G2 (World rank: #4) vs. Anonymo (World rank: #69) - 5:00 A.M. ET
Moneyline Odds: G2 (-1060) | Anonymo (+695)
Round Handicap: G2 -7.5 (-105) | Anonymo +7.5 (-115)
- This is a best-of-one on LAN for PGL Major Antwerp 2022 Europe RMR B - Swiss Round 1
- G2 - Rating at event: N/A
- G2 - Rating past three months: NiKo 1.23 | huNter- 1.17 | m0NESY 1.15 | JACKZ 0.99 | Aleksib 0.92
- Anonymo - Rating at event: N/A
- Anonymo - Rating past three months: Vegi 1.09 | oskarish 1.06 | tudsoN 1.05 | innocent 1.04 | Demho 0.97
H2H Data:
- These rosters have never faced each other.
Prediction/Narrative: G2 wins 16-8 on Mirage.
These odds are very steep for a best-of-one format, which tells you all you need to know about Anoymo’s chances here. Anonymo have lost four series in a row, and they have a 7-16 W/L record across their last 23 maps played. They have consistently been losing to tier two and tier three opponents, and I can’t see them having much of a chance here against the number four world-ranked team, G2. Anonymo’s best chance of winning would probably be on Mirage, but that is like a home map for G2. We saw G2 lose last time on Mirage in six overtimes against the best team in the world, FaZe, and they won the two times previous to that against two other strong teams: NAVI and Virtus.pro. All things considered, G2 should be a lock here under any circumstances.
- On Mirage, huNter- leads the G2 lineup with a 1.22 Rating and 1.18 K/D ratio across eight maps played.
- NiKo leads the G2 lineup with 27.7% opening duel attempts across 31 maps played.
Favorite DFS Plays (In order of priority):
m0NESY ($7,200) | huNter- ($8.800) | NiKo ($10,000) | Aleksib ($5,400) | JACKZ ($6,400)
Ninjas in Pyjamas (World rank: #7) vs. Endpoint (World rank: #46) - 6:15 A.M. ET
Moneyline Odds: NiP (-430) | Endpoint (+325)
Round Handicap: NiP -5.5 (+105) | Endpoint +5.5 (-130)
- This is a best-of-one on LAN for PGL Major Antwerp 2022 Europe RMR B - Swiss Round 1
- NiP - Rating at event: N/A
- NiP - Rating past three months: REZ 1.14 | Brollan 1.09 | hampus 1.05 | Plopski 1.02 | es3tag 0.95
- Endpoint - Rating at event: N/A
- Endpoint - Rating past three months: BOROS 1.16 | Nertz 1.08 | CRUC1AL 1.07 | Surreal 1.01 | MiGHTYMAX 0.97
H2H Data:
- These rosters have never faced each other.
Prediction/Narrative: Endpoint wins 16-14 on Overpass.
We’ve never seen this NiP roster play a single official match, which is why I have trouble backing them as a massive (-430) favorite in a best-of-one format. Yes, Brollan is a huge addition to their roster, and he should add additional firepower that they were missing at times. However, it may take this lineup some time to adjust, plus they don’t have a permanent solution for their AWPer with device still on break. It looks like es3tag will be wielding the AWP, which could give him additional upside for DFS, and while he might be a capable AWper - he is certainly not elite at that role. Endpoint have at least a 50% win rate on Nuke, Mirage, Vertigo, Overpass and Ancient in the past three months, and I think they will be able to veto for a map that they are a live underdog on. All in all, I think the upset potential is there for Endpoint as a big underdog in a best-of-one format against a new roster.
- On Overpass, Nertz & Surreal lead Endpoint with a 1.10 Rating, while Surreal leads with a 1.13 K/D ratio across seven maps played in the past three months.
- BOROS leads Endpoint with 25.0% opening duel attempts across 78 maps played in the past three months.
Favorite DFS Plays (In order of priority):
BOROS ($7,800) | Nertz ($6,800) | Surreal ($5,600) | hampus ($7,000) | Brollan ($8,200) | CRUC1AL ($6,200) | REZ ($9,600) | es3tag ($5,200)
HEET (World rank: #21) vs. SINNERS (World rank: #42) - 6:15 A.M. ET
Moneyline Odds: HEET (-170) | SINNERS (+140)
Round Handicap: HEET -2.5 (-115) | SINNERS +2.5 (-110)
- This is a best-of-one on LAN for PGL Major Antwerp 2022 Europe RMR B - Swiss Round 1
- HEET - Rating at event: N/A
- HEET - Rating past three months: bodyy 1.08 | afro 1.06 | Lucky 1.05 | Djoko 1.03 | Ex3rcice 1.03
- SINNERS - Rating at event: N/A
- SINNERS - Rating past three months: NEOFRAG 1.17 | forsyy 1.16 | SHOCK 1.05 | ZEDKO 0.97 | beastik 0.96
H2H Data:
- These rosters faced in February and HEET won 2-1 (13-16 Inferno / 28-26 Vertigo / 19-17 Nuke)
Prediction/Narrative: HEET wins 16-11 on Vertigo.
These rosters faced two months ago, and it was an extremely close series with two maps going to overtime, so it is fair to assume that we could be in for another close map here. Still, I think that HEET are the stronger team with a deeper map pool, and I’d consider them to be the clear favorite. The French have a 48-27 W/L record across 75 maps played in the past three months, and they have at least a 58.3% win rate on Vertigo, Dust2, Inferno, Nuke, and Ancient during that time. Compare that to SINNERS, who have been brilliant on Inferno with a 15-3 W/L record in the past three months, but have only managed a 24-30 W/L record across the rest of the map pool during that time. Inferno is the only map that SINNERS beat HEET on last time, and HEET can easily ban it away in this best-of-one format, which should give them quite the edge. Vertigo would be SINNERS’ next best option, but HEET have shown better form on that map with a 78.2% 5v4 conversion rate compared to only 70.3% for SINNERS in the past three months. I expect HEET to come out on top here, but we have seen SINNERS keep it close in the past, so this might not be a blow out.
- On Vertigo, afro leads HEET with a 1.16 Rating and 1.23 K/D ratio across 12 maps played in the past three months.
- Djoko & bodyy lead HEET with 22.8% opening duel attempts each across 75 maps played in the past three months.
Favorite DFS Plays (In order of priority):
afro ($8,000) | bodyy ($9,200) | Djoko ($4,800) | Lucky ($6,800) | NEOFRAG ($8,400) | Ex3rcice ($6,200) | forsyy ($7,400)