MLB Stolen Base Picks Today: Best Stolen Base Predictions For July 27th, 2026
Welcome back to the best stolen base picks for today. If you checked in with yesterday’s picks, you probably had a frustrating day. On a day where there were only 14 stolen bases in total – insanely low for a full slate of games on a Sunday – we had the right spot picked out with the Red Sox but landed on the wrong guy, and our other pick just didn’t catch either. Only 14 stolen bases is a tough pill to swallow. What happened to all those teams that have been so aggressive on the bases? Ah well. It is what it is, and we start the process over again for today. Let’s check in with the stolen base prop finder and get right with some winning stolen base picks today.
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Also, don’t forget to check out the latest edition of the new weekly stolen base report, as that series will continue to accrue data which will help us out on a daily basis. Everything you need for both daily and weekly fantasy baseball help. And speaking of daily help…you’ll also want to check out the best fantasy sports promo codes from the top legal sites in your state. And don’t forget to also crush your MLB DFS contests today with our DFS Playbook, Starting Lineups, Lineup Generator & DFS Tools!
Best MLB Stolen Base Prop Predictions Today
Identifying the best stolen base predictions requires matching elite sprint speeds against defensive liabilities, and today’s board features incredible betting value across several players, from top stars to some bottom-of-the-lineup supporting characters. Take a look below, but let’s be sure to match them up with the pitchers allowing the most steals to date. Be sure to check in with our MLB Odds Finder to find the best values.
- Nasim Nunez, Washington Nationals (+235)
- Jose Ramirez, Cleveland Guardians (+269)
- Ronald Acuna, Atlanta Braves (+285)
- Jose Caballero, New York Yankees (+289)
*Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook
Pitchers Most Vulnerable to Stolen Bases Today
When hunting for successful MLB stolen base picks today, targeting the right pitcher is half the battle. The following list is made up of the day’s starting pitchers who have allowed the most stolen bases this season.
- Chase Burns, Cincinnati Reds – 17 SB allowed
- Matthew Liberatore, ST. Louis Cardinals – 14 SB allowed
- George Kirby, Seattle Mariners – 13 SB allowed
- Tyler Phillips, Miami Marlins – 12 SB allowed
- Mitch Keller, Pittsburgh Pirates – 12 SB allowed
- Kumar Rocker, Texas Rangers – 11 SB allowed
Catchers Allowing the Most Stolen Bases
The final piece of the puzzle for finding the best stolen base predictions involves looking behind the dish at catcher pop times and throwing accuracy. How many times teams attempt to steal a base on a particular catcher is a strong indicator of who we expect to see doing the most running today. The following backstops have the lowest Caught Stealing% with a minimum of 10 SB attempts against them.
- Mickey Gasper, Boston Red Sox – 0% CS (12 att)
- Ivan Herrera, St. Louis Cardinals – 0% CS (21 att)
- Austin Hedges, Cleveland Guardians – 7% CS (29 att)
- Drake Baldwin, Atlanta Braves – 8% CS (26 att)
- Victor Caratini, Minnesota Twins – 10% CS (41 att)
- Endy Rodriguez, Pittsburgh Pirates – 12% CS (17 att)
- Austin Wells, New York Yankees – 12% CS (25 att)
- Connor Wong, Boston Red Sox – 13% CS (23 att)
- Ryan Jeffers, Minnesota Twins – 13% CS (23 att)
Best MLB Stolen Base Picks Today:
Locking in the best stolen base predictions means finding the absolute perfect storm of a high-on-base runner and a weak battery. We’ve got an interesting group of notable base-stealers at shorter odds, so here are our top two MLB stolen base picks today for Monday, July 27:
Favorite Bets:
CJ Abrams, SS Washington Nationals (+318) – We’re going to ride the hot bat while we can. Abrams is currently riding a seven-game hit streak capped off with five-straight multi-hit performances and two stolen bases over that span. The lefty-swinging infielder has a .423 wOBA against righties, so Max Scherzer shouldn’t be much of an issue, nor would catcher Alejandro Kirk and his 18-percent caught-stealing rate be from behind the dish. Let’s lock him in today.
Longshot:
Travis Bazzana, 2B Cleveland Guardians (+472) – While Jose Ramirez has the better odds to steal a base, everything else lines up significantly better for Bazzana. The lefty-swinging rookie has been a little up-and-down lately, but he posts an impressive .357 wOBA against right-handed pitching with nine stolen bases to his credit. Chase Burns is an excellent pitcher, but he has allowed a slate-high 17 stolen bases this season and is allowing lefties to post a .309 wOBA against him. With Tyler Stephenson and his 18-percent caught-stealing on 61 attempts this year behind the plate, we’ll look to Bazanna to cash this bet for us.
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