THE SLATE (Odds & Totals via DraftKings Sportsbook):
- 6:30 pm ET -- Virginia (-4.5) at James Madison -- 124.5 o/u (DK Only)
- 6:30 pm ET -- Vermont at Providence (-6.5) -- 128.5 o/u (DK Only)
- 7 pm ET -- Michigan (-7) at Nebraska -- 140.5 o/u
- 7 pm ET -- Texas Tech at Tennessee (-4) -- 137.5 o/u
- 8 pm ET -- UTEP at Kansas (-18.5) -- 140.5 o/u (DK Only)
- 9 pm ET -- Loyola Marymount at Tulsa (-3.5) -- 133 o/u (DK Only)
- 9 pm ET -- Butler at Oklahoma (-10) -- 124.5 o/u
- 9:30 pm ET -- Villanova (-8.5) at Syracuse -- 144 o/u
Top Projected Team Totals (per KenPom)
- Kansas -- 83
- Villanova -- 77
- Michigan -- 73
- Tennessee -- 70
- Tulsa -- 70
- Syracuse -- 69
- Texas Tech -- 69
Top Guards
| Player | Team | Opp. | DK $ | DK FPPG | FD $ | FD FPPG | |
| Ochai Agbaji | KU | UTEP | 8400 | 33 | |||
| Agabaji is the most expensive player on the DK slate for good reason. In an easy matchup in nearby Kansas City, he should have his way offensively like he’s done all year while averaging 22.6 PPG as the Jayhawks’ top scoring option and best all-around player. There’s some blowout risk here, but Agbaji has put up 20+ real points and 35+ DK points in multiple other KU double-digit victories this season. | |||||||
| Justin Moore | VU | SYR | 8300 | 30.22 | 7600 | 28.19 | |
| In cash games tonight, most people will either roster Justin Moore, Collin Gillespie or both in this pace-boost matchup vs. Syracuse’s susceptible defense. You probably can’t go wrong because Nova’s DFS production is very top-heavy with Moore and Gillespie both being studs this season. Moore has put up 30+ DK points in four of the last five games, leads the team in usage rate and shots share this season, and his 40% three-point shooting will be valuable vs. Cuse’s zone D. | |||||||
| Collin Gillespie | VU | SYR | 8100 | 30.61 | 8000 | 27.90 | |
| Depending on how you look at it, Gillespie is the 1A or 1B to Moore tonight as the headliners for Villanova in a high-total matchup. As mentioned above, you can play both or choose between them and feel pretty good about it in cash. Gillespie, specifically, is draining a team-high 47% from three-point range and he’ll surely get a lot of open looks vs. Cuse’s zone defense - not to mention his safe floor of assists and other ancillary stats. | |||||||
| Kennedy Chandler | TENN | TTU | 7300 | 32.79 | 8500 | 31.19 | |
| Chandler is one of the best true freshmen in the country and tonight, his NBA-ready skills will be on full display at Madison Square Garden. Even on a Tennessee squad with so much returning and new talent, Chandler leads the way in offensive usage rate and shots share as he’s quickly become the team’s alpha playmaker while running the point. He’s put up at least 34 DK points in four straight and five of the last six games. Expect a big game on the big stage for Chandler here. | |||||||
| Eli Brooks | MICH | NEB | 6200 | 27.19 | 7000 | 25.11 | |
| While Hunter Dickinson anchors Michigan from the post, Brooks has been the team’s most consistent backcourt player in real life and DFS. The senior is stuffing the stat sheet and has now put up at least 27 DK points in five of the last six games. Tonight, his leadership on the road will keep him heavily involved for a nice cash floor while his team-high 40% three-point shooting gives him some GPP upside vs. a Nebraska defense that’s struggled to defend the deep ball. | |||||||
Other Top Guards to Consider:
- Buddy Boeheim -- Syracuse ($7,800 DK / $8,100 FD)
- Christian Braun -- Kansas ($6,600 DK Only)
- Santiago Vescovi -- Tennessee ($6,600 DK / $6,600 FD)
Value Guards
| Player | Team | Opp. | DK $ | DK FPPG | FD $ | FD FPPG | |
