Always nice to open up the daily stolen base picks article with a shoutout for a win, right? If you tailed yesterday’s article, then you got a nice hit with Zach Neto of the Los Angeles Angels. We were on him the day before as well, but knew everything was set up properly for him to swipe a bag yesterday and he delivered. We also identified Konnor Griffin of the Pirates due to Victor Caratini’s struggles behind the dish and while Griffin never stole a base, you have four players who did, one of whom, Oneil Cruz, took two. As long as we can continue to identify the pitchers and catchers who struggle most, we should be in great shape. With a full Sunday slate of games and some interesting pitchers on the mound, we’re excited to dive into the research and deliver the best in MLB stolen base picks today.

Also, don’t forget to check out the latest edition of the new weekly stolen base report, as that series will continue to accrue data which will help us out on a daily basis. Everything you need for both daily and weekly fantasy baseball help. And speaking of daily help…you’ll also want to check out the best fantasy sports promo codes from the top legal sites in your state. And don’t forget to also crush your MLB DFS contests today with our DFS Playbook, Starting Lineups, Lineup Generator & DFS Tools!

 

 

 

Best MLB Stolen Base Prop Predictions Today

Identifying the best stolen base predictions requires matching elite sprint speeds against defensive liabilities and today’s board features incredible betting value across several players, from top stars to some bottom-of-the-lineup supporting characters. Take a look below but let’s be sure to match them up with the pitchers allowing the most steals to date. Be sure to check in with our MLB Odds Finder to find the best values. 

*Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook

 

 

 

Pitchers Most Vulnerable to Stolen Bases Today

When hunting for successful MLB stolen base picks today, targeting the right pitcher is half the battle. The following list is made up of the day’s starting pitchers who have allowed the most stolen bases this season.

 

Catchers Allowing the Most Stolen Bases

The final piece of the puzzle for finding the best stolen base predictions involves looking behind the dish at catcher pop times and throwing accuracy. How many times teams attempt to steal a base on a particular catcher is a strong indicator of who we expect to see doing the most running today. The following backstops have the lowest Caught Stealing% with a minimum of 10 SB attempts against them.

 

 

 

Best MLB Stolen Base Picks Today:

Locking in the best stolen base predictions means finding the absolute perfect storm of a high-on-base runner and a weak battery. Here are our top two MLB stolen base picks today for Sunday, May 31:

Favorite Bets: 

Jarren Duran, Boston Red Sox (+437)

I’m sure some of the lower odds for players up above can/will play today, but my research is pointing me towards Duran today, especially with the Guardians going with Austin Hedges behind the plate. Typically, a part-timer, third-wheel back there with Patrick Bailey and Bo Naylor, Hedges sports a 13-percent caught-stealing rate on 16 attempts this season and that should allow Boston to run the bases freely. Guardians’ righty Tanner Bibee has been up and down all season long and while he’s only allowed five stolen bases on the season, we expect Boston to be aggressive. Duran is locked in and riding a seven-game hit streak, while Bibee is allowing a .332 wOBA to lefty hitters. It should also be noted that I had Duran as a longshot a few days ago and while he wasn’t credited with a stolen base, he should have been as the umpires got a foul-tip wrong and he was sent back to first. Let’s have some Sunday fun, shall we?

Kevin McGonigle, Detroit Tigers (+464)

Yes, another long-odds guy here, but again, this is where the research is taking me today. Not only does White Sox righthander Sean Burke, who has allowed nine stolen bases on the season, struggle to contain lefthanded hitting, but the tandem of Edgar Quero and Drew Romo behind the dish is sporting a combined 24.2-percent caught-stealing rate. Quero, the hotter bat at the moment, has a slightly lower rate, but they’re pretty even. The lefty-swinging McGonigle is batting .291 with a .392 OBP against right-handed pitching and six of his eight steals this season have come against righties. Definitely worth a shot with 10 hits and three walks over his last nine games.