If there is ever a day to make the most of our best MLB home run picks, it’s today; ok, let’s be honest, it’s actually everyday. Even still, all-day Sunday slates make them even more awesome! We’ve got the slate starting before we know it with a handful of east coast clashes followed by Midwest games and then four-pack of matchups out west. We’re always here to determine which of those locations are the best for MLB home run predictions, and we’ll give you our top three targets and more!

You’ll also want to check out the best fantasy sports promo codes from the top legal sites in your state. Make sure that you also crush your MLB DFS contests today with our DFS Playbook, Starting Lineups, Lineup Generator & DFS Tools!

⚾ Top MLB Home Run Picks for Today

The Sunday slate is led off by two awful bullpens with Reds vs. Nationals, and while that has us excited to dive right into our MLB home run picks, we have to first note that our MLB expert picks are also here to cover you with more markets. After all, with arms like Cam Schlittler on the mound, K props are more likely than him allowing a bunch of homers. That said, if you just want more MLB home run predictions, then check out our exclusive MLB home run prop tool!

MLB home run prop tool

 

 

 

🔥 Best Matchups for Home Runs Today, 8/9: Ballpark Factors & Weather Impact

We mentioned a handful of east coast clashes to begin the early part of the slate, so you’ll absolutely want to keep tabs on things with our MLB weather report. We saw rain affect our MLB home run picks back at the start of the weekend, so let’s avoid that today. We’ll also want to avoid the top arms on the mound today, such as Jacob Misiorowski.

Well, the righty flamethrower actually does allow some dingers when guys get a hold of the 105+ mph heaters, but it’s still not the most valuable approach. What is valuable is targeting bad bullpens like the aforementioned Reds and Nats, and of course, the hitters themselves also have to be analyzed from the basics like slugging to the advanced like barrel rates.

We’ll even see how pitchers and hitters match up in terms of preferred pitch types, not just righty/lefty splits, so let’s get into our best MLB home run picks for today!

Luis Garcia, Jr. (+351)

Pivoting away from George Lombard, Jr. as our longshot yesterday feels bad after seeing the rookie go yard, but what can we say - Chris Sale was on the bump. We bring that up because the stud southpaw toeing the rubber was why we didn’t see their new first baseman in the lineup. Now, we get to target him with our top MLB home run picks today.

After all, the Bronx Bombers “other” first baseman - Ben Rice - finally got back to taking a trip around the bases yesterday. The former Washington National should be able to do the same back in the lineup with Atlanta starting Grant Holmes. The righty sets up beautifully for Garcia, who has hit 21 of his 24 homers against such pitchers.

Along with his overall expected slugging of .507, we love leading off our best MLB home run picks for today with Luis Garcia, Jr. hitting a HR (+351 at Novig).

Seiya Suzuki (+377)

Pete Crow-Armstrong and the Chicago Cubs had their recent winning streak come to an end last night, but they can absolutely start a new one tonight. That’s because plenty of runs should be in their future facing Kansas City Royals starter Randy Dobnak and their horrid bullpen. So, we should see several MLB home run picks cash.

Last night, Ian Happ likely breathed a sigh of relief after finally going yard again, and since he didn’t come through for us, you already know that PCA is going yard this afternoon. Even with those factors, this is a lineup that still has more targets. That’s why we still love rolling with another outfielder, especially with Dobnak looking far worse vs. fellow righties.

We often specify lefty-on-lefty crimes, but this time, it’s a righty-on-righty crime for our best MLB home run picks today, as we’re adding to them with Seiya Suzuki hitting a HR (+377 at Courtside).

JJ Bleday (+375)

Earlier in the season, we’d be outlining the trio of the Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati Reds bullpen and Brady Singer. Well, Singer is on the mound, but we’re not targeting his own lineup and picking on the Washington Nationals bullpen. It’s the relief unit that has allowed the most homers this season,so let’s take advantage of that with our best MLB home run picks today.

We also love doing so before that bullpen comes on the field, as the Nats are starting Brad Lord today. Well, you could also say that the bullpen is on the field from the rip, as he’s a reliever getting the start. That’s great news for all of Cincinnati, and it was Elly De La Cruz that cashed for us just the other day.

Rather than a switch hitter, we’re going to go with a pure southpaw to capitalize on Lord, especially since this one has hit 15 of his 20 homers vs. righties. Therefore, we’re adding to our top MLB home run picks today with JJ Bleday hitting a HR (+375 at bet365).

🎯 Newsletter Exclusive Pick 🎯

Our top home run picks are above, but we also included one bonus HR play exclusively in today's edition of The Daily Alarm. If you're subscribed, don't forget to check your inbox before lock. If not, sign up for free to get these extra and exclusive picks daily!

 

 

 

🚀 Longshot Home Run Picks Today

After seeing those top three plus-money plays and how to easily snag a bonus target, why not go for more than just those MLB home run picks? Here’s our top longshot play for today!

The Miami Marlins duo of Otto Lopez and Xavier Edwards is one of the most consistent in baseball, but in terms of pure contact. They aren’t known for power, but they still have it in them at times, and facing Grayson Rodriguez is one of those times. So, for our best MLB home run longshot pick today, we’re going with the part of the duo that is looking for HR #10.

💲 Today’s Best MLB Home Run Parlay

The weekend is coming to a close, so there’s no way we could leave you hanging there. Let’s build an even bigger potential payout for yet another amazing way to add to our top MLB home run picks today!

Given those names, you can safely assume that we also like them as individual plays as well if you want to swap from the first three that we broke down. Speaking of which, you could also just create a for-fun parlay with those top three guys. Whichever strategy suits you best, make the most of our best MLB home run picks for today!