MLB Home Run Picks Today: Best HR Predictions for April 23rd, 2026
There may be slightly fewer games on the Thursday MLB slate, but that certainly doesn’t mean that we can’t make it as valuable as possible. One of the best, most popular, and exciting ways to do so is with MLB home run picks. That’s why we’ve hooked you up with ours and more; get ready for some huge payouts ahead!
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⚾ Top MLB Home Run Picks for Today
After hitting one of our best MLB home run picks each of the first two days this week, our targets didn’t come through. Not to worry - we always have MLB expert picks across all types of markets! As for our best MLB home run picks today, if you just want the names without the breakdowns…
- Shohei Ohtani: +305 at Caesars Sportsbook
- Kyle Schwarber: +260 at bet365 Sportsbook
- Dansby Swanson: +730 at DraftKings Sportsbook
🔥 Best Matchups for Home Runs Today, 4/23: Ballpark Factors & Weather Impact
So, why did the guys above make the cut for our top MLB home run predictions today? There are many factors to consider to answer that question, such as pitching matchups, the form hitters are in with their barrel and contact rates, and even our MLB weather report!
With those things in mind and more nuanced factors, let’s break down each of our MLB home run picks that you saw above.
Shohei Ohtani (+305)
It’s not often that Shohei Ohtani will lead things off, but he is today. Of course, that’s certainly not because he isn’t worthy, but rather because these odds are generally far worse. With his matchup at Oracle Park in San Francisco today, the ballpark isn’t the best, but that’s not scaring us with our MLB home run picks.
That’s because Ohtani is matchup-proof, stadium-proof, and anything else you want to rattle off. He also just had his 53-game on-base streak snapped last night, so you know he’s going to bounce back in a big way. With Logan Webb starting for the Giants, that’s great news, as he’s already hit two homers against him.
Even if it comes later against the bullpen, the first of our best MLB home run picks for today is Shohei Ohtani to hit a HR (+305 at Caesars).
Kyle Schwarber (+260)
We’ve got another rather “square” pick on today’s card, but simply put, it’s warranted. We cashed with Bryce Harper just the other day, and we went with him over Schwarber as the better lefty vs. lefty hitter. Well, now the Phillies get to face a righty in Edward Cabrera, hence our MLB home run picks including Schwarber.
Even without that being the case, he’s as matchup-proof as Ohtani, especially in the long-ball department. He’s also just as well-known for going yard nice and early, so this could be a first-inning cash for us. We also love the fact that Cabrera has allowed eight hits in each of his last two starts.
Along with double-digit winds blowing OUT at Wrigley Field, let's add to our best MLB home run picks for today with Kyle Schwarber to hit a HR (+260 at bet365).
Dansby Swanson (+730)
To round out our trifecta of dingers, why leave those great conditions at Wrigley Field? After all, the Cubs hit two home runs against the Phillies last night, and neither of them was from one of the best under-the-radar HR guys this year - he’s got five so far. That’s why the shortstop is part of our top MLB home run picks today.
He gets to face Philly starter Christopher Sanchez, which means he gets to face a lefty. He’s hit two of those homers against such pitching, and better yet, one of them was Sanchez! That’s right - just 10 days ago, Swanson took today’s starter deep, and of course, it can come against the bullpen later on as well.
With that aforementioned wind in play, let’s add Dansby Swanson to hit a HR (+730 at DraftKings) to our best MLB home run picks for today!
🚀 Longshot Home Run Picks Today
Did you think we were done there? Just about any MLB home run picks provide some juicy payouts, but let’s go one step further. We’re going to do so with our best MLB home run longshot pick for today:
We’re already stacking Phillies vs. Cubs today, so why not? He’s crushing lefties this season with a .706 slugging percentage thanks to two homers, so this shouldn’t even be a longshot. Either way, Hoerner is indeed our best MLB home run longshot for today!
💲 Today’s Best MLB Home Run Parlay
Now that you’ve got four different targets to root for today, let’s round things out with our best MLB home run parlay for today:
- Ohtani, Schwarber & Swanson: +10316 at DraftKings, so a $10 bet pays $1,041.60!
That’s a ton of big numbers that you’ve seen by now, so all that’s left to do is to lock them in! We’ll be cheering right alongside you for our best MLB home run picks for today to all hit!
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