MLB Stolen Base Picks Today: Best Stolen Base Predictions For May 12th, 2026
Stolen Base player props are a high-variance market, but they can also be very profitable. Identifying the best matchups is a great way to find an edge. If you are looking to cash in on baseball's most exciting player prop, you have come to the right place for the ultimate MLB stolen base picks today, targeting the fastest runners on the basepaths.
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Best MLB Stolen Base Prop Predictions Today
Identifying the best stolen base predictions requires matching elite sprint speeds against defensive liabilities, and today’s board features incredible betting value across five dynamic players. You can choose from a few superstars or find a few hidden gems that are off the mainstream radar. Be sure to check in with our MLB Odds Finder to find the best values.
- Austin Martin, Minnesota Twins (+201)*
- Oneil Cruz, Pittsburgh Pirates (+205)
- Luke Keaschall, Minnesota Twins (+222)
- Bobby Witt, Kansas City Royals (+225)
- Nasim Nunez, Washington Nationals (+230)
*Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook
Pitchers Most Vulnerable to Stolen Bases Today
When hunting for successful MLB stolen base picks today, targeting the right pitcher is half the battle. The following list is made up of the day’s starting pitchers who have allowed the most stolen bases this season.
- Eury Perez, Miami Marlins - 12 SB allowed
- Shane McClanahan, Tampa Bay Rays - 6 SB allowed
- Slade Cecconi, Cleveland Guardians - 5 SB allowed
- Bailey Ober, Minnesota Twins - 5 SB allowed
Catchers Allowing the Most Stolen Bases
The final piece of the puzzle for finding the best stolen base predictions involves looking behind the dish at catcher pop times and throwing accuracy. How many times teams attempt to steal a base on a particular catcher is a strong indicator of who we expect to see doing the most running today.
- Nick Fortes, Tampa Bay Rays - 31 attempts allowed
- Drake Baldwin, Atlanta Braves - 28 attempts allowed
- Cal Raleigh, Seattle Mariners - 26 attempts allowed
- Christian Vazquez, Houston Astros - 16 attempts allowed
Best MLB Stolen Base Picks Today:
Locking in the best stolen base predictions means finding the absolute perfect storm of a high-on-base runner and a weak battery. Here are our top two MLB stolen base picks today for Tuesday, May 12:
Favorite Bet:
Austin Martin, OF Minnesota Twins (+201) – Martin is absolutely crushing right-handed pitching, carrying a .362 batting average, a .396 wOBA, and a 12.7% walk rate. Three of his five stolen bases have come against righties. He faces Miami's Eury Perez, who has allowed 12 stolen bases (the most on the slate), while the Marlins hold a horrific 8.2% caught stealing percentage when Perez pitches.
Longshot Bet:
Jakob Marsee, OF Miami Marlins (+393) – Twins righty Bailey Ober has allowed 5 stolen bases this year, the third-highest mark today. The lefty-swinging Marsee already has 12 steals and an 80% success rate this season. Boasting four hits and two walks over his last six starts, Marsee is primed to run against a Twins team allowing an 83.3% stolen base success rate.
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