#9 Vanderbilt vs. #20 Texas Predictions, Picks & Odds: CFB Week 10, 11/1
Saturday’s Week 10 clash between #9 Vanderbilt and #20 Texas stands out as one of the most captivating matchups in college football. The Commodores have emerged as the feel-good narrative of the season — a 7-1 team that’s suddenly competing like a serious SEC contender. On the other hand, Texas is working to regain stability after a rocky first half of the season, which has brought both hope and disappointment under Steve Sarkisian.
Looking towards #9 Vanderbilt vs. #20 Texas predictions, the Longhorns are slight favorites at home (-2.5), but the betting landscape is divided. Vanderbilt’s blend of resilience, experience, and dynamic playmaking has attracted bettors to the plus money, particularly in light of Texas' recent inconsistency.
#9 Vanderbilt vs. #20 Texas Predictions for College Football Week 10, Saturday, 11/1
When making #9 Vanderbilt vs. #20 Texas picks, one thing first stands out: Is it really justified to favor Texas in this matchup? The Longhorns haven’t demonstrated the qualities of a Top 10 team throughout the season, and although their talent is clear, they’ve frequently been outperformed at the line of scrimmage.
Meanwhile, Vanderbilt is flourishing under the guidance of quarterback Diego Pavia, who has led the Commodores to victories against LSU, Missouri, and South Carolina — all of which were ranked teams at the time.
#9 Vanderbilt vs. #20 Texas Best Bet: Commodores ML (+114 at FanDuel)
Texas is back in Austin for the first time since September 20, but the home-field advantage may not be enough to counter the ongoing issues plaguing this offense. Arch Manning recently led a thrilling 45-38 overtime victory against Mississippi State, yet the performance left as many questions unanswered as it resolved.
Manning passed for 346 yards and three touchdowns, but Texas required a miraculous comeback to secure the win. He also exited the game with a concussion, and his status is a bit up in the air as of right now. The Longhorns are currently ranked 110th nationally in success rate and a troubling 116th in stuff rate, indicating their struggles to move the ball effectively and their inability to block adequately up front.
This situation spells trouble against a Vanderbilt front seven that ranks 16th in havoc rate and 10th in defensive line yards. While the Commodores’ defense may not be top-tier overall, they excel at penetrating and disrupting plays — and they’re up against a Texas offensive line that has been overpowered by much weaker opponents.
If Vanderbilt can force Texas into a one-dimensional game and pressure Manning, if he plays, into throwing under duress, the Commodores have a real chance to win outright. Pavia’s ability to make plays both as a passer and a runner provides Vanderbilt with enough versatility to keep the Texas defense on its toes. Although he hasn’t been lighting up the scoreboard against top defenses, his mobility extends drives, and his decision-making has significantly improved this season.
Conversely, Vanderbilt’s offense is among the most efficient in the nation — ranking first in EPA per play and within the top 10 in success rate. They may not always accumulate massive yardage, but they consistently manage to stay ahead of the chains. Given that the Texas defense has appeared vulnerable in recent weeks, this consistency is invaluable.
Keep in mind that Texas needed overtime to defeat Kentucky (16-13) and Mississippi State (45-38) in consecutive weeks. These victories are hardly impressive. When a team that was once aiming for the playoffs struggles against unranked opponents, it raises questions about whether the oddsmakers are overestimating them.
On the flip side, Vanderbilt has faced one of the most challenging four-game sequences in the nation — Alabama, LSU, Missouri, and now Texas — and has come through mostly unscathed. The Commodores’ sole loss during this stretch was a commendable defeat on the road against Alabama. Since that game, they’ve secured two consecutive wins against ranked teams and appear to gain confidence with each week that passes.
The betting market may also be slow to recognize how well-rounded Vanderbilt has become. They hold a 6-2 record against the spread this season and have successfully covered in both of their games as underdogs of +2.5 or more. In contrast, Texas has only managed a 2-5 record against the spread as favorites, and their inconsistency has made them one of the more challenging teams to back in the SEC.
Considering the favorable odds, the advantage in the trenches, and a more reliable quarterback situation, the optimal wager here is Vanderbilt Moneyline for our #9 Vanderbilt vs. #20 Texas predictions. While Texas may boast more five-star recruits on paper, Vandy currently exhibits greater discipline and superior coaching — qualities that are crucial for winning games in the latter half of the season.
How To Watch #9 Vanderbilt vs. #20 Texas College Football Week 10
- Date: Saturday, November 1, 2025
- Time: 12:00 p.m. ET
- TV: ABC
- Location: DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium — Austin, TX
#9 Vanderbilt vs. #20 Texas Odds, Spreads, Total & Betting Lines
We’ve just shared our #9 Vanderbilt vs. #20 Texas predictions. Now, we bring you the latest #9 Vanderbilt vs. #20 Texas odds for the game from FanDuel Sportsbook:
- Money Line (ML): Commodores +114 | Longhorns -134
- Spread: Commodores +2.5 (-105) | Longhorns -2.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 45.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
#9 Vanderbilt vs. #20 Texas Injury Report & Latest News
Vanderbilt Injury Report
- V. Hinton (CB) – Questionable, Undisclosed
- D. Dickey (QB) – Questionable, Undisclosed
- N. Jefferson (DL) – Questionable, Undisclosed
- Y. Ouattara (DL) – Questionable, Undisclosed
- J. Curtis (LB) – Questionable, Undisclosed
- C. Gillespie (RB) – Questionable, Undisclosed
Texas Injury Report
- D. Campbell (OG) – Questionable, Undisclosed
- A. Butler (WR) – Questionable, Undisclosed
- C. Hutson (OG) – Questionable, Undisclosed
- A. Manning (QB) – Questionable, Undisclosed
- M. Taaffe (CB) – Out, Undisclosed
- A. Cojoe (OG) – Out, Knee
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