#11 Tennessee vs. #6 Alabama Predictions, Picks & Odds: CFB Week 8, 10/18
The annual rivalry game known as the “Third Saturday in October” is set to take place with significant SEC and College Football Playoff implications as No. 11 Tennessee prepares to face off against No. 6 Alabama in Tuscaloosa. So, we’ve cooked up some #11 Tennessee vs. #6 Alabama predictions!
Both teams, with 5-1 records, are approaching this matchup with their postseason aspirations heavily dependent on the outcome. Alabama is currently favored by 8.5 points, with the total points for the game set at 58.5, indicating the anticipation of a high-scoring contest between two potent offenses.
#11 Tennessee vs. #6 Alabama Predictions for College Football Week 8, Saturday, 10/18
Tennessee's recent 34-31 victory over Arkansas showcased their ability to engage in a high-scoring shootout, amassing over 700 combined yards of offense. Throughout the season, the Volunteers have consistently displayed an impressive offensive prowess, averaging 48.2 points per game, but their defense has shown vulnerabilities, making them susceptible against a formidable Alabama offense led by quarterback Ty Simpson.
In contrast, the Crimson Tide's narrow 27-24 win against Missouri served as a reminder of their defense's relative vulnerability compared to previous years. The resurgence of Alabama's offense, combined with Tennessee's defensive weaknesses, suggests the likelihood of another high-scoring encounter in our #11 Tennessee vs. #6 Alabama picks.
#11 Tennessee vs. #6 Alabama Best Bet: Over 58.5 (-110 at Rebet)
Both of these teams are capable of scoring points, but their defenses have shown vulnerabilities against strong opponents, making it likely for the game to result in a high-scoring affair. Starting with Tennessee, the Vols have demonstrated explosive performance under the leadership of Joey Aguilar, who is having a standout season in Josh Heupel’s fast-paced system.
Aguilar's recent game against Arkansas, where he threw for 221 yards and ran for another 59, exemplifies a six-game streak where Tennessee has consistently scored over 30 points in each game. The team's offensive strength lies in its balance, with 17 rushing touchdowns, 16 passing scores, and an impressive total of over 3,100 yards gained in just six weeks.
However, despite Tennessee's remarkable offensive displays, their defense has been a major concern. The Vols currently rank outside the top 100 nationally in total defense, allowing an average of 393.8 yards per game, and giving up nearly 30 points per game.
They have struggled both against the run and the pass, conceding over 136 rushing yards and 257 passing yards per game, presenting a worrisome statistical profile, especially as they prepare to face Alabama in Tuscaloosa.
On the other hand, Alabama has found its stride offensively, with Ty Simpson emerging as one of the SEC's most effective quarterbacks. He displayed exceptional accuracy by completing 74% of his passes in their game against Missouri, where he threw three touchdowns. Simpson now boasts an impressive 16-1 touchdown-to-interception ratio.
The Tide have scored over 30 points in four of their last five games and are averaging 431 yards per game. Alabama's balanced offensive attack, averaging 304 passing yards and 126 rushing yards per game, poses a significant challenge for opposing defenses, particularly for a struggling Tennessee front.
The recent performance of Missouri's offense against Alabama serves as a reminder that the Tide defense is also vulnerable to giving up substantial gains. Tennessee ranks third in the SEC for plays of 20+ yards, showcasing their ability to swiftly change field position and apply pressure on opposing defenses. Coach Heupel's offense excels in wearing down opponents with its tempo, often leading to increased scoring opportunities in the second half of games.
On the defensive side, Tennessee's secondary has been porous, ranking 119th nationally in passing yards allowed and conceding nine touchdowns through the air, setting the stage for Alabama to capitalize on big plays. Alabama's offensive coordinator, Tommy Rees, is likely to exploit Tennessee's aggressive linebackers with well-timed play-action passes and seam routes.
The expectation for this matchup leans towards high scoring, as both teams have demonstrated a propensity for surpassing the total points line in their recent games. We’ll take the Over 58.5 in our #11 Tennessee vs. #6 Alabama predictions, considering the considerable offensive talent and inconsistent defensive performances of both teams.
How To Watch #11 Tennessee vs. #6 Alabama College Football Week 8
- Date: Saturday, October 18, 2025
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Location: Bryant-Denny Stadium – Tuscaloosa, AL
- TV: ABC
#11 Tennessee vs. #6 Alabama Odds, Spreads, Total & Betting Lines
We just made our #11 Tennessee vs. #6 Alabama predictions for the matchup. Now, we share the latest #11 Tennessee vs. #6 Alabama odds for the game from Rebet:
- Money Line (ML): Volunteers +250 | Crimson Tide -315
- Spread: Volunteers +8.5 (-115) | Crimson Tide -8.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 58.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
#11 Tennessee vs. #6 Alabama Injury Report & Latest News
Tennessee Injury Report
- T. Smith Jr. (WR) – Questionable, Undisclosed
- E. Davis (TE) – Questionable, Undisclosed
- R. Jackson (WR) – Questionable, Undisclosed
- R. Gibson III (CB) – Out, Undisclosed
- J. McCoy (CB) – Out, Knee
Alabama Injury Report
- J. Miller (RB) – Questionable, Concussion
- C. Jones (LB) – Questionable, Undisclosed
- J. Mbakwe (WR) – Questionable, Undisclosed
- J. Hale (WR) – Questionable, Undisclosed
- Q. Russaw (LB) – Questionable, Leg
- J. Latham (LB) – Questionable, Neck
- J. Beaman (DL) – Out, Lower Body
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