| Umoja Gibson | OU | BUTLE | 5100 | 19.69 | 5600 | 18.16 | |
| Though this game will be low-scoring, Oklahoma’s tight rotation puts the starters firmly in play with safer floors than most. Gibson has a near-monopoly on the Sooners’ shooting guard minutes and that consistent playing time gives him close to a 20 DFS point floor or more. There’s some volatility because most of his offensive production comes from three-point shooting, but he’s a great salary-saver in the 5k range. | |||||||
| Sam Griffin | TLSA | LYM | 4500 | 23.25 | |||
| We’ll get to another value Tulsa player in a minute, but Griffin is way too cheap to ignore at sub-5k. His 30% shots share actually leads the team and his 25% usage rate is tied for the team lead. That heavy offensive involvement has allowed Griffin to average 15.3 PPG and 23 DK points this season with at least double-digit real points and 19+ DK in seven of eight games. It makes him a very good value for the chance at 5x return or more. | |||||||
| Adonis Arms | TTU | TENN | 4200 | 16 | 4700 | 14.46 | |
| Rostering any Texas Tech players is a gamble tonight against Tennessee’s tough defense. Even so, Arms is a decent value for what his role is. The former Winthrop standout is now Tech’s best backcourt bench player and one of their better three-point shooters at 42% from deep this season. In the Red Raiders’ only competitive matchup vs. Providence (which came just last week), Arms logged 28 minutes and put up 17.7 DK as he earned more playing time than against the cake opponents. He’s a better DK value today. | |||||||
| Chris Arcidiacono | VU | SYR | 3500 | 7.53 | 4000 | 7.11 | |
| Though the starters play the majority of minutes for Villanova, one of the few reserves seeing semi-consistent playing time is Arcidiacono. He’s seen 18+ minutes in five of the last six games and logged a season-high 25 minutes last time out with Caleb Daniels sidelined. If we get word that Daniels is out again, then Arci would be a very interesting value as his 38% three-point shooting could come in handy vs. Syracuse’s zone D tonight. | |||||||
Other Value Guards to Consider:
- Keonte Kennedy -- UTEP ($5,200 DK Only)
- Aaron Thompson -- Butler ($4,800 DK / $5,700 FD)
- Dameane Douglas -- Loyola Marymount ($4,500 DK Only)
- Keisei Tominaga -- Nebraska ($4,000 DK / $5,100 FD)
Top Forwards
| Player | Team | Opp. | DK $ | DK FPPG | FD $ | FD FPPG | |
| Tanner Groves | OU | BUTLE | 8200 | 28.25 | 7900 | 26.36 | |
| The Oklahoma offense largely flows through Groves, whether he’s scoring inside, shooting from deep or passing it around. His heavy usage and involvement offensively - not to mention a solid rebounding floor - makes him a solid cash play if OU is on the slate. He’s coming off a 20-point, 35 DK performance vs. Florida last time out, and Butler’s frontcourt tonight shouldn't present too tough a challenge for Groves to return value even in a low-total game. | |||||||
| Hunter Dickinson | MICH | NEB | 7400 | 31.62 | 8300 | 29.45 | |
| Michigan’s big man is coming off a monster game vs. San Diego State over the weekend when he dropped 56 DK thanks to his 23 real points and 14 rebounds. It’s good to see Dickinson put up numbers like those as we’d yet to truly see his real DFS ceiling until that performance. On a normal day, he should give you 30+ for DFS and anchor cash lineups - but this tasty matchup vs. Nebraska’s under-sized frontcourt could have him pushing 40-50 once again. | |||||||
| Noah Horchler | PROV | VER | 7500 | 28.39 | |||
