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As I explain in the daily fantasy baseball rankings today, I am as excited about today as I have been about any slate in DFS this season. I am always confident in the numbers we generate with the Playbook, but today we have a tremendous blend of super hot players with tremendously valuable value plays. This combination doesn't happen very often and there is no guarantee it all goes according to plan, but its definitely something to be motivated by tonight.
The key to it all is getting these mid-line pitchers to support the bats this evening. I am going to roll out Matt Harvey in most of my cash games as he should have success against the awful Phillies lineup. The reasoning behind Gio Gonzalez is that he strikes out over a batter per inning, is at home, is a heavy favorite and the Nationals lineup matches up very well against Braves starter Eric Stults. Jimmy Nelson is a risky play for sure but his price is low and the Cubs have been extrodinarily lucky with their balls put in play (.329) this season. Nelson's indicators are much better than his record (1-2) & ERA (4.03) suggest. I am throwing in Aaron Sanchez as the fifth option tonight as mostly a tournament play. I never include five starters but Sanchez is in a situation where his price is crazy low and my stack of the night is the Blue Jays against Wade Freaking Miley (actual name).
As always, I'll be adding some value plays throughout the day and keep a watch over the lineups as they come out.
Here is the DFS MLB Playbook for Friday May 8th:
|Matt Harvey||SP||NYM||PHI||7,950||10,600||11,000||Phils have low BB% & high K%|
|Gio Gonzalez||SP||WSH||ATL||6,750||8,900||9,500||More indictment of Stults Vs Nats lineup|
|Jimmy Nelson||SP||MIL||CHI||6,250||6,700||6,200||Cubs good luck meets Nelson's bad|
|David Price||SP||DET||KC||7,500||10,900||10,400||Great option but KC is tough matchup|
|Aaron Sanchez||SP||TOR||BOS||4,850||6,400||5,800||Extreme value, Jays will kill Miley tonight|
|Yasmani Grandal||C||LA||COL||4,750||3,200||4,100||12-17 (.706) 3HR, 10 RBI in last 5 games|
|Russell Martin||C||TOR||BOS||5,250||3,900||4,800||.723 wOBA & 4 HR over last 6 games|
|Wilson Ramos||C||WSH||ATL||4,600||2,800||4,100||.497 wOBA in last 5 & better Vs LHP|
|Anthony Rizzo||1B||CHI||MIL||5,750||4,600||5,300||.391/.462/.957 3 HR in last 26 PA|
|Edwin Encarnacion||1B||TOR||BOS||5,200||3,700||4,900||Discounted price in sweet matchup|
|Kennys Vargas||1B||MIN||CLE||4,350||2,600||3,900||Hitting .412 in last 4 games, value|
|Robinson Cano||2B||SEA||OAK||5,100||3,400||4,100||Discounted price & starting to get hot|
|Aaron Hill||3B||ARI||SD||4,400||2,900||3,600||10-35 (.286) 3 HR Vs Shields|
|Dee Gordon||2B||MIA||SF||5,650||3,800||4,500||The guy is hitting .437 on the SEASON!|
|Josh Donaldson||3B||TOR||BOS||5,650||3,600||4,400||.293/.375/.576 career Vs LHP|
|Yasmany Tomas||3B||ARI||SD||3,650||3,000||4,000||6-11 (.545) 4 R 3 RBI in last 2 games|
|Trevor Plouffe||3B||MIN||CLE||4,750||2,900||4,100||.364/.462/.636 in last 7 games|
|Ian Desmond||SS||WSH||ATL||4,550||3,000||4,200||Deflated $, great power & speed combo|
|Andrelton Simmons||SS||ATL||WSH||4,750||3,000||4,000||6-18 2HR Vs Gio; .594 wOBA in last 6 gms|
|Jhonny Peralta||SS||STL||PIT||4,950||2,800||3,600||15-46 (.326) 2 HR Vs Liriano|
|Brad Miller||SS||SEA||OAK||4,050||2,200||3,200||VALUE PLAY, hitting 2nd tonight|
|Michael Brantley||OF||CLE||MIN||5,350||4,200||5,500||.435/.556/.826 w/ 0 K's in last 7 games|
|Juan Lagares||OF||NYM||PHI||4,500||2,300||3,300||11-25 (.440) Vs Hamels|
|Jacoby Ellsbury||OF||NYY||BAL||5,250||4,400||5,200||.445 wOBA in last 6 games|
|Preston Tucker||OF||HOU||LAA||N/A||3,000||2,000||.320/.378/.650 10 HR & 32 RBI in minors|
|Jose Bautista||OF||TOR||BOS||5,500||4,800||4,900||Blue Jays going to roll on Wade Miley|
|Anthony Gose||OF||DET||KC||4,500||3,100||3,100||Value, hits leadoff Vs RHP|
|Carlos Peguero||OF||TEX||TB||3,350||2,900||3,000||.621 wOBA & 3 HR in last 6 games|
|Jayson Werth||OF||WSH||ATL||4,550||2,900||4,400||Crushes LHP|