So Saturday’s race was a monstrous disappointment, I won’t lie. I had a pretty bad read on it and I’ll admit that. I mentioned Timmy Hill was a risky play and sure enough, his team had him S&P the 66-car. I don’t know why they did that. I’m guessing they only did that because he raced Friday night in the Truck series and ran in the Cup race yesterday as well. Either way, it screwed several of my lineups over in what turned out to be an awful DFS day for myself.

We have another Drydene 200 Sunday afternoon so once again we have dominator points available. The stages are still 45-45-110 for today’s race and the competition caution is on Lap 20. Now as we’ve seen with previous double-headers we will have a lot of chalk with these races. The Top 15 from yesterday will invert which means some great drivers have PD on their side. It’s also difficult playing any driver starting further back because they could get lapped early on. I’m going to play maybe just ten lineups today and possibly keep a tighter driver pool. There will be updates here and in the NASCAR DFS chat for any drivers going to the rear for changing cars or unapproved adjustments. We know some drivers going to the rear, but not everyone just yet.

 

Drivers To Target

Chase Briscoe ($11,600; Starting P6) Briscoe managed a Top 10 finish on Saturday which is impressive considering he spun out early on and had to claw his way back into this race. Here’s the bad news, per his own Twitter account it sounds like Briscoe will be going to a backup car. This isn’t surprising but he will have to go to the rear on pace laps and be scored from P6. This could keep his ownership down slightly if that’s the case. The laps he could’ve led early aren’t in play, but if he plays the right strategy for track position, then maybe he’s back in contention for Stage 2 and can get to the front from there. Ownership is tough to read but it could be light since it appears he’s going to the rear.

Austin Cindric ($11,300; Starting P14) Technically he’s won five of the last seven races while finishing second in the races he didn’t win. He’s collecting dominator points wherever he goes and even at this price tag he can return 6X-7X value. He could very well be in the Top 5 by the time the competition caution happens. It’s tough to pass at Dover, but he’s just that damn good right now. He collected 36.25 dominator points yesterday (with a stunning, 48 fastest laps) and if he wins today with some dominators on Sunday, we could see 8X-9X even at his price tag.

Justin Allgaier ($10,800; Starting P15) After a pretty tumultuous year, Allgaier got his first win of the season on Saturday. In eight of his last nine races here he has two wins and hasn’t finished worse than fourth at the Monster Mile. He led 120 laps yesterday with 28 fastest laps. He has additional PD on his side for Sunday and he’ll be a chalky play in all formats.

Noah Gragson ($10,500; Starting P12) I'm an idiot and forgot to include Gragson in my initial write-up. But he's absolutely in play today. He had a fast car yesterday and maybe he puts Cindric into the wall and wins dirty today. We've seen him do it before and if he's going to go that route, then you want him in your lineup. But he had a Top 5 car yesterday and now has more PD. He's a great option in GPP's since most of the field will be on Cindric and Allgaier.

Ross Chastain ($10,100; Starting P13) Ross looked great yesterday. He started P13 and finished third while ripping off 25 fastest laps. He only made one lineup for me and sure enough it was the only one that cashed (yeah, that’s how bad my day was yesterday). But he was in contention to win, but we saw how valuable clean air is. Even when he was selecting the upper groove on restarts he still couldn’t beat out Cindric who started on the inside. But Chastain is starting in the exact same spot as yesterday at a slight discount. He put up 64 points on DK yesterday so you can mix him in again on Sunday.

Harrison Burton ($9,800; Starting P11) I knew not including Burton in yesterday’s Playbook would be potentially disastrous. I took a shot and missed on that one. I didn’t think he’d have the same speed he had prior to the road courses; sure enough, he did. He didn’t lead any laps but he had 17 fastest laps and still finished in the Top 5. I think he can keep that speed up and still be on the lighter side of ownership compared to Cindric, Briscoe, and Allgaier.

