New to PrizePicks? Let me introduce you two! PrizePicks is one of the fastest growing, easiest DFS platforms on the planet! All you have to do is pick 2, 3, 4, 5 players from their posted projections for the day and simply predict if you think the player in question will go OVER the posted number, or UNDER the posted number! You can win up to 10X your entry fee!
Ready to give PrizePicks a shot? Sign up here using code "ALARM" --> https://prizepicks.com/welcome?invite_code=alarm
Team Liquid (Europe Rank: #2) vs. Team Vitality (Europe Rank: #11) - 8:00 A.M. ET
Moneyline Odds: Liquid (-250) | Vitality (+165)
Map Handicap: Liquid -1.5 (+145) | Vitality +1.5 (-210)
Map Total: Over 2.5 (-110) | Under 2.5 (-135)
Liquid - Stats past three months:
ScreaM 1.26 Rating | 263 Average Combat Score | 0.91 Kills Per Round
Jamppi 1.06 Rating | 223 Average Combat Score | 0.78 Kills Per Round
L1NK 0.99 Rating | 192 Average Combat Score | 0.68 Kills Per Round
soulcas 0.98 Rating | 194 Average Combat Score | 0.70 Kills Per Round
Kryptix 0.95 Rating | 186 Average Combat Score | 0.62 Kills Per Round
Vitality - Stats past three months:
vakk 1.18 Rating | 226 Average Combat Score | 0.80 Kills Per Round
ceNder 1.15 Rating | 227 Average Combat Score | 0.82 Kills Per Round
Bramz 1.07 Rating | 224 Average Combat Score | 0.80 Kills Per Round
LoWkii 0.97 Rating | 198 Average Combat Score | 0.69 Kills Per Round
Shalaby - New addition to the team, limited match history
H2H Data:
N/A
Projected Maps:
Liquid bans Icebox
Vitality bans Haven
Liquid picks Breeze
Vitality picks Split
Ascent is the decider map.
Prediction:
Liquid wins 2-0
PrizePicks Plays:
ScreaM - 79.5 Fantasy Score
Last three maps played on Breeze:
07/07 vs. Fnatic (11-13 Loss): 11 Kills + 6 Assists = 28 Fantasy Points as Jett
07/01 vs. Alliance (13-5 Win): 24 Kills + 4 Assists = 52 Fantasy Points as Jett
06/30 vs. Finest (15-13 Win): 25 Kills + 2 Assists = 52 Fantasy Points as Jett
Last three maps played on Split:
07/07 vs. Team BDS (14-12 Win): 20 Kills + 2 Assists = 42 Fantasy Points as Jett
05/27 vs. KRU Esports (13-2 Win): 21 Kills + 3 Assists = 45 Fantasy Points as Sage
05/25 vs. Version1 (16-14 Win): 30 Kills + 7 Assists = 67 Fantasy Points as Sage
Tony’s Play: Over 79.5 Fantasy Score
We know that ScreaM has godlike aim, so I never like to target his under in general, but I do also think this could be a favorable spot for him on Wednesday. Liquid has a lot of talent, but they still have some work to do in my opinion, and I could definitely see Vitality keeping things close and maybe even taking a map. ScreaM has been the top fragger for Liquid with 0.91 kills per round in the past three months, and he probably has the highest ceiling of anyone on the slate. Soulcas tweeted out on Tuesday that his wrist is doing better, but it was less than a week ago that he said it was in a lot of pain, which is just another reason to consider the upset potential for Vitality here. Liquid is still the better team and should win one way or another, and a competitive game environment could set-up perfectly for ScreaM to have a monster day. Either take the over or fade this would be my recommendation since betting against ScreaM will likely have you on the edge of your seat from the very start.
ceNder - 66.5 Fantasy Score
Last three maps played on Breeze:
07/24 vs. Team Heretics (13-2 Win): 10 Kills + 6 Assists = 26 Fantasy Points as Viper
07/24 vs. Ninjas in Pyjamas (15-17 Loss): 27 Kills + 8 Assists = 62 Fantasy Points as Viper
07/22 vs. WiLD MultiGaming (13-10 Win): 23 Kills + 4 Assists = 50 Fantasy Points as Viper
Last three maps played on Split:
07/24 vs. Ninjas in Pyjamas (13-11 Win): 15 Kills + 4 Assists = 34 Fantasy Points as Killjoy
07/23 vs. Wave Esports (13-5 Win): 15 Kills + 2 Assists = 32 Fantasy Points as Killjoy
07/23 vs. Vodefone Giants (3-13 Loss): 8 Kills + 2 Assists = 18 Fantasy Points as Killjoy
Tony’s Play: *Lean* Over 66.5 Fantasy Score
CeNder does not play duelists, though he still averages the most kills per round on his team with 0.82 in the past three months. I do not see a tremendous amount of upside on this over, but ceNder has been pretty consistent and the competitive game environment that I am expecting here should help his projections. This is just a lean for me and is not a priority play.
