2016 Fantasy Football Matchup Report: Week 4

Published: Sep 29, 2016

In fantasy football, knowledge is power. The more research you do, the more you learn about the teams and players, the better equipped you are to win your game and championship. The single most important piece of information that you can have is game flow. How will any particular NFL matchup play out. If you can properly identify and predict game flow, you will be a constant champion in fantasy football.

But predicting game flow is not easy. In fact, its much harder than trying to predict just the outcome. Anybody can throw out a final score or identify a spread and pick a direction to go. But game flow means you understand what each team is trying to do and how they will go about trying to achieve those goals.

In order to help predict game flow it is imperative to know what the strengths and weaknesses are of each team. Once you understand this you can begin to understand just how each team is going to attack.

As our longtime subscribers know, I use several very advanced formulas to help me properly project team and player performance each week. I also run game simulations in order understand what the most likely outcomes of each matchup will be. For the first time ever, I have decided to start sharing some of my fundamental principles that I use in breaking down matchups each week.

The following is a breakdown of each teams current NFL ranking in 31 basic and advanced statistics. When put against each other like this you can start to see just what each team’s strengths and weaknesses are. Once we see this we can derive what the likely game plan of each squad will be and then finally which players will benefit from that plan.

Here is the 2016 Fantasy Football Matchup Report for Week 4:

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KEY

OFFENSIVE TEAM RANKINGS

PACE – The speed or tempo in which a team plays

PPG – Points scored per game

T.O.P. – Time of Possession

Total Yards – Total Yards Gained by Offense

RZ% - Red Zone TD Scoring Percentage

OFF PLAYS – Total Number of Offensive Plays

RUN ATTS – Total Number of Rushing Attempts

RUN % - Percentage of Offensive Plays That Are Runs

RUN YDS – Rushing Yards

RUN YPA – Rushing Yards Per Attempt

PASS ATTS – Total Number of Pass Attempts

PASS % - Percentage of Offensive Plays That Are Pass

PASS YDS – Passing Yards

PASS YPA – Passing Yards Per Attempt

PFF RUN BK – ProFootballFocus Run Blocking Rating

PFF PASS BK – ProFootballFocus Pass Blocking Rating

DEFENSIVE TEAM RANKINGS

DVOA – Football Outsiders Defensive Value Over Average

PFF Overall – ProFootballFocus Overall Defensive Rating

YPGA – Yards Per Game Against

YPPA – Yards Per Play Against

PFF Run – ProFootballFocus Defense Against Run Rating

RUN YPG – Rushing Yards Per Game Against

RUN YPA – Rushing Yards Per Attempt Against

PFF P Rush – ProFootballFocus Pass Rush Rating

PFF P COV – ProFootballFocus Pass Coverage Rating

PASS YPG – Passing Yards Per Game Against

PASS YPA – Passing Yards Per Attempt Against

DEF VS QB – Fantasy Points Allowed Vs QB

DEF VS RB - Fantasy Points Allowed Vs RB

DEF VS WR - Fantasy Points Allowed Vs WR

DEF VS TE - Fantasy Points Allowed Vs TE

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DOLPHINS	AT	BENGALS
5	PACE	4
21	PPG	25
30	T.O.P.	23
18	TOTAL YDS	11
17	RZ%	29
27	OFF PLAYS	18
28	RUN ATTS	26
25	RUN %	24
25	RUN YDS	27
13	RUN YPA	24
13	PASS ATTS	12
8	PASS %	9
10	PASS YDS	7
10	PASS YPA	6
21	PFF RUN BK	8
15	PFF PASS BK	17
19	DVOA	17
21	PFF OVERAL	15
28	YPGA	15
17	YPPA	14
22	PFF RUN	9
31	RUN YPG	19
20	RUN YPA	10
5	PFF P RUSH	13
26	PFF P COV	23
18	PASS YPG	13
16	PASS YPA	17
12	DEF VS QB	28
18	DEF VS RB	16
26	DEF VS WR	21
21	DEF VS TE	17

