Finally! It’s finally time to truly have a day full of MLB home run picks! Sure, the week started with the MLB HR Derby with Jordan Walker taking down Kyle Schwarber in the finals, but it’s already Friday, and we need more round-trippers in our future. After Schwarber and company started the second half of the season last night, it’s time for a full slate that features a doubleheader. That means plenty to break down to provide you with the best MLB home run predictions today!

You’ll also want to check out the best fantasy sports promo codes from the top legal sites in your state. Make sure that you also crush your MLB DFS contests today with our DFS Playbook, Starting Lineups, Lineup Generator & DFS Tools!

⚾ Top MLB Home Run Picks for Today

Having the first full slate of the second half of the season also means that you’re going to want to check out our MLB expert picks for even more markets. That said, we also know that some fans may want to just see how things play out for a day or two after the break. So, consider even more MLB home run picks than the ones that you’ll see below with our exclusive MLB home run prop tool!

 

 

🔥 Best Matchups for Home Runs Today, 7/17: Ballpark Factors & Weather Impact

While we may have had some time off, the factors remain the same when it comes to MLB home run predictions. They start with our MLB weather report tool and follow up with the starting pitchers of the day.

That means lefty/righty splits, preferred pitch types, and some underlying expected metrics. Of course, the hitters themselves also massively impact MLB home run picks, including their lefty/righty splits as well. They have their own underlying numbers, like expected slugging and pitch type performances for us to break down. So, that’s exactly what we’ve done for each of our best MLB home run picks below!

Mickey Moniak (+285)

You’ve seen us mention the great trifecta of Brady Singer, the Reds bullpen, and the Great American Ball Park several times, and while we have to replace the location, we get to do so with Coors Field! We’ll happily do so, and when it comes to the Rockies' lineup, there are obvious candidates for MLB home run picks.

Both righties and lefties can smash Singer, but this is Mickey’s day to shine. The lefty doesn’t always get to be in the lineup, so when we see a lackluster righty, we know that he wants to crush one. Let’s also not ignore the fact that he has been among some trade rumors, so why not put on a show for a potential buyer?

We’ve got him doing so by cashing in one of our best MLB home run picks for today with Mickey Moniak hitting a HR (+285 at FanDuel).

Elly De La Cruz (+325)

When it comes to the Coors Field matchup, it isn’t just the away team to pick on. Colorado also has one of the league’s worst bullpens, and with them not having any starters to be fearful of, there’s no reason to leave the thin air in Denver. With Gabriel Hughes toeing the rubber, we’re continuing our top MLB home run picks with the Reds lineup.

In that regard, we’re focused on the switch-hitter. He gets to take on a righty that has just two career outings to his name. Admittedly, the most recent was a rather impressive one against the Los Angeles Dodgers, but we still can’t overreact to such a small sample size. He’s also a starter who hardly mixes up his pitches AT ALL.

With plenty of four-seamers headed his way tonight, we’re adding to our best MLB home run picks with Elly De La Cruz to hit a HR (+325 at bet365).

Pete Crow-Armstrong (+269)

Ok, Coors Field is cool and all, but how about Wrigley Field with some wind blowing out? It’s not the craziest gusts we’ve ever seen, but there is a factor that makes up for that - Bailey Ober. The Minnesota Twins starter recently returned after over a month on the IL, and while he didn’t allow multiple MLB home run picks to cash, he was facing the Cleveland Guardians.

That lineup has been dreadful since losing Jose Ramirez, while the Cubs have been electric thanks to Pete Crow-Armstrong’s remarkable hot stretch. While PCA is a name that everyone wants to target right now, we simply can’t ignore .400/.867/1.338 vs. righties in June alone. Those are simply unreal numbers.

Let’s see if he can carry that momentum and ride the high of being an NL All-Star by cashing our MLB home run picks, as we add Pete Crow-Armstrong to hit a HR (+269 at Novig).

🎯 Newsletter Exclusive Pick 🎯

Our top home run picks are above, but we also included one bonus HR play exclusively in today's edition of The Daily Alarm. If you're subscribed, don't forget to check your inbox before lock. If not, sign up below to get these extra and exclusive picks daily!

🚀 Longshot Home Run Picks Today

As you can see, we’ve already added a bonus target within our top MLB home run picks today, but there’s still more! Here’s our favorite longshot target for today…

We led things off with a lefty at Coors Field, so why not also target a similar hitter for an even bigger payout? While he may not have the homer numbers that Moniak does, the second baseman has a 43.2% sweet-spot rate and 50.7% hard-hit rate - those are better than Moniak’s! Let’s cash another one of our best MLB home run longshot picks this season!

 

 

 

💲 Today’s Best MLB Home Run Parlay

You already have five names under your belt, and there’s STILL more! For an absolutely colossal potential payout, here’s a for-fun parlay to consider alongside our best MLB home run picks for today…

With that combo, you also have even more individual names to use as singular plays. The first full day of the second half of the season, plus a Friday night - make the most of our best MLB home run picks for today right now!