Vitality (World rank: #11) vs. MOUZ (World rank: #15) - 3:00 A.M. ET

Moneyline Odds: Vitality (-325) | MOUZ (+255)

Map Handicap: Vitality -1.5 (+105) | MOUZ +1.5 (-125)

Map Total: Over 2.5 (+135) | Under 2.5 (-160)

  • This is a best-of-three on LAN for PGL Major Antwerp 2022 Europe RMR A - Swiss Round 5 (teams with a 2-2 record). Winner qualifies for PGL Major Antwerp 2022 Challengers Stage, losing team is eliminated. 
  • Vitality - Rating at event: ZywOo 1.22 | dupreeh 1.19 | apEX 1.01 | Magisk 0.99 | misutaaa 0.91
  • Vitality - Rating past three months: ZywOo 1.18 | dupreeh 1.09 | Magisk  1.05 | apEX 0.99 | misutaaa 0.91
  • MOUZ - Rating at event: frozen 1.07 | Bymas 1.01 | dexter 0.98 | torzsi 0.96 | JDC 0.93
  • MOUZ - Rating past three months: Bymas 1.20 | frozen  1.11 | torzsi 1.11 | JDC 1.03 | dexter 0.93

H2H Data:

  • These rosters have never faced each other. The teams last faced at IEM Katowice 2022 with JDC standing in for Bymas and NBK- still on the MOUZ roster and Vitality won 2-1 (22-19 Vertigo / 17-19 Inferno / 16-10 Nuke). ZywOo led the server with 97 kills and a 1.42 Rating across three maps. 

Prediction/Narrative:Vitality wins 2-1.

Neither of these teams have looked in peak form at this event, but Vitality have certainly been better as the seventh highest-rated team with a 1.06 Team Rating across five maps played. ZywOo has also been solid as the seventh highest-rated player at the event with a 1.22 Rating, and I expect him to show up with a monster performance in this high stakes match-up. MOUZ have still only played nine total maps with this lineup, and I think the veteran players on Vitality will step up with a spot in the Major on the line. MOUZ have recorded wins on Vertigo, Ancient, and Inferno with their current lineup, However, the French should ban Ancient to start, and Inferno & Vertigo are two of their best maps, so I don’t see much of an opening here for MOUZ. Still, this could be a close series consider neither team looks dominant at the moment.

Favorite DFS Plays (In order of priority):

ZywOo ($9,600) | apEX ($6,800) | dupreeh ($8,600) | magisk ($7,800) | Bymas ($7,400) | misutaaa ($6,000) | torzsi ($5,600)

 

OG (World rank: #19) vs. Eternal Fire (World rank: #40) - 3:00 A.M. ET

Moneyline Odds: OG (-275) | Eternal Fire (+215)

Map Handicap: OG -1.5 (+135) | Eternal Fire +1.5 (-165)

Map Total: Over 2.5 (+110) | Under 2.5 (-135)

  • This is a best-of-three on LAN for PGL Major Antwerp 2022 Europe RMR A - Swiss Round 5 (teams with a 2-2 record). Winner qualifies for PGL Major Antwerp 2022 Challengers Stage, losing team is eliminated. 
  • OG - Rating at event: mantuu 1.30 | valde 1.08 | nexa 1.02 | flameZ 0.83 | niko 0.78
  • OG - Rating past three months: mantuu 1.16 | valde  1.13 | flameZ 1.08 | nexa 1.04 | niko 1.02
  • Eternal Fire - Rating at event: XANTARES 1.13 | woxic  1.01 | Calyx 1.01 | xfl0ud 1.00 | imoRR 0.95
  • Eternal Fire - Rating past three months: XANTARES 1.29 | imoRR 1.13 | woxic 1.12 | Calyx 1.06 | xfl0ud 1.03 

H2H Data:

  • These rosters have never faced each other. 

Prediction/Narrative: Eternal Fire wins 2-1.

Eternal Fire have a higher Team Rating than OG at this event at 1.02, which makes EF the eighth highest-rated team at the tournament. The Turkish team has been rolling in the past three months with a 38-19 W/L record, and they picked up a crucial win over Fnatic on Tuesday. They have a win rate of at least 61.5% on Vertigo, Inferno, Dust2, Nuke, Mirage and Overpass during that time, which means the map pool should look decent for them. OG got off to a hot start with nexa in their lineup, but they have cooled off with a 7-8 W/L record across their last 15 maps played. Eternal Fire have plenty of firepower and I think they are worth a look here as a heavy underdog/cheap option on Draftkings. 

Favorite DFS Plays (In order of priority):

XANTARES ($7,600) | woxic ($6,200) | imoRR ($7,000) | mantuu ($9,400) | Calyx ($5,400) | flameZ ($7,600) 

 

Outsiders (World rank: #9) vs. SAW (World rank: #31) - 6:45 A.M. ET

Moneyline Odds: Outsiders (-485) | SAW (+365)

Map Handicap: Outsiders -1.5 (-130) | SAW +1.5 (+105)

Map Total: Over 2.5 (+155) | Under 2.5 (-190)

  • This is a best-of-three on LAN for PGL Major Antwerp 2022 Europe RMR A - Swiss Round 5 (teams with a 2-2 record). Winner qualifies for PGL Major Antwerp 2022 Challengers Stage, losing team is eliminated. 
  • Outsiders - Rating at event: Qikert 1.20 | YEKINDAR  1.19 | Jame 1.14 | buster 1.01 | FL1T 0.94
  • Outsiders - Rating past three months: YEKINDAR 1.16 | Jame 1.16 | FL1T 1.11 | Qikert 1.03 | buster 0.97
  • SAW - Rating at event: MUTiRiS 1.05 | stadodo  0.97 | arki 0.93 | rmn 0.92 | JUST 0.87
  • SAW - Rating past three months: MUTiRiS 1.09 | rmn 1.07 | stadodo 1.00 | JUST 0.99 | arki 0.94

H2H Data:

  • These rosters have never faced each other. The teams last played in December 2020 prior to Outsiders/VP adding FL1T for SANJI. Outsiders won 3-1 (7-16 Inferno / 16-9 Vertigo / 16-10 Train / 19-15 Dust2) and buster top fragged with 86 kills and a 1.28 Rating across four maps. 

Prediction/Narrative: Outsiders win 2-0.

Outsiders are tied as the fifth highest-rated team at this event with a 1.10 Team Rating across six maps played. This should be an easy win for them on paper, especially considering they should ban Nuke right away, which is SAW’s best and most played map in the past three months. SAW are an experienced team, and they aren’t going to go down easy in this elimination match, but I’d consider Outsiders favorites on Ancient, Vertigo, and any other map that SAW may consider picking. I expect a sweep here as Outsiders look to lock in their spot in the Major. 

Favorite DFS Plays (In order of priority):

YEKINDAR ($10,000) | Jame ($9,000) | FL1T ($8,000) | buster ($6,200) | Qikert ($7,200) | MUTiRiS ($6,400)

 

*Top Stacks: Outsiders, Vitality, Eternal Fire
*Favorite Captains: ZywOo, YEKINDAR, XANTARES, Jame, dupreeh, FL1T, magisk, mantuu
*Favorite Value Options: woxic, apEX, buster, imoRR, Qikert, Bymas, misutaaa, Calyx