlayPlay plays go in opposite directions, with an ace facing a contact-first lineup projecting Lower and a returning righty facing a hot-striking-out lineup projecting Higher. Our MLB DFS Projections have both arms flagged as strong plays tonight. For a deeper look at how tonight's arms project pitch by pitch, check out our MLB DFS Pitcher Projections, and line-shop today's strikeout numbers with our MLB Odds Finder before you build your board.

Chris Sale MLB ParlayPlay Pick: Lower than 7.5 Strikeouts

Los Angeles carries a 20.0 percent strikeout rate against left-handed pitching for the season that has sunk to 17.2 percent over the last two weeks, the softest recent number on the board. Sale owns 200 strikeouts and 11.1 K/9, but his 11-strikeout gem against this lineup on August 27 took a full nine innings. Eight strikeouts require about six and a half innings at his pace, and October managers hook quickly. That is the number. That is the play.

Nick Pivetta MLB ParlayPlay Pick: Higher than 3.5 Strikeouts

Pivetta carries a 30.0 percent strikeout rate and 10.9 K/9, and he has posted a 1.45 ERA across four starts since returning from a nearly five-month absence. He struck out four over 3.1 innings against the Cubs in the Wild Card Series. Milwaukee's strikeout rate against right-handed pitching has jumped to 29.6 percent over the last two weeks, up from 22.7 percent for the season. Do not overthink it.

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