In a rare turn of events, both DraftKings and FanDuel are offering the same EPL DFS slate on Saturday. All three games start at 10 am ET, and it will be nice to get all six lineups an hour before kickoff – rather than having to adjust our DFS lineups to account for the late match. This slate should produce plenty of DFS points, with three of the top five teams in goals allowed and the top three teams in crosses allowed on the slate.
This slate could also hinge on Manchester United’s ability to take care of business against Norwich. United won the reverse fixture, 1-0, and if we get a similar result Saturday, there will likely be much better values in the other games. Of course, if you fade United and then Ronaldo or Bruno Fernandes scores a brace, you could find yourself behind half of the lineups in your contest or more. Without further ado, let's jump in!
Goalkeepers
Player | Team | Opp. | DK $ | DK FPPG | FD $ | FD FPPG |
Aaron Ramsdale | ARS | SOU | 5300 | 9.55 | 12 | 14.87 |
Ramsdale is the rare keeper with both a high floor and a high ceiling. Only two teams have allowed more saves than Southampton, and only seven have scored fewer goals. Ramsdale should collect a handful of saves with a decent shot at a win and a clean sheet. | ||||||
Alex McCarthy | SOU | ARS | 4100 | 5.32 | 8 | 9.03 |
Arsenal has struggled to finish of late, underperforming their xG in four consecutive games. Rostering McCarthy is a bet that the trend continues, though it is obviously risky. | ||||||
David Raya | BRE | WAT | 4800 | 8.96 | 11 | 13.58 |
Brentford is playing very well with Christian Eriksen in the squad. Watford has scored the fourth-fewest goals in the league and they are missing Cucho Hernandez. Raya looks like a very nice GPP play, and I don't hate him for cash games. |
Forwards
Player | Team | Opp. | DK $ | DK FPPG | FD $ | FD FPPG |
Emmanuel Dennis | WAT | BRE | 5500 | 9.74 | 17 | 15.49 |
Only six teams have allowed more goals than Brentford, and one of Dennis' nine goals this season came in the reverse fixture. It's a shame to see Cucho Hernandes go down after he was playing so well of late, but Dennis is cheaper on DraftKings and I like his chances of scoring Saturday. | ||||||
Ivan Toney | BRE | WAT | 9500 | 13.21 | 19 | 20.14 |
His price is pretty reasonable for someone who has six goals in his last five games. I think Toney's ownership will be lower than the United forwards, and he is cheaper on FanDuel. It also doesn't hurt that Toney created five chances in his last game. |
Midfielders
Player | Team | Opp. | DK $ | DK FPPG | FD $ | FD FPPG |
Bruno Fernandes | MUN | NOR | 9300 | 15.41 | 21 | 21.98 |
Fernandes is pretty cheap for such a fantastic matchup. I still like him better when Ronaldo sits, but I'm not sure it matters against Norwich. | ||||||
Christian Eriksen | BRE | WAT | 7500 | 12.83 | 17 | 17.80 |
We are probably reaching the upper limit of what makes sense to pay for Christian Eriksen. That being said, Watford has allowed the third-most goals this season and the second-most crosses. Ericksen has 26 crosses, six chances created and seven shots (four on target) in four starts this season. | ||||||
Jadon Sancho | MUN | NOR | 7800 | 6.2 | 17 | 9.71 |
I thought he would be more expensive on FanDuel. Sancho is averaging three chances created in his last four starts, with a goal and three assists in that span. He might be the safest United player for FanDuel and I like his ceiling for his price on both sites. | ||||||
Imran Louza | WAT | BRE | 4300 | 5.53 | 9 | 10.14 |
Louza leads Watford in corners taken over the last five weeks, and that could be valuable against a Brentford squad that has allowed the third-most crosses this season. Only Leicester has conceded more shots from headers. | ||||||
Bukayo Saka | ARS | SOU | 9100 | 13.1 | 20 | 17.74 |
I love Saka for this slate, especially with his forward eligibility on DraftKings. Just pay attention to how Arsenal lines up. Saka would probably send in more crosses if he starts at wing back, but he has more goal upside playing up front. | ||||||
Kieran Dowell | NOR | MUN | 3100 | 2.2 | 8 | 3.91 |
I don't want to overreact to Dowell having a good game against Burnley, but he is averaging 3.2 crosses per start. If he starts again for Billy Gilmour, he is the best punt play on the slate. | ||||||
Milot Rashica | NOR | MUN | 6500 | 9.47 | 13 | 10.46 |
I nearly let the matchup with Manchester United scare me away, but I don't know why. Rashica is a worthy punt play on FD and he is worth a shot at forward for DK cash lineups. |
Defenders
Player | Team | Opp. | DK $ | DK FPPG | FD $ | FD FPPG |
Kiko Femenia | WAT | BRE | 4700 | 7.12 | 9 | 10.63 |
Femenia splits corners with Louza and Femenia has averaged 5.9 crosses in his last nine starts. He is super safe on DK and he won't break the bank. | ||||||
Alex Telles | MUN | NOR | 7000 | 10.02 | 12 | 12.87 |
For such a favorable matchup, Manchester United has a dearth of safe fantasy options. Telles is awfully expensive but he has double-digit DK fantasy points in nine of his last 10 starts, with the lone exception coming against Manchester City. | ||||||
Cedric Soares | ARS | SOU | 4900 | 7.15 | 9 | 9.89 |
Cedric had 10 crosses and four chances created against Brighton last week and his price dropped $300 on DraftKings. Even if we don't get a repeat performance, he is a safe defender at a reasonable price. | ||||||
Samir | WAT | BRE | 2800 | 3.82 | 11 | 13.17 |
Samir has cooled off after a fantastic start in the Premier League, but I like him in this matchup. No team on the slate has allowed as many clearances as Brentford this season. | ||||||
Ben Gibson | NOR | MUN | 2600 | 2.98 | 10 | 12.47 |
Gibson might turn into a pumpkin soon, but he has 19 clearances and four blocks in his last three games. Manchester United should dominate possession, giving Gibson plenty of opportunities for defensive stats. |
Core Plays:
DraftKings Core Plays | ||
Top Tier | Bruno Fernandes | $9,300 |
Bukayo Saka | $9,100 | |
Mid Tier | Alex Telles | $7,000 |
Christian Eriksen | $7,500 | |
Value Tier | Imran Louza | $4,300 |
Cedric Soares | $4,900 | |
FanDuel Core Plays | ||
Top Tier | Bukayo Saka | $20 |
Ivan Toney | $19 | |
Mid Tier | Christian Eriksen | $17 |
Jadon Sancho | $17 | |
Value Tier | Samir | $11 |