If there was ever a more perfect example of why the best stolen base picks for today are more of a fun add-on than your primary bets, it came with yesterday’s picks. We had eight games played and saw just seven stolen bases in total. Seven? That’s just crazy. Meanwhile, if you tailed my best bets from yesterday’s Betting Playbook, which, if you can’t watch the show, can always be found in our Bet Tracker, you would have gone 3-0 and picked up a few units. Those are my top bets for the day. The stolen bases are a fun supplement once you’ve built your bankroll and are able to take some chances. If you’re not up and you’re not winning, then stick to the best bets over the high-variance props. We all have our ups and downs, so keep that in mind when you start tailing big plus-money action. OK, lecture over. Time to get into today’s picks. With the help of our new stolen base prop finder, it’s time to dive into the research and deliver the best in MLB stolen base picks today.

Also, don’t forget to check out the latest edition of the new weekly stolen base report, as that series will continue to accrue data that will help us out on a daily basis. Everything you need for both daily and weekly fantasy baseball help. And speaking of daily help…you’ll also want to check out the best fantasy sports promo codes from the top legal sites in your state. And don’t forget to also crush your MLB DFS contests today with our DFS Playbook, Starting Lineups, Lineup Generator & DFS Tools!

 

 

 

Best MLB Stolen Base Prop Predictions Today

Identifying the best stolen base predictions requires matching elite sprint speeds against defensive liabilities, and today’s board features incredible betting value across several players, from top stars to some bottom-of-the-lineup supporting characters. Take a look below, but let’s be sure to match them up with the pitchers allowing the most steals to date. Be sure to check in with our MLB Odds Finder to find the best values.  

*Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook

Pitchers Most Vulnerable to Stolen Bases Today

When hunting for successful MLB stolen base picks today, targeting the right pitcher is half the battle. The following list is made up of the day’s starting pitchers who have allowed the most stolen bases this season.

 

 

 

Catchers Allowing the Most Stolen Bases

The final piece of the puzzle for finding the best stolen base predictions involves looking behind the dish at catcher pop times and throwing accuracy. How many times teams attempt to steal a base on a particular catcher is a strong indicator of who we expect to see doing the most running today. The following backstops have the lowest Caught Stealing% with a minimum of 10 SB attempts against them.

Best MLB Stolen Base Picks Today:

Locking in the best stolen base predictions means finding the absolute perfect storm of a high-on-base runner and a weak battery. Here are our top two MLB stolen base picks today for Friday, June 19:

Favorite Bets: 

Pete Crow-Armstrong, Chicago Cubs (+307)

The Jays have right-hander Kevin Gausman on the bump, and he’s tied for the third-most stolen bases allowed with seven. He’s also back to working with Alejandro Kirk, who recently came off the IL. Funny enough, Kirk has just a 12-percent caught-stealing rate on 17 attempts, and his pop-time has slowed recently, more than likely due to the injury. PCA has been on a massive tear recently and sports a .372 wOBA against right-handed pitching. If there’s a Cubs bat that can handle Gausman and then be aggressive on the bases, it’s this guy. Let’s get it!

CJ Abrams, Washington Nationals (+332)

While he hasn’t swiped a bag in a month’s time, we’re going to lean into the lefty-swinging shortstop for a stolen base today going up against the Rays. Righthander Griffin Jax is on the mound, and he’s allowed seven stolen bases this season, which is the third-most on the slate and stands out like a turd in a punchbowl considering he hasn’t been a full-time starter all year. His catching tandem of Hunter Feduccia and Nick Fortes has a combined caught-stealing rate of 21.2 percent on a whopping 70 attempts, so they’re being tested all the time. Jax is allowing lefties to post a .356 OBP against him while Abrams is rocking a .378 OBP against righties. I’m expecting the Nationals to be aggressive today, so enjoy.