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EC Kyiv (World rank: #57) vs. PALOMA (World rank: #73) – 7:00 A.M. ET
Moneyline Odds: EC Kyiv (-230) | PALOMA (+155)
Map Handicap: EC Kyiv -1.5 (+135) | PALOMA +1.5 (-200)
This is an online best-of-three series for CCT Central Europe Series 1 - Swiss Round 4 (Teams with a 2-1 record). Winner advances to the playoffs.
EC Kyiv - Rating at event: s4ltovsk1yy 1.32 | byr9 1.07 | uQlutzavr 1.00 | Kvem N/A
EC Kyiv - Rating past three months: s4ltovsk1yy 1.17 | uQlutzavr 1.10 | Kvem 1.07 | byr9 1.06
PALOMA - Rating at event: casey 1.12 | Layner 1.02 | olimp 1.01 | sNx 0.88 | iso 0.83
PALOMA - Rating past three months: casey 1.26 | olimp 1.14 | Layner 1.03 | sNx 1.01 | iso 0.98
H2H Data:
These rosters have never faced each other.
Prediction: PALOMA wins 2-1.
EC Kyiv announced on Sunday that they were benching Smash & Flarich, so the future of this team is a bit unclear right now. They played with Kvem & bondik in their match on Sunday but EC Kyiv haven’t announced if this roster is final. Either way, I would avoid all four players on Draftkings (Smash, Flarich, Kvem, bondik) for the time being. Given the uncertainty surrounding EC Kyiv, I’m automatically leaning towards PALOMA as an underdog. PALOMA have actually been really solid with a 17-9 W/L record across 26 maps played with this lineup. PALOMA have wins against Enterprise, KOVA, and BLINK and have proven that they can compete at this level. PALOMA also have a strong map pool with Nuke (5-4 W/L), Inferno (5-2 W/L), Ancient (4-2 W/L), Mirage (2-0 W/L), and Vertigo (1-0 W/L) as decent options. I think PALOMA are good enough to win here, and the fact that EC Kyiv recently benched two players only gives me more confidence.
- casey leads PALOMA with 0.14 opening kills per round, while olimp leads with 23.5% opening duel attempts across 24 maps played in the past three months.
Favorite Draftkings Plays (In order of priority):
casey ($8,200) | olimp ($7,200) | Layner ($6,400) | s4ltovsk1yy ($9,200) | uQlutzavr ($8,400) | sNx ($5,200)
Monte (World rank: #55) vs. Illuminar (World rank: Unranked) – 10:00 A.M. ET
Moneyline Odds: Monte (-375) | Illuminar (+260)
Map Handicap: Monte -1.5 (-110) | Illuminar +1.5 (-120)
This is an online best-of-three series for CCT Central Europe Series 1 - Swiss Round 4 (Teams with a 2-1 record). Winner advances to the playoffs.
Monte - Rating at event: BOROS 1.28 | REDSTAR 1.11 | DemQQ 1.08 | joel 0.96 | Woro2k 0.89
Monte - Rating past three months: joel 1.20 | Woro2k 1.14 | BOROS 1.13 | DemQQ 1.09 | REDSTAR 1.06
Illuminar - Rating at event: morelz 1.12 | mASKED 1.08 | reatz 1.03 | EXUS 0.95 | TOAO 0.89
Illuminar - Rating past three months: morelz 1.07 | mASKED 1.00 | reatz 1.00 | EXUS 0.99 | TOAO 0.96
H2H Data:
These rosters have never faced each other.
Prediction: Monte wins 2-0.
This Monte roster is ridiculously talented and I think they are easily one of the top three teams at the event. Monte have a 13-5 W/L record across 18 maps played, and they almost took down Tricked in their last match at this event before falling in double overtime on Nuke. Monte are undefeated on Mirage across six maps played, and they even beat Tricked 16-4 on Mirage, so have been a lock on that map. Illuminar have actually put up some respectable performances against solid opponents, but the firepower just doesn’t match up with Monte. I’m taking a stand on Monte at this event and I expect them to dominate.
- BOROS leads Monte with 0.15 opening kills per round and 29.0% opening duel attempts across 18 maps played in the past three months.
Favorite Draftkings Plays (In order of priority):
BOROS ($7,400) | REDSTAR ($5,400) | Woro2k ($8,600) | joel ($9,600) | DemQQ ($6,600) | morelz ($8,000)
SKADE (World rank: #39) vs. Tricked (World rank: #78) – 1:00 P.M. ET
Moneyline Odds: SKADE (-445) | Tricked (+270)
Map Handicap: SKADE -1.5 (-120) | Tricked +1.5 (-120)
This is an online best-of-three series for CCT Central Europe Series 1 - Swiss Round 4 (Teams with a 2-1 record). Winner advances to the playoffs.
SKADE - Rating at event: Rainmaker 1.32 | dennyslaw 1.30 | dream3r 1.23 | SHiPZ 1.13 | bubble 0.99
SKADE - Rating past three months: dennyslaw 1.20 | SHiPZ 1.15 | Rainmaker 1.11 | dream3r 1.02 | bubble 0.99
Tricked - Rating at event: Lucky 1.22 | kwezz 1.03 | PR1mE 1.00 | kiR 0.95 | IceBerg 0.93
Tricked - Rating past three months: Lucky 1.13 | kwezz 1.07 | PR1mE 1.04 | IceBerg 0.98 | kiR 0.97
H2H Data:
These rosters have never faced each other. The teams last played in March, which was back when larsen was on Tricked instead of Lucky. SKADE have won 12 of the last 13 maps played between these teams.
Prediction: SKADE wins 2-1.
SKADE are the biggest favorites on the slate and they have historically dominated this match-up. However, it should be noted that Tricked have significantly improved since Lucky rejoined the lineup. Either way, SKADE continue to perform well at these lower tier events and they have a 21-14 W/L record across 35 maps played in the past three months. SKADE also have impressive win rates on Inferno (6-1 W/L), Ancient (3-1 W/L), and Overpass (4-2 W/L). Meanwhile, Tricked have had mixed results with a 15-15 W/L record across 30 maps played in the past three months despite Lucky playing particularly well. Tricked have a strong Nuke with a 5-0 W/L record in the past three months, but the rest of their map pool is shaky. I could see Tricked taking a map here, likely Nuke, but SKADE are the better team and are one of my favorites to win this event, so they should take the series. My priority on Draftkings will be SKADE, but Lucky could be another good option especially if Tricked can keep this series close.
- dennyslaw leads SKADE with 0.13 opening kills per round, while bubble leads with 27.0% opening duel attempts across 35 maps played in the past three months.
Favorite Draftkings Plays (In order of priority):
dennyslaw ($10,200) | Rainmaker ($7,600) | dream3r ($7,000) | SHiPZ ($9,000) | Lucky ($7,400) | bubble ($5,600) | kwezz ($6,800)