Our picks went 5-1 on Thursday, and we're now 12-6 on the season and 11-3 on player props. Friday's 12-game slate gives us plenty to work with, and our PrizePicks NBA picks are stacking a rebounding prop and a shooting prop from two games with totals above 235.
Yves Missi gets Utah after a monster opener on the glass, and Duncan Robinson visits Miami after carrying Detroit's comeback against Boston. Both are Higher plays. Before you build your entry, check where each player lands in Fantasy Alarm's NBA DFS Projections.
PrizePicks NBA Picks Today: Friday, 10/23; NBA DFS Projections
A 12-game slate means hundreds of PrizePicks lines, and the fastest way to find the soft ones is to compare them against a projection. Fantasy Alarm's NBA DFS Projections cover every player on Friday's slate, so you can spot the lines priced below a player's realistic output in seconds.
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Yves Missi PrizePicks NBA Pick: Higher 8.5 Rebounds
Missi opened the season with 13 points, 14 rebounds, and three blocks in 30 minutes against Indiana. More importantly, he had 26 rebound chances in that game, so the 14 boards came from real opportunity, not luck. That's the kind of volume that clears an 8.5-rebound line on a normal night.
The minutes are the story. Missi's role shrank last season, when he averaged 5.8 rebounds in 19.7 minutes across 66 games, but as a rookie in 2024-25 he averaged 8.2 rebounds in 26.8 minutes. Thirty minutes in the opener tells us New Orleans is back to trusting him as its starting center, and at that workload this line is very reachable.
New Orleans is a 1.5-point road favorite in Utah with a 239.5 total, one of the highest on the slate. The Jazz just gave up 45 points to Ty Jerome in a lopsided loss at Memphis, and a high-possession game means plenty of missed shots for Missi to clean up. Missi at Higher 8.5 rebounds leads our PrizePicks NBA picks.
Duncan Robinson PrizePicks NBA Pick: Higher 2.5 Three-Pointers Made
Robinson was the reason Detroit came back from 22 points down to beat Boston on opening night. He scored 21 points, 15 of them in the fourth quarter, and made five of his nine three-point attempts in 27 minutes off the bench.
That wasn't out of character. Robinson made 2.9 threes per game last season on 7.0 attempts, shooting 41.0% across 77 games, and he was even better in the playoffs at 3.2 makes per game on 45.6% shooting. Detroit uses him as a pure floor spacer around Cade Cunningham and Jalen Duren, and the volume is built into his role.
The Pistons are 1.5-point favorites in Miami with a 235.5 total. The Heat allowed 14 three-pointers to Anthony Edwards and LaMelo Ball alone in Giannis Antetokounmpo's Miami debut, and a close game should keep Robinson on the floor late, when Detroit needs spacing most. He needs three makes. Add Robinson to your PrizePicks NBA picks at Higher 2.5 three-pointers.
Sign Up Using ALARM To Get A $50 PrizePicks Bonus With Just A $5 Play
New to PrizePicks? You can play today's PrizePicks NBA picks with extra value on the board. Sign up with promo code ALARM, make a $5 play, and you'll get a $50 PrizePicks bonus.
Download the PrizePicks app or visit the site, create your account, and enter promo code ALARM when prompted. Make your first $5 play, whether that's Missi and Robinson or your own stack from the 12-game slate, and the bonus will be added to your account.
Then come back to Fantasy Alarm every day for new picks and our NBA DFS Projections all season long.