CS:GO DFS Playbook: FlashPoint 3 – 5.16.2021 (2-Match)

Sprout (Ranked 30th in World) @ FaZe (Ranked 19th in World)

Betting Odds: FaZe -475/Sprout +320

Map Odds: 2.5 Over +135/Under -180

*This is a best of three lower bracket round 1 match for FlashPoint 3 Event.

*Sprout For Event: faveN 0.88 Rating, Spiidi 0.78, kressy 0.69, denis 0.68, slaxz- 0.58.

*Sprout Over Last Month of Play (35 Maps): faveN 1.22 Rating, slaxz- 1.05, kressy 1.00, Spiidi 0.95, denis 0.93.

*FaZe For Event: coldzera 1.11 Rating, broky 1.08, rain 0.95, Twistzz 0.95, Karrigan 0.75.

*FaZe Over Last Month of Play (14 Maps): broky 1.10 Rating, Twistzz 1.09, coldzera 1.05, rain 0.98, Karrigan 0.81.

H2H DATA:

*These two teams have not played any recent head-to-head matches.

MAPS:

*The first likely two banned maps for this match should include Vertigo for Faze and Overpass for Sprout. Believe we see Dust2 for Sprout and Mirage for FaZe here.

*Sprout on Dust2 (26 Maps): slaxz- 1.22 Rating, 0.74 KPR, 1.31 IMP, 79.1 ADR. faveN 1.19, kressy 1.06, denis 1.04, Spiidi 1.03. On Mirage (16 Maps): faveN 1.31 Rating, 0.85 KPR, 1.36 IMP, 93.6 ADR. kressy 1.05, slaxz- 1.05, denis 0.94, Spiidi 0.93.

*FaZe on Mirage (9 Maps): coldzera 1.21 Rating, 0.79 KPR, 1.18 IMP, 82.5 ADR. Twistzz 1.19, broky 1.13, rain 0.92, Karrigan 0.90. On Dust2 (3 Maps): rain 1.18 Rating, 0.77 KPR, 1.29 IMP, 85.5 ADR. Twistzz 1.04, broky 1.00, coldzera 0.95, Karrigan 0.85.

*Analysis: To be flat out honest, I think FaZe are a bit over-priced in the betting market for this match and I think they are likely closer to a 2-to-1 favorite than a 3.5-to-1 here as they are. Sprout have had some tough breaks lately and they haven’t been able to put it all together, but they have some talent mainly in faveN and slaxz- that could make a big difference in this match. FaZe have only won ONE of their last five matches coming into this one, while Sprout has won three of their last five with wins over Tricked (sweep), Dignitas, and HAVU. Would it shock me to see FaZe 2-0 this? No. I also could easily see a scenario where Sprout steals a map here and could easily take this to a three-map match. If I am calling this, I say FaZe 2-1 roughly 65% chance with FaZe 2-0 around 20% and Sprout 2-1 around 5-10%.

 

NiP (Ranked 13th in World) @ HYENAS (Unranked)

Betting Odds: NiP -835/HYENAS +480

Map Odds: 2.5 Over +165/Under -225

*This is a best of three lower-bracket round 1 match for the FlashPoint 3 Event.

*NiP For Event: device 1.32 Rating, REZ 1.23, hampus 1.01, Plopski 0.92, ztr 0.90.

*NiP For Last Month of Play: See Above.

*HYENAS For Event: Kjaerbye 1.12 Rating, b0RUP 1.01, Fessor 0.95, aizy 0.82, gade 0.70.

*HYENAS For Last Month of Play: See Above.

H2H DATA:

*These two teams have not faced each other head-to-head lately.

MAPS:

*The first likely two banned maps for this match should include Train for HYENAS and Vertigo for NiP. I think we see Overpass for NiP and Inferno for HYENAS.

*NiP on Overpass (4 Maps): device 1.27 Rating, 0.78 KPR, 1.21 IMP, 86.5 ADR. Plopski 1.22, hampus 1.03, REZ 0.99, Ztr 0.96. On Inferno (9 Maps): REZ 1.13 Rating, 0.73 KPR, 1.15 IMP, 83.8 ADR. Plopski 1.06, hampus 0.93, ztr 0.78.

*HYENAS on Inferno (1 Map): Kjaerbye 1.47 Rating, 0.91 KPR, 1.16 IMP, 103.9 ADR. b0RUP 0.85, Fessor 0.83, gade 0.56, aizy 0.43. On Overpass (No Maps Played over L3 Months).

*Analysis: device’s debut match with NiP didn’t go as planned as they had server issues that wouldn’t allow them to function with all their utility and other things, and it ultimately cost them the first match and now faced down here in the lower-bracket of this Event. I believe we see the real NiP team today and sadly, HYENAS are just not a really good team. HYENAS are made up of basically the old North team with b0RUP and Fessor, a couple of dropped players. NiP likely rolls here 2-0.

 

*TOP STACKS: NiP, Sprout (in Tournaments), FaZe (for Cash)

*TOP CPT PLAYS: device, faveN, broky, slaxz-, coldzera, Plopski

*TOP FLEX PLAYS: hampus, rain, Twistzz, Spiidi, kressy, Kjaerbye