Welcome in to the end of the work week MLB bettors out there! Whether it was a week you were treading water or one you crushed doesn't matter because its Friday now and the good times are here again. My last article did well with the exception of Rafael Devers deciding to ride the pine on a night where the Red Sox offense went wild but oh well these things happen I suppose. Tonight's bets are a mix of Money Lines, 1st 5 Innings bets and player props that will look to continue the hot streak I have been riding since last week, 10-5-1 to be precise. They have a lot to live up too but I love this slate of MLB today so let's dive right into the action I have for June 16th!
- Wednesday's Record: 2-1-1
- Season Record: 26-17-1
- Bankroll: +3.55 units
MLB Best Bets for June 16
Fading the Rockies has been a profitable endeavor this MLB season and tonight I am looking to pounce on them once again! They will be facing off against one of the league's best teams in the Braves and it seems like they could get pounded by their offense. The Braves score 5.26 runs per game this season which is the 4th highest rate in the major leagues but over their last 3 games they have scored 24 runs, yes you read that correctly. That makes me think their team total could be bumped to 6.5 for tonight but the sportsbooks are holding steady at 5.5 and we love that. It gets even better because Dinelson Lamet will start for Colorado tonight and he is extra stinky this season with a 10.38 ERA and 2.31 WHIP over 21.2 innings of work. The Braves should run all over the Rockies but let's not stop there because a potential offensive explosion is perfect for batter props. You could look at a few players for tonight but why not the best of the best in Ronald Acuna Jr. He is over his prop line of 2.5 hits, runs and RBIs in 6 of the last 9 games and has a perfect matchup tonight for a big outing so let's lock that in for tonight.
Pick: Atlanta Braves Over 5.5 Team Total Runs (-140 on DraftKings)
Pick: Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 2.5 Hits/Runs/RBIs (-110 on DraftKings)
I will give it to the Tigers they have been pesky of late with some big games scoring 21 runs over their last 3 games but tonight they fall into a matchup with the Twins and their ace Joe Ryan. The Minnesota starter is 7-3 this season with a 2.9 ERA, 0.97 WHIP and 84 strikeouts over 77.2 innings pitched. This has given the Twins a big leg up in games and tonight should be much of the same as the Tigers overall are scoring over their heads and are due for some regression. On the season they average just 3.72 runs per game and Ryan should put them in their place. The Twins are also 20-15 at home where they have enjoyed much more success this season scoring 4.6 runs per game. Given the recent late game heroics though from Detroit I am going to nip that in the bud by just taking the spread on the 1st 5 Innings tonight for the Twins so we only have to rely on Joe Ryan to do his job.
Pick: Minnesota Twins 1st 5 Innings Run Line -0.5 (-120 on Bet365)
Let's just come out and say it, the Royals are a horrid team with no relief in sight. They are a dismal 18-50 on the season and just as bad at home with a record of 9-26 and they score just 4.2 runs per game. The offense isn't the only problem though as their starter tonight in Brady Singer is just bad at baseball. Singer has an ERA of 6.58 on top of a 1.59 WHIP and has walked 26 batters over 64.1 total innings. This puts him in a tough spot against an Angels team that ranks 7th best in the MLB when it comes to runs scored per game. Given all of this I was expecting the Angels to be huge favorites but on the books they are sitting around -145 on certain books. Maybe its the recent play of Patrick Sandoval, the starter for Los Angeles tonight who has allowed 11 earned runs in the last 2 starts but either way the Angels should put up tons of runs tonight to support him so give me Mike Trout and the boys tonight on the road.
Pick: Los Angeles Angels Money Line (-145 on BetRivers)
**all bets are one unit unless specifically mentioned.