Welcome back to the best stolen base picks article. After a nice run where we nailed six picks over a nine-day span, it’s gotten a little quiet over the last two days. But as we’ve mentioned in the past, streaks are to be expected in such a high-variance market. This is why we use betting on stolen bases or home runs as an augmentation to our betting and not the basis. Sometimes you can read through all the data like you’ll find on our all-new stolen base prop finder, but the plays just don’t work out. As the late, great John Sterling used to say, “That’s baseball, Suzyn,” referring to Suzyn Waldman, his co-commentator. But we simply dust ourselves off and get right back on that horse. So, let’s dive into the research and deliver the best in MLB stolen base picks today.

Also, don’t forget to check out the latest edition of the new weekly stolen base report, as that series will continue to accrue data that will help us out on a daily basis. Everything you need for both daily and weekly fantasy baseball help. And speaking of daily help…you’ll also want to check out the best fantasy sports promo codes from the top legal sites in your state. And don’t forget to also crush your MLB DFS contests today with our DFS Playbook, Starting Lineups, Lineup Generator & DFS Tools!

Best MLB Stolen Base Prop Predictions Today

Identifying the best stolen base predictions requires matching elite sprint speeds against defensive liabilities, and today’s board features incredible betting value across several players, from top stars to some bottom-of-the-lineup supporting characters. Take a look below, but let’s be sure to match them up with the pitchers allowing the most steals to date. Be sure to check in with our MLB Odds Finder to find the best values. 

*Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook

 

 

 

Pitchers Most Vulnerable to Stolen Bases Today

When hunting for successful MLB stolen base picks today, targeting the right pitcher is half the battle. The following list is made up of the day’s starting pitchers who have allowed the most stolen bases this season.

Catchers Allowing the Most Stolen Bases

The final piece of the puzzle for finding the best stolen base predictions involves looking behind the dish at catcher pop times and throwing accuracy. How many times teams attempt to steal a base on a particular catcher is a strong indicator of who we expect to see doing the most running today. The following backstops have the lowest Caught Stealing% with a minimum of 10 SB attempts against them.

 

 

 

Best MLB Stolen Base Picks Today:

Locking in the best stolen base predictions means finding the absolute perfect storm of a high-on-base runner and a weak battery. Here are our top two MLB stolen base picks today for Tuesday, June 9:

Favorite Bets: 

Pete Crow-Armstrong, Chicago Cubs (+289) – He’s riding a 12-game hit streak right now and is facing Rockies right-hander Tomoyuki Sugano, who is allowing a .396 wOBA to left-handed hitters. Sugano has also allowed eight stolen bases on the season, which is second-most on today’s slate, and the Rockies catchers have a combined caught-stealing rate of just 17.7-percent. Once PCA gets on base, which could be often, expect him to run.

Trea Turner, Philadelphia Phillies (+348) – Blue Jays righty Dylan Cease is going to have a lot on his plate tonight with his first time back on the mound since coming off the injured list. He’s already allowed nine stolen bases, the most of any pitcher on the slate, and his catcher, Brandon Valenzuela, has just a 23-percent caught-stealing rate over 35 attempts. There’s also a chance we'll see Tyler Heineman behind the plate, and he’s been almost as ineffective. Turner, who has 14 steals, a high-level sprint speed, and an 87.5-percent success rate on the bases, is hot right now with hits in four of his last five and has three steals (and one caught stealing) over that span.