MLB Stolen Base Picks Today: Best Stolen Base Predictions For September 3rd, 2026
Three times a charm, right? Welcome back to the best stolen base picks for today, where we’ve now cashed for three straight days to open the week. Not only did Shohei Ohtani steal a base for us at +630 from yesterday’s article, but we also cashed on our free newsletter pick of Bobby Witt at +281. Not a bad way to spend your evening, and that’s now four cashed bets over our last three days. Tag that onto last week’s 12-pick run, and we are officially way ahead of the game. We have a much shorter slate today, so let’s try to keep that momentum rolling, and check out the stolen base prop data and see where we want to invest our money today.
Remember, Fantasy Alarm is your one-stop shop for all sports betting and player props, and we’ve got everything for MLB from the stolen bases to the home runs to strikeouts to all the best bets you need to be a successful sports bettor. Our Bet Tracker is loaded up for the day, and all the articles are available to you. Now, it’s time to dive into the research and deliver the best in MLB stolen base picks today.
Also, don’t forget to check out the latest edition of the new weekly stolen base report, as that series will continue to accrue data that will help us out on a daily basis. Everything you need for both daily and weekly fantasy baseball help. And speaking of daily help…you’ll also want to check out the best fantasy sports promo codes from the top legal sites in your state. And don’t forget to also crush your MLB DFS contests today with our DFS Playbook, Starting Lineups, Lineup Generator & DFS Tools!
Best MLB Stolen Base Prop Predictions Today
Identifying the best stolen base predictions requires matching elite sprint speeds against defensive liabilities, and today’s board features incredible betting value across several players, from top stars to some bottom-of-the-lineup supporting characters. Take a look below, but let’s be sure to match them up with the pitchers allowing the most steals to date. Be sure to check in with our MLB Odds Finder to find the best values.
- Chandler Simpson, Tampa Bay Rays (+279)
- Bobby Witt, Kansas City Royals (+300)
- Brice Turang, Milwaukee Brewers (+312)
- Cooper Pratt, Milwaukee Brewers (+321)
- Jonah Cox, San Francisco Giants (+337)
- Jake Mangum, Pittsburgh Pirates (+328)
*Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook
Pitchers Most Vulnerable to Stolen Bases Today
When hunting for successful MLB stolen base picks today, targeting the right pitcher is half the battle. The following list is made up of the day’s starting pitchers who have allowed the most stolen bases this season.
- Kevin Gausman, Chicago Cubs – 16 SB allowed
- Shane McClanahan, Tampa Bay Rays – 14 SB allowed
- Hunter Brown, Houston Astros – 13 SB allowed
- Sandy Alcantara, Miami Marlins – 12 SB allowed
Catchers Allowing the Most Stolen Bases
The final piece of the puzzle for finding the best stolen base predictions involves looking behind the dish at catcher pop times and throwing accuracy. How many times teams attempt to steal a base on a particular catcher is a strong indicator of who we expect to see doing the most running today. The following backstops have the lowest Caught Stealing% with a minimum of 10 SB attempts against them.
- Ivan Herrera, St. Louis Cardinals – 3% CS (33 att.)
- Austin Hedges, Cleveland Guardians – 6% CS (34 att.)
- Drake Baldwin, Atlanta Braves – 8% CS (36 att.)
- James McCann, Arizona Diamondbacks – 11% CS (35 att.)
- Harry Ford, Washington Nationals – 12% CS (17 att.)
- Brett Sullivan, Colorado Rockies – 13% CS (40 att.)
- Victor Caratini, Minnesota Twins – 13% CS (47 att.)
- Agustin Ramirez, Miami Marlins – 13% CS (15 att.)
- Austin Wynns, Texas Rangers – 13% CS (23 att.)
- Endy Rodriguez, Pittsburgh Pirates – 13% CS (23 att.)
- Cal Raleigh, Seattle Mariners – 13% CS (46 att.)
- Ryan Jeffers, Minnesota Twins – 13% CS (31 att.)
Best MLB Stolen Base Picks Today:
Locking in the best stolen base predictions means finding the absolute perfect storm of a high-on-base runner and a weak battery. We’ve got an interesting group of notable base-stealers at shorter odds, so here are our top two MLB stolen base picks today for Thursday, September 3:
Favorite Bets:
Chandler Simpson, Tampa Bay Rays (+279)
Lefty bats are definitely getting the better of Cal Quantrill, which puts Simpson into a great spot today as he is posting a .360 OBP, a .345 BABIP, and 30 stolen bases against right-handed pitching this season. Strong numbers for a guy who is just considered a burner. Texas catcher Elias Diaz has a 26-percent caught-stealing rate, so with that below-average mark and Simpson’s sprint speed, we’ll lock it down for today.
Sam Antonacci, Chicago White Sox (+433)
While Hunter Brown has allowed just 12 stolen bases this season, you have to look deeper into the numbers and look at his innings pitched on the season. Proportionally, that number would be in the 20s had he pitched the whole season. So we’ll pick on him as he allows a .326 wOBA to lefties while Antonacci boasts a strong .370 OBP with 14 stolen bases against right-handed pitching. With Astros catcher Yainer Diaz throwing out just 21-percent of runners, we like this bet.
If you haven’t yet signed up for the Fantasy Alarm daily newsletter, be sure to check it out. I’ve got another stolen base pick there you don’t want to miss. Just sign up on the home page!
