MLB Home Run Picks Today: Best HR Predictions for May 2nd, 2026
Can we make it three straight days cashing MLB home run picks? It’ll be five days this week alone, and with a stellar Saturday slate set to tee off, let’s get it done. We’ll take you through our top three targets, favorite longshot pick and even put things together into our best MLB home run parlay for today!
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⚾ Top MLB Home Run Picks for Today
It was Mickey Moniak that cashed for us last night with his Colorado Rockies at home, so it wasn’t the most surprising series to target. In fact, we also had an Atlanta Braves hitter involved with Austin Riley to provide some variety from Matt Olson, so naturally, Olson went yard instead.
Even still, we also cashed some of our MLB expert picks in addition to our best MLB home run picks, so be sure that you’re checking out everything!
- Nick Kurtz: +240 at bet365 Sportsbook
- Francisco Alvarez: +400 at Novig Sportsbook
- Trent Grisham: +492 at DraftKings Sportsbook
🔥 Best Matchups for Home Runs Today, 5/2: Ballpark Factors & Weather Impact
We targeted Coors Field last night for the obvious reasons that it's famous for, which also relates to our very own MLB weather report. Along with those factors, we’re always breaking down more niche metrics as well from barrel rates for hitters to hard hit rates for pitchers and everything in between to provide you with the best MLB home run picks today.
Nick Kurtz (+240)
We also targeted this Guardians vs. Athletics matchup last night, and while Chase DeLauter didn’t make it TWO home run pick hits, he did have a phenomenal game going 4-for-4. In other words, it helped prove why we love this ballpark. So, let’s start with Sacramento with our top MLB home run picks today.
This time, we’ve got our eyes on the other side of the matchup with Nick Kurtz. He’s a guy that we’ve given out once before, but as we’ve seen with Matt Olson, why fight it if guys are simply seeing the ball well? The A’s lefty is taking on a struggling righty in Slade Cecconi & a heavily taxed bullpen from last night, so we’re starting our best MLB home run picks for today with Nick Kurtz to hit a HR (+240 at bet365 Sportsbook).
Francisco Alvarez (+400)
We’re not going far - just down the road from Sacramento to Los Angeles for the Mets vs. Angels series. We were able to hit a YRFI pick here yesterday thanks to a Jorge Soler home run, and the conditions are just as good tonight. So, let’s add to our best MLB home run picks for today with a guy you likely wouldn’t have on your radar.
Let’s be honest, for this matchup, the common targets will be Juan Soto and Mike Trout, and rightfully so. However, we see more value with the catcher facing LA’s Reid Detmer’s who has allowed a homer in three of his last four starts. LA also has the second-worst bullpen ERA, so we’re adding to our best MLB home run picks for today with Francisco Alvarez to hit a HR (+400 at Novig Sportsbook).
Trent Grisham (+492)
If it wasn’t for two targets at Coors Field yesterday, Ben Rice was next on our list. Of course, he went yard, so we’re going to check out Yankee Stadium again. It’s hitter-friendly as well, and as you can see, we don’t have any “square” picks with Braves vs. Rockies! So, why is Grisham part of our best MLB home run picks for today?
Baltimore’s Kyle Bradish has allowed a homer in back-to-back starts, and ever since their doubleheader two days ago, their bullpen is as taxed as ever. Even without those factors, Grisham is a sneaky play at the bottom of a lineup with three of his homers coming against righties this year.
Let’s get even more value in here with our best MLB home run picks for today by adding Trent Grisham to hit a HR (+492 at DraftKings Sportsbook).
🚀 Longshot Home Run Picks Today
You saw that we’re liking the conditions with the Mets vs. Angels series tonight, so we’ve got another target on the opposite side of Francisco Alvarez. The starting pitcher matchup isn’t as good against Nolan McLean, but this is our best MLB home run LONGSHOT pick for a reason! Even if he doesn’t get it in the Nolan vs. Nolan battle, there’s always the bullpen!
💲 Today’s Best MLB Home Run Parlay
As promised, we’re also going to have our best MLB home run parlay for today. The top three targets already have some great payout potential, but check out this one:
- Kurtz, Alvarez & Grisham: +9453 at DraftKings, so a $10 bet pays $955.34!
Even if you stick with our top MLB home run picks individually, let’s make the most of the all-day action on the diamond!
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