MLB Stolen Base Picks Today: Best Stolen Base Predictions For September 16th, 2026
You would think there would be more attention paid to the best stolen-base picks today, but alas, I’m only hearing very limited things. Are you betting on these? Should I just save myself the time and stop writing this article? Because this heater we are on is ridiculous. If I told you that you could cash a +250 bet every day for the last two weeks, would you do it? I’m not in the business of giving out guarantees, but Bobby Witt stealing a base at +270 for yesterday’s picks now gives us 15 cashed bets over my last 12 articles. I’m not even going to get into how much money I am up betting these right now. Snooze, you lose, and if I’m only helping my nearest and dearest friends, so be it. I’m going to check out the stolen base prop data now and see where I want to invest my money today.
As a friendly reminder, Fantasy Alarm remains your one-stop shop for all sports betting and player props. We have everything for MLB, from stolen bases to home runs to strikeouts to all the best bets you need to be a successful sports bettor. We are also diving into the NFL season and don’t forget – NBA and NHL are on their way back again. Check out our Bet Tracker, which is loaded up for the day, as well as a ton of articles available to you. Let’s dive into the research and deliver the best in MLB stolen base picks today.
Please don’t forget to check out the latest edition of the new weekly stolen base report from Henry Wilson, as that series will continue to accrue data that will help us out on a daily basis. Everything you need for both daily and weekly fantasy baseball help. And speaking of daily help…you’ll also want to check out the best fantasy sports promo codes from the top legal sites in your state. And don’t forget to continue dominating your MLB DFS contests today with our DFS Playbook, Starting Lineups, Lineup Generator & DFS Tools!
Best MLB Stolen Base Prop Predictions Today
Identifying the best stolen base predictions requires matching elite sprint speeds against defensive liabilities, and today’s board features incredible betting value across several players, from top stars to some bottom-of-the-lineup supporting characters. Take a look below, but let’s be sure to match them up with the pitchers allowing the most steals to date. Be sure to check in with our MLB Odds Finder to find the best values.
- Jonah Cox, San Francisco Giants (+197)
- Pete Crow-Armstrong, Chicago Cubs (+216)
- Dustin Harris, San Diego Padres (+251)
- Jake McCarthy, Colorado Rockies (+260)
- Bobby Witt, Kansas City Royals (+267)
- Henry Bolte, Athletics (+281)
- Dane Myers, Cincinnati Reds (+284)
- Elly De La Cruz, Cincinnati Reds (+286)
*Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook
Pitchers Most Vulnerable to Stolen Bases Today
When hunting for successful MLB stolen base picks today, targeting the right pitcher is half the battle. The following list is made up of the day’s starting pitchers who have allowed the most stolen bases this season.
- George Kirby, Seattle Mariners – 22 SB allowed
- Andrew Abbott, Cincinnati Reds – 22 SB allowed
- Matthew Liberatore, St. Louis Cardinals – 22 SB allowed
- Robbie Ray, San Diego Padres – 21 SB allowed
- Merrill Kelly, Arizona Diamondbacks – 12 SB allowed
Catchers Allowing the Most Stolen Bases
The final piece of the puzzle for finding the best stolen base predictions involves looking behind the dish at catcher pop times and throwing accuracy. How many times teams attempt to steal a base on a particular catcher is a strong indicator of who we expect to see doing the most running today. The following backstops have the lowest Caught Stealing% with a minimum of 10 SB attempts against them.
- Ivan Herrera, St. Louis Cardinals – 3% CS (36 att)
- Austin Hedges, Cleveland Guardians – 6% CS (34 att)
- Drake Baldwin, Atlanta Braves – 8% CS (36 att)
- Ryan Jeffers, Minnesota Twins – 10% CS (39 att)
- Bo Naylor, C Milwaukee Brewers – 11% CS (18 att)
- Victor Caratini, Minnesota Twins – 12% CS (49 att)
- Brett Sullivan, Colorado Rockies – 12% CS (42 att)
- James McCann, Arizona Diamondbacks – 13% CS (38 att)
- Austin Wynns, Texas Rangers – 13% CS (23 att)
- Endy Rodriguez, Pittsburgh Pirates – 13% CS (23 att)
Best MLB Stolen Base Picks Today:
Locking in the best stolen base predictions means finding the absolute perfect storm of a high-on-base runner and a weak battery. We’ve got an interesting group of notable base-stealers at shorter odds, so here are our top two MLB stolen base picks today for Wednesday, September 16:
Favorite Bets:
Dane Myers, Cincinnati Reds (+284) – Despite it being a tough matchup with Blake Snell on the bump, we’re going to lean into Myers, who actually has an impressive .374 wOBA with an 11.3-percent walk rate against southpaws. He’s also got five stolen bases against lefties over just 133 plate appearances. Dodgers catchers have a combined caught-stealing rate of just 18.6-percent so look for the Reds to be aggressive.
Wade Meckler, Los Angeles Angels (+600) – Let’s have a little fun, shall we? This is going to be a nice test to see who’s actually paying attention. The lefty-swinging Meckler has a .356 wOBA with a 10.1-percent walk rate against righties, and we’re squaring off against Mariners right-hander George Kirby, who has allowed 22 stolen bases on the year. Add to it Cal Raleigh’s horrendous 14-percent caught-stealing rate over 56 attempts. Considering how up we are on our picks lately, a full unit here for me, even at these odds. Good luck out there.
If you haven’t yet signed up for the Fantasy Alarm daily newsletter, be sure to check it out. I’ve got another stolen base pick there you don’t want to miss. Just sign up on the home page!