COLTS	AT	JAGUARS
13	PACE	7
6	PPG	27
14	T.O.P.	21
12	TOTAL YDS	26
1	RZ%	13
13	OFF PLAYS	17
25	RUN ATTS	31
27	RUN %	31
23	RUN YDS	31
20	RUN YPA	31
5	PASS ATTS	3
6	PASS %	2
9	PASS YDS	12
17	PASS YPA	26
23	PFF RUN BK	24
28	PFF PASS BK	20
28	DVOA	15
30	PFF OVERAL	18
24	YPGA	8
28	YPPA	9
29	PFF RUN	7
13	RUN YPG	20
15	RUN YPA	16
24	PFF P RUSH	30
32	PFF P COV	12
27	PASS YPG	7
28	PASS YPA	9
14	DEF VS QB	25
32	DEF VS RB	7
7	DEF VS WR	24
18	DEF VS TE	10

TITANS	AT	TEXANS
28	PACE	22
31	PPG	32
11	T.O.P.	5
20	TOTAL YDS	24
16	RZ%	32
23	OFF PLAYS	3
19	RUN ATTS	6
18	RUN %	8
8	RUN YDS	13
3	RUN YPA	28
18	PASS ATTS	17
15	PASS %	25
24	PASS YDS	27
23	PASS YPA	30
3	PFF RUN BK	30
3	PFF PASS BK	9
14	DVOA	8
27	PFF OVERAL	14
12	YPGA	5
18	YPPA	7
18	PFF RUN	25
17	RUN YPG	26
19	RUN YPA	29
25	PFF P RUSH	4
30	PFF P COV	15
12	PASS YPG	1
14	PASS YPA	3
6	DEF VS QB	4
2	DEF VS RB	9
16	DEF VS WR	4
11	DEF VS TE	5

BROWNS	AT	REDSKINS
18	PACE	10
26	PPG	18
27	T.O.P.	18
16	TOTAL YDS	5
27	RZ%	31
25	OFF PLAYS	24
14	RUN ATTS	29
15	RUN %	30
4	RUN YDS	29
2	RUN YPA	22
25	PASS ATTS	4
18	PASS %	3
25	PASS YDS	2
16	PASS YPA	3
9	PFF RUN BK	6
24	PFF PASS BK	4
20	DVOA	25
16	PFF OVERAL	22
25	YPGA	29
21	YPPA	30
14	PFF RUN	19
18	RUN YPG	25
13	RUN YPA	24
12	PFF P RUSH	22
21	PFF P COV	14
24	PASS YPG	26
22	PASS YPA	30
24	DEF VS QB	21
19	DEF VS RB	29
28	DEF VS WR	29
25	DEF VS TE	12

[pagebreak]

SEAHAWKS	AT	JETS
26	PACE	29
28	PPG	23
6	T.O.P.	4
19	TOTAL YDS	10
25	RZ%	28
4	OFF PLAYS	7
8	RUN ATTS	7
14	RUN %	11
15	RUN YDS	7
27	RUN YPA	7
15	PASS ATTS	14
19	PASS %	22
13	PASS YDS	18
14	PASS YPA	21
32	PFF RUN BK	25
29	PFF PASS BK	11
1	DVOA	22
2	PFF OVERAL	23
1	YPGA	14
2	YPPA	26
3	PFF RUN	10
9	RUN YPG	3
9	RUN YPA	3
9	PFF P RUSH	19
3	PFF P COV	28
2	PASS YPG	21
6	PASS YPA	31
2	DEF VS QB	22
6	DEF VS RB	5
1	DEF VS WR	23
6	DEF VS TE	22

BILLS	AT	PATRIOTS
15	PACE	27
15	PPG	5
31	T.O.P.	7
30	TOTAL YDS	15
3	RZ%	18
32	OFF PLAYS	12
18	RUN ATTS	1
5	RUN %	1
9	RUN YDS	1
5	RUN YPA	11
32	PASS ATTS	31
28	PASS %	32
32	PASS YDS	26
24	PASS YPA	9
20	PFF RUN BK	16
13	PFF PASS BK	21
13	DVOA	24
1	PFF OVERAL	10
23	YPGA	17
15	YPPA	20
4	PFF RUN	11
15	RUN YPG	12
5	RUN YPA	22
6	PFF P RUSH	14
4	PFF P COV	10
22	PASS YPG	19
23	PASS YPA	13
9	DEF VS QB	16
23	DEF VS RB	17
32	DEF VS WR	20
1	DEF VS TE	20

