Tricked (World rank: #50) vs. ONYX (World rank: #105) - 4:00 A.M. ET

Moneyline Odds: Tricked (-155) | ONYX (+125)

Round Handicap: Tricked -2.5 (-105) | ONYX +2.5 (-115)

  • This is an online best-of-one for the Stage One Group A Semi-Final of Pinnacle Cup IV
  • Tricked - Rating at event: N/A
  • Tricked - Rating past three months: Larsen 1.01 | PR1mE 0.99 | kwezz 0.97 | IceBerg 0.96 | kiR 0.94  
  • ONYX - Rating at event: N/A
  • ONYX - Rating past three months: sl3nd 1.07 | bodito 1.02 | Kamion 0.93 | Coolio  0.90 | msN 0.88

H2H Data:

  • These rosters have never faced each other.   

Prediction/Narrative: ONYX wins 16-12 on Overpass.

This ONYX lineup has only paid 14 maps together, but they have already managed to win a series against Anonymo, steal a map from forZe, and play a few close maps against Eternal Fire & SKADE. The Hungarian team is already pretty battle-tested, and I think this is a chance to buy low on them. As for Tricked, they have more experience with their Danish lineup, but they have continued to produce mixed results with a 42-45 W/L record across 87 maps played in the last three months. Sl3nd is pretty handy on the AWP, and I think he will be the best player on the server here. The pricing on Draftkings for ONYX is much cheaper than Tricked and I think this is a winnable spot for the Hungarians, so I will happily ride with ONYX.  

Favorite DFS Plays (In order of priority):

sl3nd ($7,000) | Kamion ($5,600) | bodito ($6,400) | PR1mE ($8,200) | msN (4,600) | coolio ($4,800) | larsen ($9,400) 

 

Finest (World rank: #62) vs. 777 (World rank: #92) - 5:30 A.M. ET

Moneyline Odds: Finest (-160) | 777 (+130)

Round Handicap: Finest -2.5 (-105) | 777 +2.5 (-115)

  • This is an online best-of-one for the Stage One Group A Semi-Final of Pinnacle Cup IV
  • Finest - Rating at event: N/A
  • Finest - Rating past three months: anarkez 1.10 | PlesseN 1.06 | shokz 1.05 | kreaz 1.03 | twist 0.93
  • 777 - Rating at event: N/A
  • 777 - Rating past three months: H4RR3 1.13 | Grusarn 1.00 | Ruyter 0.98 | akez 0.93 | mikki 0.92

H2H Data:

  • These rosters have never faced each other. The teams last faced in January at Elisa Invitational Winter and Finest won 2-0 (16-14 Mirage / 19-17 Dust2), though Finest were playing with mar and NaToSaphiX in their lineup at that time. Anarkez led with 63 kills and a 1.44 Rating across two maps played. 

Prediction/Narrative: Finest win 16-14 on Mirage.

I could see this being the most competitive series on the slate as these teams are evenly matched. Finest got off to a red hot start with this lineup taking down SAW, SINNERS, and Endpoint, but they have cooled off losing five series in a row. As for 777, their roster has seemingly gotten worse over time, and their current lineup has a 23-33 W/L record across 56 maps played. If Finest can find their good form again, then they should be the clear better team, but the fact that they have been stumbling lately makes me think this will be a close one. H4RR3 is a strong option as a one-off from 777, but my main focus will be Finest in this spot. 

Favorite DFS Plays (In order of priority):

anarkez ($9,000) | shokz ($7,200) | PlesseN ($8,000) | H4RR3 ($7,800) | twist ($5,400) | Ruyter ($6,600) | kreaz ($6,200) | mikki ($5,800) 

 

Savage (World rank: #182) vs. Case (World rank: #51) - 10:00 A.M. ET

Moneyline Odds: Savage (-115) | Case (-105)

Round Handicap: Savage -2.5 (+125) | Case +2.5 (-155)

  • This is an online best-of-one for the Stage One Group B Semi-Final of Pinnacle Cup IV
  • Savage - Rating at event: N/A
  • Savage - Rating past three months: draken 1.08 | grux 1.02 | dezon 0.99 | TENZKI 0.93 | Golden 0.75
  • Case - Rating at event: N/A
  • Case - Rating past three months: RCF 1.15 | honda 1.05 | f4stzin 1.03 | yepz  0.99 | steel 0.95

H2H Data:

  • These rosters have never faced each other.   

Prediction/Narrative: Case wins 16-8 on Mirage.

Savage are the favorites here??? These odds don't make any sense to me. This Savage lineup has a 1-7 W/L record across eight maps played and they have yet to win a series. Meanwhile, the Brazilians have a 17-12 W/L record across 29 maps played, and they appear to be playing much better Counter-Strike than Savage, though they play in an easier region. Besides that, Case are the #51 team in the world compared to #182 for Savage. We’ve seen Brazilian teams sometimes struggle against European teams in the past, but I just don’t see that happening against a team being led by IGL Golden, who has a 0.75 Rating with 0.49 kills per round in the past three months.  Case have at least a 50% win rate on every map in the pool besides Ancient, and I expect them to handle Savage with ease in this best-of-one.

Favorite DFS Plays (In order of priority):

RCF ($8,600) | f4stzin ($6,800) | steel ($5,200) | honda ($7,600) | yepz ($6,000) | draken ($8,400) 

 

Falcons (World rank: #71) vs. ECLOT (World rank: #78) - 11:30 A.M. ET

Moneyline Odds: Falcons (-210) | ECLOT (+170)

Round Handicap: Falcons -3.5 (-105) | ECLOT +3.5 (-115)

  • This is an online best-of-one for the Stage One Group B Semi-Final of Pinnacle Cup IV
  • Falcons - Rating at event: N/A
  • Falcons - Rating past three months: hAdji 1.12 | Maka 1.08 | Keoz 1.07 | Python 1.03 | Kyojin 1.01
  • ECLOT - Rating at event: N/A
  • ECLOT - Rating past three months: Dytor 1.09 | K1-FiDa 1.02 | capseN 1.01 | Valencio  0.98 | nbqq 0.97

H2H Data:

  • These rosters have never faced each other. The LDLC core of hAdji, Maka, and Keoz played against ECLOT in October 2021 when ZED was still in their lineup and LDLC won 2-1 (11-16 Mirage / 16-4 Inferno / 16-10 Dust2). Hadji led the server with 63 kills and a 1.28 Rating across three maps played. 

Prediction/Narrative: Falcons win 16-10 on Inferno.

This Falcons lineup has been solid with wins against Copenhagen Flames, HEET, 00Nation, SAW, and ECSTATIC in the past three months. They have a 15-13 W/L record across 28 maps played, and they look like the strongest team playing on the slate based on results and talent. However, I do think that ECLOT are no slouch so this series might stay fairly competitive. ECLOT have managed a 20-18 W/L record across 38 maps played with their lineup, though they haven’t done much against high-caliber teams like Falcons. The LDLC core of hAdji, Maka, and Keoz has beaten ECLOT in the past, and I expect them to come out on top again on Monday. 

Favorite DFS Plays (In order of priority):

keoz ($7,800) | Python ($7,000) | hAdji ($9,800) | Maka ($8,800) | Dytor ($7,200) | Kyojin ($6,200) | capseN ($5,800) | K1-FiDa ($6,600) 

 

*Top Stacks: Case, Falcons, ONYX, Finest
*Favorite Captains: RCF, anarkez, keoz, PlesseN, hAdji, honda, Maka, H4RR3
*Favorite Value Options: sl3nd, f4stzin, Python, shokz, Kamion, steel, bodito, yepz, twist