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Natus Vincere (World rank: #1) vs. Endpoint (World rank: #37) – 6:30 A.M. ET

Moneyline Odds: Natus Vincere (-2100) | Endpoint (+1180)

Map Handicap: Natus Vincere -1.5 (-370) | Endpoint +1.5 (+285)

This is a best-of-three on LAN for ESL Pro League Season 16 - Group A

Natus Vincere - Rating at event: Perfecto 1.26 | electronic 1.19 | s1mple 1.14 | b1t 1.14 | sdy 1.07

Natus Vincere - Rating past three months: s1mple 1.27 | electronic 1.18 | b1t 1.13 | Perfecto 1.08 | sdy 1.01

Endpoint - Rating at event: Nertz 1.04 | Kjaerbye 0.93 | CRUC1AL 0.90 | Surreal 0.86 | MiGHTYMAX 0.71

Endpoint - Rating past three months: Nertz 1.16 | Kjaerbye 1.03 | CRUC1AL 0.98 | Surreal 0.93 | MiGHTYMAX 0.91

H2H Data:

These rosters have never faced each other.

Prediction: NAVI wins 2-0.

There isn't much to say here with NAVI as (-2100) moneyline favorites. The implied odds give NAVI about a 79% chance to sweep, so play Endpoint at your own risk. NAVI are the highest-ranked team in the world going up against the lowest-ranked team in the group, so it would be surprising to see Endpoint stay competitive for any length of time really. Stacking NAVI is the obvious play on Draftkings, and it is just a matter of who is going to get all of the kills at that point. Perfecto & electronic are the third and fifth highest-rated players at the event, so they may look to continue their good form, while b1t has been the most aggressive player on NAVI so he may be looking to farm in this spot. I wouldn’t touch anyone on Endpoint outside of Nertz, but even he seems super risky in such an unfavorable match-up.

  • b1t, s1mple,electronic leads NAVI with 0.12 opening kills per round, while bit leads with 24.0% opening duel attempts across five maps played at this event.

Favorite Draftkings Plays (In order of priority): 

b1t ($8,200) | s1mple ($10,400) | electronic ($9,200) |  Perfecto ($7,400) | sdy ($6,200) | Nertz ($6,400) 

 

Vitality (World rank: #7) vs. Fnatic (World rank: #27) – 1:30 P.M. ET

Moneyline Odds: Vitality (-200) | Fnatic (+165)

Map Handicap: Vitality -1.5 (+150) | Fnatic +1.5 (-185)

This is a best-of-three on LAN for ESL Pro League Season 16 - Group A

Vitality - Rating at event: ZywOo 1.53 | Spinx 1.23 | apEX 1.19 | Magisk 1.16 | dupreeh 1.00

Vitality - Rating past three months: ZywOo 1.27 | Spinx 1.07 | Magisk 1.05 | dupreeh 1.02 | apEX 0.96

Fnatic - Rating at event: roeJ 1.27 | mezii 1.11 | FASHR 1.07 | nicoodoz 1.02 | KRIMZ 0.88

Fnatic - Rating past three months: roeJ 1.17 | nicoodoz 1.12 | FASHR 1.12 | mezii 1.08 | KRIMZ 1.07

H2H Data:

These rosters have never faced each other.

Prediction: Fnatic wins 2-1.

Fnatic proved that their hot streak is not a fluke after taking a map from NAVI on Thursday, and they now have a 10-3 W/L record across 13 maps played. Vitality currently sit as the highest-rated team at the event, but they have faced the two lowest-rated teams in the group with Endpoint and NiP, so they might be a bit overvalued at the moment considering they have faced struggling teams. Vitality should continue to ban Ancient, which takes away a strong map from Fnatic, but Fnatic have also looked solid on Nuke, Overpass and Mirage, so I don’t think they are doomed in the map veto. Vitality now have a 9-6 W/L record across 15 maps since adding Spinx, though at times they have shown some holes in their game plan, and I’m not ready to buy into them as a heavy favorite in this spot. Vitality are also 0-3 on Mirage with this lineup, so Fnatic may be able to get a win on that map. ZywOo is the highest-rated player at the event with a 1.53 Rating across four maps played and I don’t want to fade him, but otherwise I will be looking to stack Fnatic at cheap pricing to pair with ZywOo.

  • nicoodoz leads Fnatic with 0.15 opening kills per round, while roeJ leads with 28.2% opening duel attempts across five maps played at this event.

Favorite Draftkings Plays (In order of priority): 

ZywOo ($9,400) | nicoodoz ($7,200) | FASHR ($6,600) | roeJ ($8,000) | Spinx ($8,400) | magisk ($7,600) | mezii ($4,400) 

 

*Top Stacks: NAVI, Fnatic

*Top Captains: b1t, s1mple, ZywOo, nicoodoz, electronic, roeJ, Spinx

*Top Value: Perfecto, FASHR, sdy, magisk, mezii, Nertz