SINNERS (World rank: #32) vs. Wisla Krakow (World rank: #45) - 10:00 A.M. ET
Moneyline Odds: SINNERS (+115) | Wisla Krakow (-140)
Map Handicap: SINNERS +1.5 (-265) | Wisla Krakow -1.5 (+210)
Map Total: Over 2.5 (+105) | Under 2.5 (-130)
- This is a best-of-three series for the quarter-finals of Malta Vibes Knockout Series 5
- SINNERS - Rating at event: forsyy 1.18 | NEOFRAG 1.08 | ZEDKO 1.06 | beastik 0.98 | SHOCK 0.92
- SINNERS - Rating past three months: forsyy 1.14 | NEOFRAG 1.13 | SHOCK 1.04 | ZEDKO 0.95 | beastik 0.91
- Wisla Krakow - Rating at event: snatchie 1.35 | jedqr 1.25 | Goofy 1.24 | Sobol 1.20 | SZPERO 1.01
- Wisla Krakow - Rating past three months: Sobol 1.18 | Goofy 1.12 | snatchie 1.10 | jedqr 1.10 | SZPERO 0.96
H2H Data:
- These rosters have never faced each other. Both teams have made changes to their lineup since they last faced in December 2021, when SINNERS swept 2-0 (16-6 Ancient / 16-11 Mirage).
Map Projections:
SINNERS removes Dust2
Wisla Krakow removes Vertigo
SINNERS picks Inferno
Wisla Krakow picks Mirage
SINNERS removes Overpass
Wisla Krakow removes Ancient
Nuke is left over.
Prediction/Narrative: SINNERS win 2-1.
The biggest storyline here is SZPERO, who missed Wisla Krakow’s match against AGO on Monday because he was not feeling well. SZPERO should be back for this match-up against SINNERS according to Wisla Krakow’s official Twitter page (https://twitter.com/WislaGames/status/1485756674354946049?s=20), which means KEi will not be playing. SINNERS have beaten Wisla Krakow the past three times that they have played, but their team parted ways with their star AWPer, oskar, earlier this month. Forsyy certainly seems like a great replacement, but it is difficult to completely replace a veteran player like oskar who averaged a 1.17 Rating during his time with SINNERS. Wisla Krakow’s new lineup has been doing well so far having won 12 out of 19 maps played together, but I still don’t see think they should be favored in this spot. Forsyy has been solid with a 1.12 K/D ratio and 1.07 Rating in his six maps played with SINNERS, so I wouldn’t panic just because oskar is gone. I have SINNERS winning this in a close series, and my preferred play on Draftkings would be to stack at least two from SINNERS, preferably forsyy & NEOFRAG, and possibly use a player like snatchie as a one-off from Wisla Krakow, especially considering snatchie’s $6,200 salary just seems too cheap.
- Forsyy has dominated on Inferno with a 1.94 K/D ratio and 1.51 Rating across two maps played with SINNERS.
- NEOFRAG delivered 29 kills with only 18 deaths in this lineup’s only match on Mirage. He finished with a 1.51 Rating and 0.97 kills per round.
- Snatchie leads his team in Rating (1.27) on Inferno across two maps played. He is also the second highest rated member of Wisla Krakow on Mirage (1.27) across four maps played.
Favorite Draftkings Plays (In order of priority):
forsyy ($8,200) | NEOFRAG ($7,600) | snatchie ($6,200) | ZEDKO ($6,000) | jedqr ($6,800) | SHOCK ($7,000) | Goofy ($8,000) | Sobol ($8,600)
Copenhagen Flames (World rank: #15) vs. ForZe (World rank: #22) - 1:00 P.M. ET
Moneyline Odds: Copenhagen Flames (-155) | ForZe (+125)
Map Handicap: Copenhagen Flames -1.5 (+180) | ForZe +1.5 (-225)
Map Total: Over 2.5 (+110) | Under 2.5 (-135)
- This is a best-of-three series for the quarter-finals of Malta Vibes Knockout Series 5
- Copenhagen Flames - Rating at event: roeJ 1.40 | nicoodoz 1.35 | Zyphon 1.35 | jabbi 1.29 | HooXi 1.13
- Copenhagen Flames - Rating past three months: roeJ 1.21 | nicoodoz 1.11 | Zyphon 1.05 | jabbi 1.02 | HooXi 0.88
- ForZe - Rating at event: shalfey 1.49 | Norwi 1.15 | KENSI 1.14 | Jerry 0.93 | zorte 0.93
- ForZe - Rating past three months: Jerry 1.11 | zorte 1.11 | shalfey 1.09 | KENSI 1.05 | Norwi 0.96
H2H Data:
- These rosters have never faced each other. Both teams have made changes to their lineup since they last faced in April 2021, when forZe won 2-1 (16-7 Mirage / 7-16 Overpass / 16-6 Nuke).
Map Projections:
Copenhagen Flames removes Dust2
ForZe removes Vertigo
Copenhagen Flames picks Nuke
ForZe picks Mirage/Inferno
Copenhagen Flames removes Ancient
ForZe removes Overpass
Inferno/Mirage is left over.
Prediction/Narrative: forZe wins 2-1.
Copenhagen Flames cruised to an easy victory against Young Ninjas which puts the Danes as the highest rated team at the event (1.31) across two maps played. CPH Flames even picked Dust2 (their usual permaban map), which goes to show the amount of respect that they had for Young Ninjas. ForZe looked good in their win over Entropiq Prague, but that series was at least a bit competitive. These rosters are pretty evenly matched, and I think that this could come down to the map pool. ForZe’s best maps also happen to be some of Copenhagen’s worst. ForZe have their highest win rate (64.7%) with this roster on Mirage with a 11-6 W/L record, while CPH Flames have one of their worst win rates (46.7%) with a 7-8 W/L record in the past three months. Another strong option for forZe would be Inferno, which is their most played map and where they have a solid win rate (55.6%) with their 10-8 W/L record. Copenhagen have an even win rate on Inferno (40.0%) with their 4-6 W/L record in the past three months. The only map that has been worse than Inferno & Mirage for Copenhagen has been Ancient, which forZe do play a lot and could be an option for them, so the Flames will surely end up with some weaker maps in the pool. I see this as another close series with forZe easily able to pull the ‘upset’ based on their map pool. ForZe is also the cheaper team to stack on Draftkings, which means I would prefer to stack at least two players from forZe with zorte & shalfey as my favorites, and possibly a one-off from Copenhagen like roeJ or nicoodoz, who are both capable of leading the server in frags even in a loss.
- Shalfey leads his team in K/D ratio (1.20) and Rating (1.11) on Nuke across 10 maps played.
- Shalfey also leads his team in K/D ratio (1.27) and Rating (1.21) on Mirage across 17 maps played.
- Zorte leads his team in K/D ratio (1.22) and Rating (1.13) on Inferno across 18 maps played.
- RoeJ leads his team in Rating on Mirage (1.28) and Nuke (1.23) in the past three months.
Favorite Draftkings Plays (In order of priority):
shalfey ($6,400) | zorte ($7,800) | roeJ ($9,200) | Jerry ($7,200) | nicoodoz ($8,400) | KENSI ($5,600) | jabbi ($6,600)