The Sunday slate finale of the weekend wasn’t exactly ideal for homers (unless you’re Kyle Schwarber), so we weren’t able to make it back-to-back with our MLB home run picks after cashing in on Saturday. Not to worry - we’re going to add to the light six-game Monday slate for you. Let’s get into our top MLB home run predictions for today!

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⚾ Top MLB Home Run Picks for Today

We were eyeing the Atlanta Braves lineup yesterday, and it was between Austin Riley, Drake Baldwin, and Michael Harris. Of course, after locking in Riley with our MLB home run picks, it was Baldwin who went deep.

Even still, we like being on the right matchups, and speaking of which, always check in with our MLB expert picks, as we cashed a Matt Vierling over 1.5 HRR play for Sunday Night Baseball! As for our best MLB home run picks for today…

 

 

🔥 Best Matchups for Home Runs Today, 5/11: Ballpark Factors & Weather Impact

Although we have just six games on the slate to start the week, the good news is that it doesn’t appear that we should have any delays or postponements. That means less influence on our MLB home run picks, but you’ll still want to keep tabs on things with our MLB weather report.

Beyond that, we’ve got plenty of hitter vs. pitcher matchups and splits to break down in terms of why these are our top three targets!

Mike Trout (+520)

Are we missing something here? Sure, Cleveland may not be as hitter-friendly as things out in LA at Angel Stadium, but these may be the best odds we get for one of the MLB’s best sluggers all season. Perhaps it’s because Joey Cantillo is on the mound for the Guardians, but that’s not making us hesitate with our MLB home run picks.

After all, many fans may be thinking, “Who?” Cantillo is a lefty, and while Trout isn’t historically great against southpaws, he’s far from awful. Even without that factor, Cantillo is far from an ace as well. He’s got a terrible chase rate, and he’s certainly not going to blow heat past anyone. Therefore, we’re starting our best MLB home run picks for today with Mike Trout to hit a HR (+520 at FanDuel).

Julio Rodríguez (+499)

Let’s go ahead and get even more valuable odds with another big name in baseball. That would be the young star Seattle Mariner rather than the big dumper Cal Raleigh. With Houston Astros starter Peter Lambert being a righty, we’re going to go with the outfielder instead, although he’s not the only reason for our MLB home run picks.

Houston’s bullpen continues to be atrocious, allowing 34 home runs this season! As you could guess, that’s the most in the MLB, and no other team has even reached 29 homers allowed yet. The center fielder started this month with a two-homer game and dingers in back-to-back games just a few games ago, so he’s on a heater right now.

With that in mind, let’s add to our best MLB home run picks for today with Julio Rodriguez to hit a HR (+499 at DraftKings).

Kyle Tucker (+500)

It’s only fitting to close things out with the nightcap, especially when it features the Los Angeles Dodgers at home. Their ballpark remains home run-friendly (especially with some winds blowing out), but even if that wasn’t the case, their star-studded lineup is always a prime target for our top MLB home run picks today.

This time, we’re locking in some odds far better than those for Shohei Ohtani, as tempting as it is to take his. While all eyes will be on a Mookie Betts return, we see value with Kyle Tucker. The lefty has a solid matchup against San Francisco’s Trevor McDonald, getting just his second start. So, let’s continue our best MLB home run picks for today with Kyle Tucker to hit a HR (+500 at bet365).

🚀 Longshot Home Run Picks Today

As valuable as those picks are, we couldn’t leave you hanging without a value play to start your week. So, here’s our best MLB home run longshot pick for today:

We’re heading to Baltimore for the Yankees vs. Orioles series, where the popular picks will be on Aaron Judge, Ben Rice, and more. However, this is both a value play and a longshot, as Jeremiah Jackson simply shouldn’t be in the +800’s. So, he’s our best MLB home run longshot pick for today!

 

 

 

💲 Today’s Best MLB Home Run Parlay

This weekend, we switched things up by piecing together similar picks to our top three choices without being the exact same ones. Just for the lighter slate, we’ll focus on just our main guys, so here’s our best MLB home run parlay for today:

As always, these are matchups we targeted for good reasons, so you can absolutely go with the same lineups but different names. In either case, it’s time to start the week strong with our best MLB home run picks for today!