PANTHERS	AT	FALCONS
17	PACE	11
12	PPG	1
3	T.O.P.	19
7	TOTAL YDS	1
7	RZ%	21
1	OFF PLAYS	20
4	RUN ATTS	11
9	RUN %	13
3	RUN YDS	5
6	RUN YPA	4
16	PASS ATTS	21
24	PASS %	20
19	PASS YDS	4
20	PASS YPA	1
26	PFF RUN BK	4
12	PFF PASS BK	14
6	DVOA	32
11	PFF OVERAL	29
3	YPGA	30
5	YPPA	24
15	PFF RUN	31
11	RUN YPG	22
6	RUN YPA	26
8	PFF P RUSH	21
13	PFF P COV	25
5	PASS YPG	29
8	PASS YPA	21
8	DEF VS QB	32
11	DEF VS RB	30
2	DEF VS WR	17
26	DEF VS TE	31

RAIDERS	AT	RAVENS
19	PACE	16
8	PPG	24
12	T.O.P.	9
2	TOTAL YDS	25
2	RZ%	14
16	OFF PLAYS	11
15	RUN ATTS	16
19	RUN %	20
2	RUN YDS	26
1	RUN YPA	30
11	PASS ATTS	8
14	PASS %	13
8	PASS YDS	21
13	PASS YPA	28
2	PFF RUN BK	13
10	PFF PASS BK	5
29	DVOA	5
28	PFF OVERAL	6
32	YPGA	2
32	YPPA	3
28	PFF RUN	2
29	RUN YPG	8
31	RUN YPA	12
23	PFF P RUSH	17
17	PFF P COV	8
32	PASS YPG	3
32	PASS YPA	4
30	DEF VS QB	5
25	DEF VS RB	8
30	DEF VS WR	8
24	DEF VS TE	8

[pagebreak]

LIONS	AT	BEARS
23	PACE	6
7	PPG	30
10	T.O.P.	32
4	TOTAL YDS	27
15	RZ%	19
14	OFF PLAYS	31
24	RUN ATTS	32
22	RUN %	29
16	RUN YDS	30
8	RUN YPA	18
7	PASS ATTS	19
11	PASS %	4
3	PASS YDS	23
4	PASS YPA	19
14	PFF RUN BK	5
19	PFF PASS BK	25
31	DVOA	27
32	PFF OVERAL	17
21	YPGA	16
27	YPPA	13
32	PFF RUN	23
21	RUN YPG	30
32	RUN YPA	14
32	PFF P RUSH	11
27	PFF P COV	9
16	PASS YPG	10
24	PASS YPA	15
31	DEF VS QB	15
13	DEF VS RB	22
18	DEF VS WR	11
32	DEF VS TE	13

BRONCOS	AT	BUCCANEERS
21	PACE	2
4	PPG	16
20	T.O.P.	13
21	TOTAL YDS	9
26	RZ%	9
26	OFF PLAYS	2
10	RUN ATTS	22
6	RUN %	28
14	RUN YDS	24
15	RUN YPA	25
27	PASS ATTS	1
27	PASS %	5
20	PASS YDS	6
5	PASS YPA	25
1	PFF RUN BK	11
16	PFF PASS BK	32
11	DVOA	21
7	PFF OVERAL	26
7	YPGA	19
4	YPPA	22
16	PFF RUN	26
27	RUN YPG	14
25	RUN YPA	8
2	PFF P RUSH	26
11	PFF P COV	22
4	PASS YPG	20
1	PASS YPA	27
10	DEF VS QB	26
20	DEF VS RB	26
3	DEF VS WR	25
14	DEF VS TE	7

