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2022 Player Outlook

Gray's 7-9 record and 4.19 ERA from 2021 don't tell the whole story. He posted a quality 1.22 ERA and 155 strikeouts in 135.1 innings of work, but a 1.26 HR/9 and 16.5 HR/FB rate really did him in. Ultimately, he suffered from bad luck, considering most of his batted ball profile is on par to recent seasons, or better, and his 3.25 xERA and 3.99 FIP are better than his ERA. Gray was very good last year, even if his ERA or record doesn't show it. His strikeout numbers were solid again, and he dropped his average exit velocity for the third straight season and four of his six pitches registered a whiff rate north of 30 percent. Ideally, he pushes his ground ball rate north of 50 percent like it had been for countless years prior to 2021, and has a little better luck with home runs, and Gray should be in store for a much better season. Also, getting out of Great American Small Park should do wonders for Gray, as well as facing those AL Central offenses. The move to Minnesota should prove to be quite lucrative for Gray, especially when you consider that since joining Cincinnati in 2019, his home ERA of 3.71 pales in comparison to his 3.25 ERA on the road.

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