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2023 Player Outlook

20243 Recap: In his rookie season, Tovar slashed .253/.287/.408 with 15 home runs and 11 stolen bases. His 4.1 percent walk rate hurt those whose leagues value OBP, and unfortunately, unless his plate discipline improves, his OBP is going to be largely fueled by his batting average. Amongst qualified hitters last season, his 45.4 percent O-Swing rate was the fourth lowest in baseball, and his 17.1 percent swinging strike rate was tied for fourth worst. We'll need to see some improvement there as he continues to develop, or else he'll routinely have a strikeout rate in the mid-twenties, and thus putting a cap on his batting average. He hit just .229 away from Coors last year, not to mention a 29.1 percent strikeout rate. 

2024 Outlook: He's still just 22-years-old, and he'll continue to develop at the game's highest level. At a young age, plate discipline aside, he's shown that he can be a valuable fantasy asset, and routinely be a guy who reaches double-digit home runs and double-digit stolen bases. Tovar will be more valuable in leagues that value AVG rather than OBP, and for a guy hitting in front of Nolan Jones and Kris Bryant at Coors Field, he seems pretty cheap in drafts at his current ADP (20th SS).