| With Nate Watson being inconsistent lately, Horchler is the top guy to target from Providence tonight and he makes for a contrarian GPP option compared to other studs on the slate. The power forward is red-hot from three - hitting 45.7% thus far - and just dropped 50 DK a few games ago. Horchler has a decent floor with rebounding and ancillary stats, but his three-point shooting gives him upside in tournaments. | |||||||
| Jesse Edwards | SYR | VU | 4700 | 28.34 | 8200 | 27.48 | |
| First off, Edwards is massively underpriced on the DK slate and should be pretty darn popular in cash over there. On FD, though, the Syracuse center is still a solid play at this elevated tag because. Not only is the junior center putting up monster numbers lately - with 35+ DK in three of the last four - but he’s also got a favorable matchup vs. Villanova’s undersized frontcourt in a higher-scoring matchup tonight. The rebounding and shot-blocking opportunities will certainly be there. | |||||||
Other Top Forwards to Consider:
- David McCormack -- Kansas ($7,600 DK Only)
- Jayden Gardner -- Virginia ($7,500 DK Only)
Value Forwards
| Jeriah Horne | TLSA | LYM | 5400 | 33.44 | |||
| Yet another DK mispricing and near-cash lock! For some reason, Horne is priced below 6k in this DK-only matchup despite putting up no less than 27 DK in seven of eight games this season and usually giving you 30-plus. After transferring back to Tulsa following a one-season stint at Colorado, he’s again the team’s best all-around player and a DFS stud. Hard to fade in cash because he’ll be chalky. | |||||||
| Ty Groce | BUTLE | OU | 4600 | 18.46 | 4500 | 15.98 | |
| With Bryce Nze out, Groce has moved into Butler’s starting lineup at the power forward spot and is getting enough playing time to be a value on this slate. He’s put up 22 or more DK points in three of the five games without Groce and one of those that he didn’t was a blowout win. The matchup vs. Oklahoma’s defense is a tough one, but Groce will get the minutes to be a decent value. | |||||||
| Ed Croswell | PROV | VER | 4000 | 12.25 | |||
| On the DK slate, Croswell is a bit underpriced at just 4k for what his current role is. With Jared Bynum sidelined, the senior has stepped into more playing time and more offensive usage over the last two games even though he still comes off the bench. Alyn Breed is the one who entered the starting rotation with Bynum out, but it’s Croswell who’s actually seen the bump in DFS value. He’s put up 26 and 38 DK over these past two games and is simply mispriced here. | |||||||
| Terrance Williams II | MICH | NEB | 3300 | 10.06 | 3500 | 9.34 | |
| All indications point to Moussa Diabate being out tonight after he left last game with an illness. If that’s the case, then both Terrance Williams and Brandon Johns will step into more playing time with bigger roles in the Michigan frontcourt. It could be Johns moving back into the starting lineup, but Williams will still see plenty of minutes at the power forward spot to return value. He put up 12 DK in 21 minutes when Diabate left last game - one of his best games since the season opener. | |||||||
Other Value Forwards to Consider:
- Jalen Hill -- Oklahoma ($6,100 DK / $5,500 FD)
- Cole Swider -- Syracuse ($5,500 DK / $6,300 FD)
- Marcus Santos-Silva -- Texas Tech ($5,300 DK / $5,300 FD)
- Jamari Sibley -- UTEP ($4,500 DK Only)
- Brandon Johns Jr. -- Michigan ($4,000 DK / $3,200 FD)
DraftKings Core Plays
- Collin Gillespie -- Villanova ($8,100)
- Jeriah Horne -- Tulsa ($5,400)
- Jesse Edwards -- Syracuse ($4,700)
FanDuel Core Plays
- Justin Moore -- Villanova ($7,600)
- Hunter Dickinson -- Michigan ($8,300)
- Terrance Williams II -- Michigan ($3,500)