Brandon Jones ($9,500; Starting P16) Jones gets the obligatory mention due to the PD he has on Sunday starting P16. He didn’t have the flashiest day, but what I do like was on Saturday he held an AVG running position of eighth and if he cracks the top ten and finishes maybe sixth then we’re looking at 5X value to pair with a couple dominators that could make a lineup look real nice. It’s not sexy, but it’s got teeth. For similar reasons, Riley Herbst is a good play as well, but Herbst doesn’t have as much PD to work with like Jones does, but Herbst is a little cheaper and is a good play as well.

Daniel Hemric ($9,100; Starting P9) This is where you may need to take some shots in GPP’s. Hemric steps back into the 8-car as Jeb Burton raced yesterday. Due to the driver change, Hemric goes to the rear on pace laps and gets scored from ninth. That’ll likely keep his ownership down and I’m not saying I’ll be super heavy, but I’ll be getting some exposure. We saw how difficult it was yesterday to pass other drivers, but Hemric’s good enough to where he can mimic what Jeb Burton did yesterday. The 8-car has had some bad luck at times, but Burton wheeled it from 27th all the way to seventh come race’s end.

Brett Moffitt ($8,500; Starting P1) Moffitt had a really solid showing in the 02-car on Saturday after a very strong Truck race Friday night. Yesterday he started 28th and finished 15th which means he’ll be on the pole for Sunday’s race. He didn’t quite return 5X value yesterday, but he was still a good play that likely made the optimal. Today if he catches the clean air he can get to the front and lead some laps. Then if he opts to stay out during the competition caution, he may be able to lead the way the rest of the stage. But that’s about all you should expect as a best-case scenario. He’ll likely get behind Cindric, Allgaier, Chastain, etc. for the second stage and you’re just hoping he can get a Top 12 finish from there. But starting on the pole will come with less ownership and this car looked great yesterday.

Myatt Snider ($8,300; Starting P17) Snider is $1,400 cheaper than he was yesterday and he’s starting six spots further back. I’m not even sure the better PD is enough to raise ownership on him, but I certainly like him today. He’s not in the 21-car for RCR but starting P11 for him was just a little weird yesterday. This starting spot is still a bit too high, but he’s a really strong GPP play if we get a little chaos and he finishes in the Top 10. With that said, we had some pretty boring races yesterday between the Xfinity and Cup series. I’m not expecting a lot of chaos, but it could happen and if it does, hopefully he benefits.

Anthony Alfredo ($8,100; Starting P5) For never having raced at Dover before, Alfredo had a very strong day starting 26th and finishing 11th. He doesn’t have PD on his side for Sunday’s race, but he does have an opportunity to lead some laps early on. The 21-car for RCR has been great all year and he won’t have to worry about battling for position with Briscoe since Chase will be going to the rear. It’ll be tough for him to get around Moffitt, but I have more faith in Alfredo hanging around inside the Top 10 all day than I do for Moffitt.

Michael Annett ($7,700; Starting P7) Annett made the Playbook yesterday because he always presents a decent floor. And if you look at the drivers priced around him, I have more faith in Annett staying on the lead lap. Not saying those other drivers can’t, but Annett is just a safe play. He started P8 yesterday and got a Top 10 finish. A similar result on Sunday is on the table and if he somehow can get some dominator points then that’s gravy.

Josh Williams ($7,400; Starting P22) In an effort to spice things up and get some fresh names into this article, Josh Williams is someone I’ll mix in today. Which is odd because he’s only starting four spots further back than yesterday and he’s $700 more. Mostly we’re just hoping he moves up four or five spots and gets a decent finish. I normally prefer playing him when he starts outside the Top 20 than when he starts inside the Top 20. He does carry some risk as he isn’t in an elite ride and he’s normally just a wallflower in the Xfinity series, but I’ll throw him into some builds based off my gut feeling.

Joe Graf Jr. ($6,600; Starting P21) Graf’s a sneaky play. He flew under my radar on Saturday but he finished 18th after starting 23rd. He fell just shy of 5X value but he didn’t kill any lineups by any means. It was a quiet day, but an effective one at that. He rolls off P21 on Sunday which is a similar starting spot to Saturday. It’s not the play with the most upside, but it’ll save you some salary.

