EPL DFS Playbook August 30: Top DraftKings and FanDuel EPL DFS Picks
It is nice having an EPL DFS slate that is the same across both sites. As an added bonus, all four games kick off within 30 minutes of each other, so we should know all of the starting lineups 30 minutes before lineup lock. Each team has two Premier League fixtures this week, with the Champions League group stage beginning next week. As such, we should expect teams to rotate starters more than they have, especially the biggest clubs competing in Champions League. In Tuesday’s slate, Chelsea is the most likely candidate to shake up its starters, but it would not be surprising to see any of the teams shake things up. Keep an eye out for value starters once lineups are announced.
EPL Playbook
Goalkeepers | ||||||
| Player | Team | Opp. | DK $ | DK FPPG | FD $ | FD FPPG |
| David Raya | BRE | CRY | 4200 | 9.52 | 9 | 14.75 |
| Brentford is tied with Nottingham Forest for the most saves through four games. Crystal Palace isn't a great matchup but they aren't exactly scary, especially if Zaha is out. Raya is safe and cheap and no one would be shocked if he got a win and/or a clean sheet. | ||||||
| Illan Meslier | LEE | EVE | 5200 | 8.58 | 11 | 13.25 |
| No team on the slate has scored fewer goals than Everton or earned fewer points than Everton. This is a modest price to pay to chase a win and a clean sheet considering Leeds is at home and is pretty clearly the better team. Everton has allowed the most saves in the league as well, so Meslier should have a fairly high floor. | ||||||
| Edouard Mendy | CHE | SOU | 5700 | 7.46 | 14 | 12.00 |
| Even on the road, I think I just trust Chelsea to take care of business more than I trust Leeds. Mendy probably isn't as safe and he costs quite a bit, but it will be worth it if he is the only keeper with a win and clean sheet. | ||||||
Forwards | ||||||
| Player | Team | Opp. | DK $ | DK FPPG | FD $ | FD FPPG |
| Bryan Mbeumo | BRE | CRY | 7100 | 10.78 | 15 | 14.45 |
| Mbeumo is averaging three crosses and three shots per game, and only two teams have allowed more goals than Crystal Palace this season. Mbeumo is the cheapest forward who I still trust on DK and he has some upside as well. | ||||||
| Kai Havertz | CHE | SOU | 6700 | 1.82 | 18 | 8.55 |
| At some point, some non-defender is going to have to score for Chelsea besides Raheem Sterling. I wouldn't mind paying up for Sterling on FD if I could afford it but I think Havertz is a better value and should be lower-owned for tournaments. | ||||||
| Wilfried Zaha | CRY | BRE | 10400 | 21.5 | 19 | 33.60 |
| I am paying up for him on FD if he plays. His three goals in his last two games are nice but his six chances created through three games give him a nice floor on FanDuel. | ||||||
| Rodrigo | LEE | EVE | 8200 | 19.74 | 18 | 31.75 |
| Rodrigo doesn't have the track record of Aleksandr Mitrovic but Rodrigo is cheaper and has a better matchup. I might jump off the bandwagon if he is shut out Tuesday but four goals in four games is too impressive to ignore. | ||||||
Midfielders | ||||||
| Player | Team | Opp. | DK $ | DK FPPG | FD $ | FD FPPG |
| Mathias Jensen | BRE | CRY | 6100 | 13.86 | 14 | 16.67 |
| This is a very good slate for mid-priced midfielders, and the real value may come if one or more of them gets the day off. That being said, Jensen has three goals + assists to go with 21 crosses and seven chances created. He is quite affordable and probably has the highest ceiling in his price range. | ||||||
| Pascal Gross | BHA | FUL | 9700 | 20.33 | 17 | 27.08 |
| Is Gross this year's Jarrod Bowen? Bowen was mostly known for empty crosses and chances created before totaling 22 goals + assists last season. Gross has already topped his goal total from last season, and one more goal would give him his most since 2017-18. That being said, I don't think there is anything wrong with chasing someone with a high floor and a hot streak. Gross has eight chances created in his last three games and only three players are averaging more FD fantasy points. | ||||||
| Solly March | BHA | FUL | 5400 | 8.38 | 13 | 15.27 |
| March is a defender on FD so keep that in mind before you look at his FPPG and rush out to start him. There is a pretty steep drop in quality amongst midfielders once you go cheaper than March, though he may not have the upside of some of the more expensive players. | ||||||
| Eberechi Eze | CRY | BRE | 8000 | 11.04 | 15 | 10.23 |
| Eze's modest fantasy production is even more impressive when you realize three of his four games were against Arsenal, Liverpool and Manchester City. If Wilfried Zaha is out again, Eze is the safest Crystal Palace attacker by far. | ||||||
| Michael Olise | CRY | BRE | 5900 | 0.67 | 12 | 1.87 |
| Olise, Jean-Philippe Mateta and Odsonne Edouard are all reasonable tournament plays if they start but Olise is cheaper and looked good in his Cup start last week. I would like him even better if Zaha is out. | ||||||
| Andreas Pereira | FUL | BHA | 5700 | 9.7 | 14 | 13.38 |
| Pereira made this list mostly for DraftKings but he may be even more impressive on FanDuel. He has nine chances created in his last three games and this is arguably his best matchup of the season. | ||||||
Defenders | ||||||
| Player | Team | Opp. | DK $ | DK FPPG | FD $ | FD FPPG |
| Aaron Hickey | BRE | CRY | 3400 | 5.52 | 8 | 5.25 |
| Hickey had more crosses Saturday (four) than he did in his first three games combined, but I like his chances of a repeat performance Tuesday. Crystal Palace has allowed 11 more crosses than any other team this season and Hickey only needs a few to return value. | ||||||
| Pervis Estupinan | BHA | FUL | 5200 | 8.3 | 10 | 10.75 |
| I wanted to recommend Tariq Lamptey here but Estupinan has been more impressive in his limited time. Both are averaging five crosses per 90 minutes but Estupinan is also averaging a team-high 4.17 chances created per 90. I would pivot to Lamptey if you need to save money or if Estupinan is on the bench but I expect both outside backs to take advantage of this nice matchup. | ||||||
| Chris Richards | CRY | BRE | 2700 | 1.11 | 7 | 4.47 |
| Richards has one shot, one chance created and zero crosses in 45 minutes, but that came almost exclusively against Liverpool and Manchester City. The man he is likely replacing, Tyrick Mitchell, had moderate success getting forward, especially against Aston Villa. Richards doesn't need to do much to return value, especially in cash games. | ||||||
| Armel Bella-Kotchap | SOU | CHE | 3200 | 7.79 | 12 | 13.73 |
| Mohammed Salisu is a fine pivot if you need to save a buck but both Southampton center-backs should get plenty of defensive stats against Chelsea. Only Liverpool has allowed more tackles + clearances than Chelsea this season. | ||||||
EPL Playbook Core Plays
| Draftkings Core Plays | ||
| Top Tier | Pascal Gross | $9,700 |
| Eberechi Eze | $8,000 | |
| Mid Tier | Mathias Jensen | $6,100 |
| Bryan Mbeumo | $7,100 | |
| Value Tier | David Raya | $4,200 |
| Chris Richards | $2,700 | |
| Fanduel Core Plays | ||
| Top Tier | Wilfried Zaha | $19 |
| Rodrigo | $18 | |
| Mid Tier | Pascal Gross | $17 |
| Andreas Pereira | $14 | |
| Value Tier | Illan Meslier | $11 |
| Armel Bella-Kotchap | $12 | |
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