Fnatic (Europe Rank: #6) vs. Alliance (Europe Rank: #15) - 10:00 A.M. ET
Moneyline Odds: Fnatic (-295) | Alliance (+190)
Map Handicap: Fnatic -1.5 (+130) | Alliance +1.5 (-190)
Map Total: Over 2.5 (-105) | Under 2.5 (-140)
Fnatic - Stats past three months:
Derke 1.16 Rating | 246 Average Combat Score | 0.82 Kills Per Round
Doma 1.06 Rating | 210 Average Combat Score | 0.73 Kills Per Round
MAGNUM 1.02 Rating | 212 Average Combat Score | 0.74 Kills Per Round
Boaster 0.95 Rating | 194 Average Combat Score | 0.67 Kills Per Round
Mistic 0.95 Rating | 176 Average Combat Score | 0.63 Kills Per Round
Alliance - Stats past three months:
kAdavra 1.29 Rating | 262 Average Combat Score | 0.94 Kills Per Round
juseu 1.09 Rating | 231 Average Combat Score | 0.81 Kills Per Round
hype 1.07 Rating | 209 Average Combat Score | 0.74 Kills Per Round
Fearoth 1.00 Rating | 195 Average Combat Score | 0.66 Kills Per Round
luckeRRR 0.98 Rating | 190 Average Combat Score | 0.68 Kills Per Round
H2H Data:
Seven of the ten players were on the server when these teams faced back on 04/01/2021. Alliance swept 2-0 (18-16 Haven / 13-6 Icebox), though xms (who is no longer on Alliance) led the way with 51 kills and a 308 ACS across two maps.
Projected Maps:
Fnatic bans Split
Alliance bans Breeze
Fnatic picks Bind
Alliance picks Icebox
Haven is the decider map.
Prediction:
Alliance wins 2-1
PrizePicks Plays:
Derke - 75.5 Fantasy Score
Last three maps played on Bind:
07/07 vs. Team Liquid (9-13 Loss): 12 Kills + 2 Assists = 26 Fantasy Points as Skye
07/02 vs. Wave Esports (13-8 Win): 18 Kills + 6 Assists = 42 Fantasy Points as Sova
07/01 vs. G2 (9-13 Loss): 15 Kills + 9 Assists = 39 Fantasy Points as Sova
Last three maps played on Icebox:
07/08 vs. G2 (9-13 Loss): 11 Kills + 2 Assists = 24 Fantasy Points as Jett
07/08 vs. Guild Esports (6-13 Loss): 10 Kills + 3 Assists = 23 Fantasy Points as Jett
07/02 vs. Wave Esports (13-1 Win): 21 Kills + 3 Assists = 45 Fantasy Points as Jett
Tony’s Play: *Lean* Under 75.5 Fantasy Score
Derke has his days where he is unstoppable on Jett, and Fnatic’s map pick for this series is somewhat unclear so they could also go for Ascent instead and we could see him play Jett for both of the first two maps. Still, Derke has been pretty inconsistent in the past month, and I think the value is on the under. This should be another competitive series, and I do expect Alliance to at least win a map here, which could maybe help Derke’s projection if we see several rounds played. Overall, I just do not see this being a dominant performance for Fnatic or Derke though, especially on Icebox if Alliance are able to pick that map, and this projection feels a bit high, so I prefer the under. This is just a lean for me and not a priority play.
kAdavra - 70.5 Fantasy Score
Last three maps played on Bind:
07/23 vs. Vodafone Giants (11-13 Loss): 28 Kills + 4 Assists = 60 Fantasy Score as Raze
07/23 vs. Vexed Gaming (13-4 Win): 23 Kills + 1 Assist = 47 Fantasy Score as Raze
07/22 vs. Cream Real Betis (13-7 Win): 16 Kills + 8 Assists = 40 Fantasy Score as Raze
Last three maps played on Icebox:
07/24 vs. BIG (13-9 Win): 18 Kills + 5 Assists = 41 Fantasy Score as Jett
07/23 vs. Vodafone Giants (14-16 Loss): 21 Kills + 3 Assists = 45 Fantasy Score as Jett
07/23 vs. Vexed Gaming (13-9 Win): 19 Kills + 2 Assists = 40 Fantasy Score as Jett
Tony’s Play: Over 70.5 Fantasy Score
KAdavra has been the hard carry for Alliance, and I love his over against Fnatic. On Friday, Alliance got swept by Vodafone Giants, yet kAdavra still had 49 Kills and 7 Assists across two maps (105 Fantasy Score), so I am not worried about him going over as an underdog against Fnatic, though one of the maps against Vodafone Giants did go to overtime. We should see him exclusively on a duelist, probably Raze and Jett for this series, but Reyna could be another possibility depending on the map pool. Either way, his 0.94 kills per round in the past three months are not something to ignore, and if Alliance can keep this series competitive then he should smash this total. The odds on Fnatic moneyline have jumped a notable 90 points in the past half hour while I have typed this blog, and the odds now sit at Fnatic moneyline (-385) as of 8 P.M. ET. I am shocked to see Fnatic as such a heavy favorite because I think Alliance can easily pull the upset here, and I have them winning at least one map, likely Icebox if it is played. I see a ton of upside on this projection at 70.5 for kAdavra.
FAVORITE PLAYS:
ScreaM - Over 79.5 Fantasy Score
kAdavra - Over 70.5 Fantasy Score