Bayley Currey ($6,300; Starting P33) Currey may have to go to the rear today, we’ll get more details later this morning. But he’s one of the few guys in the back I’d take a chance on as he’s relatively affordable. He didn’t even run half the race as he had a fuel pressure issue. That’s something I’m hopeful the team can fix. If he has to go to a backup car, I’d go easy on the exposure. He was actually running in the Top 20 in the first two stages so if they can fix this problem I do think he could potentially get himself a Top 25 finish.

Tommy Joe Martins ($6,200; Starting P24) I’ll keep it brief for TJM. He’s had some bad luck with his equipment this year. He’s got a low floor, but a decent ceiling. He’s just too cheap from this starting spot. If he can move up and finished 18th he’ll hit value.

BJ McLeod ($4,900; Starting P28) I’m taking another shot on these two sub-$5K drivers since the starting spots are better for DFS on Sunday. McLeod is too good of a driver to not get positive PD here. The history at Dover hasn’t been kind to him, but he burned owners yesterday (myself included) so that may keep ownership down. Other people may prefer Little to be honest. But McLeod only needs a Top 23 finish to return value. You’re just hoping he doesn’t fall too many laps down early on.

Jesse Little ($4,800; Starting P20) I know the magic has wore off a little with Little, and even my honeymoon with him is done. But we don’t have a ton of value on this slate. With the cheaper plays you’re really hoping for 5X value and you ideally are pairing them with the right dominators. And at least with Little he’s starting 20th on Sunday as opposed to 12th on Saturday so there’s more room for PD. He at least finished the race yesterday although he was two laps down. If he holds his spot and finishes 20th then he’ll return 5X value. Moving up just two or three spots can get closer to 6X value.

 

Example Lineups Will Be Posted Around 11:30am ET

Note: The EXAMPLE lineups are meant to show different roster constructions that are made with drivers from the Playbook. These are not meant to be plugged and played.

This is another tough slate for Cash games. So again, I’m only playing GPP’s. Here’s what I’m looking at for Cash Games.

DraftKings Cash Game Example Lineup

1.Austin Cindric (P14; $11,300)

2.Justin Allgaier (P15; $10,800)

3.Ross Chastain (P13; $10,100)

     a.Harrison Burton (P11; $9,800)

4.Joe Graf Jr. (P21; $6,600)

     a.Myatt Snider (P17; ($8,300)

5.Matt Mills (P35; $5,900)

     a.BJ McLeod (P28; $4,900)

6.Jesse Little (P20; $4,800)

Look at that we managed to squeeze in three top-tier drivers. With Graf, Mills, and Little I’m just hoping these guys don’t crush you. But with Cindric, Allgaier, and Chastain you get three guys who can move up through the field and also collect dominator points.

DraftKings GPP Example Lineup

1.Austin Cindric (P14; $11,300)

     a.Noah Gragson (P12; $10,500)

2.Harrison Burton (P11; $9,800)

3.Myatt Snider (P17; $8,300)

4.Anthony Alfredo (P5; $8,100)

5.Bayley Currey (P33; $6,300)

     a.Brett Moffitt (P1; $8,500)

6.Tommy Joe Martins (P24; $6,200)

     a.Jesse Little (P20; $4,800)

I’m playing it lighter today so I’m only providing one GPP Example. We’ll need to keep an ear to the ground regarding Currey. He might be going to a backup car and while that hardly impacts his position differential, it’ll no doubt be a significantly worse ride if he does have to go to a different car. I’m really intrigued by the lineup with Pivots. Play with that one a little bit since it allows you to fit five drivers over $8,000. Gragson and Burton looked strong yesterday, they just seemingly blended in with the rest of the field since Allgaier and Cindric dominated the race. But those two had Top 5 cars yesterday and I expect the same today.

 

With some spotty contests on NASCAR these days, you have to pick and choose the right contests that suit your bankroll. The NFL season is starting back up again and DraftKings is offering HUGE contests for Week 1. But Jon Impemba offers insight as to how you should make your DFS Contest Selection as part of the NFL Draft Guide. Check it out FANation!