MLB Stolen Base Picks Today: Best Stolen Base Predictions for August 29th, 2026
Welcome back to the best stolen base picks for today, Saturday, August 29th. The NFL regular season may be right around the corner, but Major League Baseball is still in full swing, and we got you covered on the MLB betting front! There’s a few interesting spots on the board to attack today, including some notable batteries that have been subpar in the run game. Again, these are more “fun bets” rather than sustainable bankroll builders, so keep that in mind when placing bets on stolen bases! Let’s check in with the stolen base prop finder and try to hit some stolen base picks for Saturday, August 29th.
Remember, Fantasy Alarm is your one-stop shop for all sports betting and player props, and we’ve got everything for MLB from the stolen bases to the home runs to strikeouts to all the best bets you need to be a successful sports bettor. Our Bet Tracker is loaded up for the day, and all the articles are available to you. Now, it’s time to dive into the research and deliver the best in MLB stolen base picks today.
Also, don’t forget to check out the latest edition of the new weekly stolen base report, as that series will continue to accrue data which will help us out on a daily basis. Everything you need for both daily and weekly fantasy baseball help. And speaking of daily help…you’ll also want to check out the best fantasy sports promo codes from the top legal sites in your state. And don’t forget to also crush your MLB DFS contests today with our DFS Playbook, Starting Lineups, Lineup Generator & DFS Tools!
Best MLB Stolen Base Prop Predictions Today
Identifying the best stolen base predictions requires matching elite sprint speeds against defensive liabilities, and today’s board features incredible betting value across several players, from top stars to some bottom-of-the-lineup supporting characters. Take a look below, but let’s be sure to match them up with the pitchers allowing the most steals to date. Be sure to check in with our MLB Odds Finder to find the best values.
- Chandler Simpson, Tampa Bay Rays (+247)
- Brice Turang, Milwaukee Brewers (+248)
- Tyler Tolbert, Kansas City Royals (+278)
- Pete Crow-Armstrong, Chicago Cubs (+311)
- Garrett Mitchell, Milwaukee Brewers (+325)
- Trea Turner, Philadelphia Phillies (+346)
- Nasim Nunez, Washington Nationals (+347)
- Otto Lopez, Miami Marlins (+349)
- Elly De La Cruz, Cincinnati Reds (+358)
*Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook
Pitchers Most Vulnerable to Stolen Bases Today
When hunting for successful MLB stolen base picks today, targeting the right pitcher is half the battle. The following list is made up of the day’s starting pitchers who have allowed the most stolen bases this season.
- Andrew Abbott, Cincinnati Reds - 17 SB
- Bailey Ober, Minnesota Twins - 11 SB
- Sandy Alcantara, Miami Marlins - 11 SB
- Kevin Gausman, Chicago Cubs - 11 SB
- Ryan Feltner, Colorado Rockies - 10 SB
- Erick Fedde, Chicago White Sox - 10 SB
Catchers Allowing the Most Stolen Bases
The final piece of the puzzle for finding the best stolen base predictions involves looking behind the dish at catcher pop times and throwing accuracy. How many times teams attempt to steal a base on a particular catcher is a strong indicator of who we expect to see doing the most running today. The following backstops have the lowest Caught Stealing% with a minimum of 10 SB attempts against them.
- Mickey Gasper, Boston Red Sox – 0% CS (12 att.)
- Ivan Herrera, St. Louis Cardinals – 3% CS (31 att.)
- Austin Hedges, Cleveland Guardians – 6% CS (34 att.)
- Drake Baldwin, Atlanta Braves – 9% CS (34 att.)
- Jimmy Crooks, St. Louis Cardinals - 9% (11 att.)
- Brett Sullivan, Colorado Rockies - 11% (38 att.)
- Victor Caratini, Minnesota Twins – 13% CS (47 att.)
Best MLB Stolen Base Picks Today:
Locking in the best stolen base predictions means finding the absolute perfect storm of a high-on-base runner and a weak battery. Without further ado, here are our top MLB stolen base picks today for Saturday, August 29:
Favorite Bets:
Luke Keaschall, Minnesota Twins (+440)
Keaschall is sporting a .399 OBP out of the All-Star break, and opponents have had success running on Fedde this year. Keaschall has an 87th percentile sprint speed on the year, and while Drew Romo has an above average 26% caught stealing rate on the year, catchers as a whole only have a 16.7% caught stealing rate with Fedde on the mound. The Twins don’t run a ton as a team, but Keaschall certainly will, and the White Sox have the sixth-most stolen bases attempted against them in 2026.
Elly De La Cruz, Cincinnati Reds (+358)
Despite recording just one stolen base over his last six games, De La Cruz is on fire at the dish, posting a .433 OBP and .474 wOBA during that stretch. For what it’s worth, he’s a perfect 9-for-9 on stolen base attempts on the road, and he has an 81.8% success rate since the All-Star break (9-for-11). We want to see Carson Kelly behind the dish today, as he has a 16% caught stealing rate on the year, and he’s caught just one of the last eight runners who have attempted to run on him.
If you haven’t yet signed up for the Fantasy Alarm daily newsletter, be sure to check it out. I’ve got another stolen base pick there you don’t want to miss. Just sign up on the home page!