RAMS	AT	CARDINALS
20	PACE	9
29	PPG	9
24	T.O.P.	16
32	TOTAL YDS	14
8	RZ%	12
28	OFF PLAYS	9
12	RUN ATTS	23
7	RUN %	23
22	RUN YDS	20
29	RUN YPA	16
30	PASS ATTS	6
26	PASS %	10
31	PASS YDS	11
31	PASS YPA	18
27	PFF RUN BK	19
27	PFF PASS BK	18
12	DVOA	7
3	PFF OVERAL	9
18	YPGA	9
8	YPPA	6
6	PFF RUN	13
16	RUN YPG	28
4	RUN YPA	27
1	PFF P RUSH	15
20	PFF P COV	5
17	PASS YPG	6
11	PASS YPA	2
17	DEF VS QB	7
21	DEF VS RB	14
19	DEF VS WR	14
23	DEF VS TE	4

SAINTS	AT	CHARGERS
3	PACE	30
10	PPG	3
17	T.O.P.	8
3	TOTAL YDS	17
4	RZ%	23
6	OFF PLAYS	22
30	RUN ATTS	9
32	RUN %	10
28	RUN YDS	12
10	RUN YPA	14
2	PASS ATTS	23
1	PASS %	23
1	PASS YDS	15
12	PASS YPA	8
22	PFF RUN BK	10
8	PFF PASS BK	22
30	DVOA	16
31	PFF OVERAL	19
31	YPGA	26
31	YPPA	23
30	PFF RUN	20
32	RUN YPG	6
30	RUN YPA	23
29	PFF P RUSH	10
31	PFF P COV	16
25	PASS YPG	30
26	PASS YPA	20
13	DEF VS QB	29
27	DEF VS RB	28
31	DEF VS WR	15
9	DEF VS TE	29

[pagebreak]

COWBOYS	AT	49ERS
31	PACE	1
11	PPG	14
2	T.O.P.	29
8	TOTAL YDS	29
10	RZ%	6
5	OFF PLAYS	15
2	RUN ATTS	3
3	RUN %	2
6	RUN YDS	11
17	RUN YPA	26
24	PASS ATTS	26
30	PASS %	31
16	PASS YDS	30
7	PASS YPA	32
17	PFF RUN BK	31
23	PFF PASS BK	30
23	DVOA	9
25	PFF OVERAL	4
22	YPGA	20
25	YPPA	19
27	PFF RUN	5
10	RUN YPG	23
28	RUN YPA	17
31	PFF P RUSH	20
6	PFF P COV	2
23	PASS YPG	14
18	PASS YPA	19
23	DEF VS QB	20
12	DEF VS RB	15
13	DEF VS WR	12
30	DEF VS TE	28

CHIEFS	AT	STEELERS
12	PACE	14
17	PPG	19
25	T.O.P.	15
23	TOTAL YDS	22
22	RZ%	5
19	OFF PLAYS	10
27	RUN ATTS	17
26	RUN %	21
21	RUN YDS	18
9	RUN YPA	19
10	PASS ATTS	9
7	PASS %	12
22	PASS YDS	14
29	PASS YPA	22
29	PFF RUN BK	18
6	PFF PASS BK	26
4	DVOA	26
8	PFF OVERAL	24
11	YPGA	27
11	YPPA	29
12	PFF RUN	21
24	RUN YPG	4
18	RUN YPA	11
28	PFF P RUSH	27
1	PFF P COV	24
11	PASS YPG	31
7	PASS YPA	25
3	DEF VS QB	19
24	DEF VS RB	31
10	DEF VS WR	9
3	DEF VS TE	19

GIANTS	AT	VIKINGS
8	PACE	25
22	PPG	20
26	T.O.P.	22
6	TOTAL YDS	31
24	RZ%	30
21	OFF PLAYS	30
13	RUN ATTS	20
17	RUN %	12
19	RUN YDS	32
21	RUN YPA	32
20	PASS ATTS	29
16	PASS %	21
5	PASS YDS	28
2	PASS YPA	15
7	PFF RUN BK	28
2	PFF PASS BK	31
18	DVOA	3
20	PFF OVERAL	13
10	YPGA	6
10	YPPA	1
17	PFF RUN	8
5	RUN YPG	7
2	RUN YPA	7
18	PFF P RUSH	16
18	PFF P COV	19
15	PASS YPG	9
12	PASS YPA	5
11	DEF VS QB	18
3	DEF VS RB	10
22	DEF VS WR	5
15	DEF VS TE	16

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